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BigJohn's Account Talk
- Thread starter BigJohn
- Start date
BigJohn
Member
And I would have...but for being in travel status an unable to log in.
If today's red numbers hold for another 15 minutes, it is into the S fund I go.
Best of luck to all...
JTH
Well-known member
I see you're having another great year, are you thinking of jumping in on the next slaughter?
BigJohn
Member
I am staying on the sidelines for a while. I don't trust this market and don't believe the seasonal trend (Santa Rally) is a lock. I had a gut feeling today would start good and end ugly, had this one right. Me and my gut (which has grown over the last year) are waiting for the dust to settle.
BigJohn
Member
My gut's feeling for today: C and S (never have had a clue about the I) peak in the green around .5% by lunch time, end up closing .5ish in the red. I think we will have a nice 1-1.5% upswing one day this week, only to lose it by the end of the week. I have never read a chart in my life, so take this with a big grain of salt. Good Luck!
BigJohn
Member
Gut's call is pretty good so far...
JTH
Well-known member
If it starts with "Here, hold my beer" then you're good to go!
BigJohn
Member
My gut is on fire!
BigJohn
Member
Jumped in at the right time, good to be lucky every once and a while.
Not that anyone asked, but here is my investment strategy...I even came up with a witty name: The Oliver Stone method.
Having watched the markets for the last 5 years I have come to one conclusion: the whole system is corrupt and rife with manipulation. How many times have we seem solid, objective data that almost demands an upward trend only to result in red numbers? How many times have we seen absolutely NO REASON for the market to climb...and yet it does. You can go back and chart yourself to death to explain why each occurred, but you might as well throw a dart at the financial section of your local paper (does anyone still get newspapers?) in my humble opinion.
I need to cut this short...just spotted a black helicopter circling and me with my aluminum foil helmet at the cleaners.
Not that anyone asked, but here is my investment strategy...I even came up with a witty name: The Oliver Stone method.
Having watched the markets for the last 5 years I have come to one conclusion: the whole system is corrupt and rife with manipulation. How many times have we seem solid, objective data that almost demands an upward trend only to result in red numbers? How many times have we seen absolutely NO REASON for the market to climb...and yet it does. You can go back and chart yourself to death to explain why each occurred, but you might as well throw a dart at the financial section of your local paper (does anyone still get newspapers?) in my humble opinion.
I need to cut this short...just spotted a black helicopter circling and me with my aluminum foil helmet at the cleaners.
BigJohn
Member
In 2008 or 2009 (not sure which, getting old screwing with my long term memory) I was the top overall performer. I wasn't particularly brilliant, quite on the contrary...I had my $ in the S fund on January 1 and let it ride for the entire year ending up with a 30+% gain. I didn't really check on it to be completely honest. So why do I bring this up now? I normally would step out on a day like this and pocket a couple of days worth of nice gains. Every financial genius/talking head has forecast this year to be volatile in the markets, which makes me think it won't be. Do I take the 2008-2009 approach and let it ride or stick to my trading strategery and pocket gains in the tradition of "pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered." I don't know...
Best of Luck to all...
BigJohn
Best of Luck to all...
BigJohn
Cactus
Well-known member
Must have been 2009. 2008 is the year you would have lost 38% in the S Fund. 
That brings up my suspicions about these large V-Shaped snapback rallies we've been having lately. I'm afraid they are conditioning us to catch the falling knife and to continue to ride it down because we don't want to miss these unexpected rallies that payout the most of their return in the first two days. When will that end? How low will you go? Strange you mentioned 2008 -- not exactly a Buy-N-Hold year. 
That brings up my suspicions about these large V-Shaped snapback rallies we've been having lately. I'm afraid they are conditioning us to catch the falling knife and to continue to ride it down because we don't want to miss these unexpected rallies that payout the most of their return in the first two days. When will that end? How low will you go? Strange you mentioned 2008 -- not exactly a Buy-N-Hold year. 
BigJohn
Member
Must have been 2009. 2008 is the year you would have lost 38% in the S Fund.
You aren't joking about 2008...when I let it ride in the S fund and ate a 30+% loss.
