Birchtree's Account Talk

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Re: Birchtree's account talk

Steadygain said:
I've lost over $1,000 today Birch :p

but it's cool I can deal with it. ;)
Click to expand...

Hmmmm, Steady....I think I lost about $3k today....and I'm retired. But, I also lost $7k in one day not too long ago, hung on, and gained it plus $7k more in just a few days. Acutally I've gained up to over $21k since retiring 16 months ago. I'm happy to have more than I retired with after drawing out for 16 months! :) Now, I do break the rule (for a retired person), and am in, or out, at 100% most of the time. I know I should be a little more "careful", but this is probably the best time I'll have in a good while to make some growth in my account. When things calm down a bit, I will too.

BottomLine, what goes down (at this time) will come back up! So, we can definitely deal with it!!

Lobo :)
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

LOBO
I feel you. something to think about is that at the end of your career you have the most money that you will ever have, why not let it work for you to its potential. but like you said "when its time to go its time to go" good luck to you and the MB
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Lobo said:
... hung on, and gained it plus $7k more in just a few days. Acutally I've gained up to over $21k since retiring 16 months ago.
BottomLine, what goes down (at this time) will come back up! So, we can definitely deal with it!!

Lobo :)
Click to expand...
Lobo, I may just be missing seeing you, are you in the Tracker?
As a 3 yr retired single, I would be very interest in knowing the moves you're making !!!!
For awhile I was adding in what was being taken out in my monthly, but not on any consistent basis anymore. Reading the market posts & watching the videos has helped. What have you that you can share?
TYIA - grandma
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Lobo said:
Hmmmm, Steady....I think I lost about $3k today....and I'm retired.

Sorry it took so long to respond....

....I ususally end the day coming home to Birch (kind of feel like it's my place too)

Well -- unlike the Birchster -- I never talk specifics when it comes to the monetary amount. Just saying 'over $1,000' is a bold move for me... but letting him know he's not alone.

Acutally I've gained up to over $21k since retiring 16 months ago. I'm happy to have more than I retired with after drawing out for 16 months! :)

I'm thrilled for ya !!! I really am.

I've also gained over the past year -- and that's why I was able to make the previous post with such peace and ease.

Now, I do break the rule (for a retired person), and am in, or out, at 100% most of the time. I know I should be a little more "careful", but this is probably the best time I'll have in a good while to make some growth in my account.

That rule is pretty much what I live by -- if you're going to go in (or out) go all the way .... at least that's my long standing take.

When things calm down a bit, I will too.

It's tough with all the 'doom and gloom' stuff.. and who knows ?? but so far we been breaking new records (although barely) and if things remotely go as I'm hoping the biggest and fastest jump is right on the verge of happening.

BottomLine, what goes down (at this time) will come back up! So, we can definitely deal with it!!

Lobo :)
Click to expand...

Thanks man -- what a perfect way to end the day.

Read the previous post -- it's very cool.

Later dude
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

All this religious stuff on the MB has me going back to the 20 years of anti-American stink that was thrown at Obama by J. Wright. And the fool didn't have enough sense to shield his children from that corruption dogma. Has to make one wonder.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

I think it might be time to trade in my Ducati racer and trade up to the Bugatti Veyron. Cayman, you can be the first one to drive it - but watch the neck snap potential.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Jeremy Siegel is enthusiastic: "I think there are a lot of legs to the bull market. Profits are coming in extremely well in the third quarter. Rather than talking about a correction, Siegel predicts stocks will rise another 10% this year." I'll settle for 10,300 today on the close.
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

grandma said:
Lobo, I may just be missing seeing you, are you in the Tracker?
As a 3 yr retired single, I would be very interest in knowing the moves you're making !!!!
For awhile I was adding in what was being taken out in my monthly, but not on any consistent basis anymore. Reading the market posts & watching the videos has helped. What have you that you can share?
TYIA - grandma
Click to expand...

Grandma,

I am pretty much a 99.9% lurker. Have been reading on this MB for abut 5 1/2 years now. I've never done the tracker stuff. I really don't know much about the market, etc. at all. I sometimes think most of it is blind luck.....as I think it is with almost all of those of us at "my" level. I've made a slight effort to learn a lot about most of what's said/presented here, but, just when I think it's gonna work, it "fails" me! So, I wouldn't think of having someone follow my moves. They won't get you rich, maybe save you a little and gain a very little, but, that's all I want for me. I just want to at least keep what I started with at retirement in the TSP, while drawing out some to eat on. :) I don't draw that much out. If I make about 4.5% a year, it is replaced. I may take out more, eventually, if I keep gaining above that.

Overall, I think I've found that you can get about any opinion, or advice, you want about the market....it's about 50/50 out there. So, what good it that? However, I'm not a buy and holder, and I do listen to some with interest and consider what they say. I read the following: Birch (for my Bull shot....I've learned to appreciate him greatly, when I can decipher TSP-related stuff from his posts), Uptrend (for my Downtrend shot....at least of late), Poolman (for his great supply of videos), Steadygain (mainly because he's fun and has a caring heart), Coolhand (because he's pretty level-headed, most of the time...heh heh) and maybe a couple others from time to time. I also like to watch Oscar at livewith oscar.com as often as he puts up a video. I think Oscar is right probably 75%+ of the time...it's just that he is a day trader, which doesn't help us a lot, but you learn some neat stuff from him anyway.

I've learned a little about chart analyses, although I mostly use charts that others have generated, and a few that I have bookmarked myself on Yahoo or BigCharts that stay updated by the site. I believe there is something to tech analyses, but I'm not yet very good at it. I look mainly at trends, patterns and the bollinger bands of the different funds, etc. Most of the time, you can see a similar pattern happening. Mainly, keep it simple....too much analyses just fogs up this old brain!

Besides looking at some of the vids posted by Poolman, and a few others, I also like to read some on this site: http://safehaven.com/index.cfm And I do think this is a pretty cool, and at least interesting graph, mentioned by others here: http://www.timingpointprojector.com/

Here's some "desktop icon" locations I keep available:

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EGSPC#chart4:symbol=^gspc;range=3m;indicator=bollinger+sma(45,20)+volume+stochasticslow+stochasticfast;charttype=candlestick;crosshair=cross;ohlcvalues=1;logscale=on;source=undefined

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/main.asp?symb=$spx&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comp=&ma=0&maval=9&uf=8&lf=2&type=16&time=7&style=320&startdate=&enddate=&size=3&lf2=0&lf3=0&country=us

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/ad...tdate=&enddate=&size=3&lf2=0&lf3=0&country=us

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=...ss;ohlcvalues=1;logscale=off;source=undefined

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EDJT#chart6:symbol=^djt;range=6m;indicator=bollinger+sma(50,20,200)+volume+stochasticslow+stochasticfast;charttype=candlestick;crosshair=cross;ohlcvalues=1;logscale=off;source=undefined

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/futures.html

One other thing I do, besides make the wrong moves once in a while (well, maybe more than that....ha), is to "try" to be "in" at the 1st of every month. That has cost me sometimes, but....it allows me to get "out" at some point, and back "in" again in the same month....and, if absolutely necessary, get "out" again, giving me 3 solid moves, possible, in that month. As mentioned, I'm not a believer in "buy and hold". I move according to trends, etc, and, since I believe, like our friend Birch, that we are currently in a major Bull market, I'm still trying to get out near a high (got out today) and buy dips, hopefully "near" a low. I don't mind missing up to 50% of the "rise" and I hope to miss at least 50% of the "downs". The biggest change that occured in my TSP came when I decided to not get GREEDY....really. Take a risk, and smile whatever happens....but, never get Greedy. That will save your TSP as much as anything. If you miss 50% of the upswing, so what, grab the last 30 to 50% and giggle all the way to the bank....with pennies of course...but, what more do we really need in life, what with all we already have?!?

I've made this much too long! Birch, I appologize for taking up so much space in your home. Thanks for all your input to us all, and thanks for the neverending enthusaim and positive attitude!!!

And good luck to ya, Grandma....I wish the best for ya!!

Lobo :)
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Lobo said:
I am pretty much a 99.9% lurker. Have been reading on this MB for abut 5 1/2 years now.
Lobo :)
Click to expand...

Well then you are 'well prepared' !!

You sound like a breath of fresh air to me .... so I'd be really honored if you scan around and make a point of trying to find posts that are controversial -- and just dive into them...

...even if you don't mean what you're saying

....but try to be challenging and try to sound smart....

Thanks man .. I could use a replacement ;):D
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Lobo,

Great job ID'ing the outspoken (and oft times right spoken) ones on these pages...and an even better job describing their on line personalities!!!

Steady, you might have competition for some of the longest responses!:cheesy:

It was a good week for me and I hope next week gives us all 5+%!!!

Have a great weekend all!
 
Re: Birchtree's account talk

Steadygain said:
Well then you are 'well prepared' !!

You sound like a breath of fresh air to me .... so I'd be really honored if you scan around and make a point of trying to find posts that are controversial -- and just dive into them...

...even if you don't mean what you're saying

....but try to be challenging and try to sound smart....

Thanks man .. I could use a replacement ;):D
Click to expand...

Sorry....there ain't no such thang as a replacement for SteadyGain!?!?!?

Lobo :)
 
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