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350Z's I fund thread OCT 07
- Thread starter 350zCommTech
- Start date
- Status
Ed_the_Fed
Member
The American dollar is in serious trouble. The Canadian dollar is now worth more than the US dollar. I realized this the other day when I was working on a trip to Whistler, British Columbia. It is no longer a cheap trip to Canada. I never thought I would see this in my lifetime. The american dollar has always been worth anywhere from $1.07 to $1.31 canadian and this is rather distressing news. I honestly don't know where the US markets will go in the future because we don't have any historical data on how they react under the current environment. It just hasn't happened before now. I will be real curious to see what happens to the dollar in the next few months. I sure hope it has hit bottom and will begin to rebound. This is scary folks.
James48843
Well-known member
Nice open.
"I" fund now showing up .19 cents
"I" fund now showing up .19 cents
350zCommTech
Well-known member
A 93K correction for non-farm payrolls for August?
Looks like someone was trying to wag the dog. And the Fed wagged appropriately with an interest cut.
Well, all that wagging has pushed the long term bond yields up significantly since Sept. 18. That's not helping the housing industry.:laugh:
I tend to agree with you Ed, but the $ is at an all time low. Are you suggesting it will continue to drop? This would be a case for a long position in I fund.
350zCommTech
Well-known member
A 93K correction for non-farm payrolls for August?
Looks like someone was trying to wag the dog. And the Fed wagged appropriately with an interest cut.
LOL!!! Some idiot guess on CNBC just said that today's jobs number shows that the Fed acted timely on Sept. 18.:laugh:
Robo5555
Member
What's everyones plan?
SCHAGAN
Member
I'm thinking I am going to take today's gain and hide until after the market digests the Fed's minutes.
merlin
Member
Have not received mine.
350zCommTech
Well-known member
The dollar reversed and is now unchanged and heading back down again, so I'm still thinking I fund.
But the reaction in the currency markets suggest that they think the today's employment report is BS. I agree with them. So, the market could reverse later today. Perhaps a -FV? That would be nice...
merlin
Member
350zCommTech
Well-known member
Good idea, are you thinking that the reaction to the Feds minutes will be muted because of today's jobs number?
Robo5555
Member
I would call them....everyone got theirs where I work.
tspgo_com
Active member
This is TSPGO's plan for the HR:
Thu 04/Oct 07 = For => Fri, Oct 5, 07 ==> Pointing to: S
Fri 05/Oct 07 = For => Tue, Oct 9, 07 ==> Pointing to: I
Tue 09/Oct 07 = For => Wed, Oct 10, 07 ==> Pointing to: I
Wed 10/Oct 07 = For => Thu, Oct 11, 07 ==> Pointing to: F/I
Thu 11/Oct 07 = For => Fri, Oct 12, 07 ==> Pointing to: I
and it comes from these sets of probabilities:
10/04/07 = For => 10/05/07 ==> F(2)57 ==> I(5)65 ==> G(7) ==> F(1)46 ==> S(6)72 Pointing to: S
10/05/07 = For => 10/09/07 ==> 0 ==> I(1)60 ==> S(5)51 ==> G(7) ==> I(1)57 Pointing to: I
10/09/07 = For => 10/10/07 ==> 0 ==> 0 ==> I(1)61 ==> I(5)74 ==> C(7)73 Pointing to: I
10/10/07 = For => 10/11/07 ==> 0 ==> 0 ==> 0 ==> I(5)74 ==> F(5)48 Pointing to: F/I
10/11/07 = For => 10/12/07 ==> 0 ==> 0 ==> 0 ==> 0 ==> I(1)57 Pointing to: I
Last edited:
NyteTracker
Member
What's up with all the votes in Sentiment Survey; more than double the average.:blink:
I wonder if this will make it more or less accurate.
BTW it was way off last week with Sell and the market up over 2%(S Fund).
I wonder if this will make it more or less accurate.
BTW it was way off last week with Sell and the market up over 2%(S Fund).
James48843
Well-known member
Tom made a change this week.
Previously- the survey was a small chart on the right hand side of his main page. AND/OR he mailed out an email asking you to participate in the survey. Normally he got between 350 and 400 people to vote every time.
Even though we got a lot of new visitors and members in the last few months, the number of people voting in the survey remained flat.
So tom thought it would be a good idea to try to expand the pool of voters, by placing the actual survey right dead center in his daily comments. Theroy was more people would see it then, and more people would vote.
It obviously worked.
Now, the only problem is.....will the data gained from double the number of people voting (and the ratios of bulls to bears, vs. return, etc), still hold up with the same consitency with 900 people voting,
as when it was just the 350-400 people?
that becomes the question.
James48843
Well-known member
Another quick observation- the "sell signals" are frequently a few days to a few weeks ahead of the actual downturns. I use it not a a quick, hard, fast rule to follow, but rather as a signal to myself to pay much closer attention, and to be prepared to bail out if other fundelementals change.
It's more of a bright yellow caution light to me rather than a strict red light stop signal. I may just step on the gas and speed through the light, knowning that there may be an accident ahead to watch out for.
NyteTracker
Member
Thanks James, and good observation.
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