350Z's I fund thread OCT 07

[350zCommTech]

G= 12.14 unchanged
F= 11.61 unchanged
C= 17.28 -.07
S= 20.81 -.12
I= 25.28 -.11

That's a -16 cent FV.

 

[Nimrod1193]

Note:

Here is a quesiton to ponder.....

I was thnking today- you know the TSPTALK Sentiment Survey signaled a sell last week.

I was wondering.....if Ebb & TSPTALK were combined...what would the return have been. I.E. if we followed EBB during the times that TSPTALK sentiment survey was IN the markets, and then pulled out to "G" say, two days after the Sentiment Survey signaled a sideline move, what would the return have been?

I've been thinking that would be a good set of values to run and see how it works out.

I've also wondered what the return would be if we used the Sentiment Survey to decide whether to follow the contrarian move on the EbbTracker (i.e. if the contrarian move is to go to the safety of the G-fund, you do it only if the Sentiment Survey says 'Sell'.)

 

[Spaf]

Nimrod,
What I'm running is the results from the free and premium services: TSPTalk, Ebb, Sentiment, Trader Fred and Rev. Shark. These 5 inputs give me the best data that I consider available.
I look back to 2004 and see what we had then and then to 2007 and see what we have now. I also see the multitude of outside news letters, and their prices, wow!
TSPTalk has a lot of good stuff going.
My 2 cents
Spaf

I've also wondered what the return would be if we used the Sentiment Survey to decide whether to follow the contrarian move on the EbbTracker (i.e. if the contrarian move is to go to the safety of the G-fund, you do it only if the Sentiment Survey says 'Sell'.)

 

[ebbnflow]

If there is a -FV, it'll be because of the rising dollar.

If there is no -FV, the I-fund will start lower tonight on the get-go because the dollar rose after our noon deadline. It's a carry over.

Oops, wrong statement. They do carry it over with or without an FV. I-funders starting in the hole with a carry over of -.25% (from the dollar rise after our noon deadline). But they still have the 16 cents (+.63%) cushion from the FV correction.

 

[James48843]

Last night's falling Japan has given way unexpectedly (at least in my book) to a much stronger morning in London. The expected (and FV'd) decline has not happened.

Right now, I showing up 3 cents - plus whatever the F was yesterday. Was it 16 cents FV? Anyone remember?

If so, we're looking like we're up 19 cents already, if that is the case.....

 

[easyrydr]

I think I am going to stay 25% C, 25% G, and 50% I. Wish me luck y'all.

 

[James48843]

Now showing down 1 cent, plus the .16 cents FV from yesterday- equals a gain of 15 cents.

 

[Robo5555]

Thats a great start....and I went to the S fund..:-(

 

[12%ayear]

Change...-9.130 %.. Change..-0.393
From Bloomberg...16 cents-9 cents=+7 cents

 

[350zCommTech]

Well, it looks like both the ECB and the BOE have more backbone than Helicopter Ben. They did the right thing and held rates. This will cause the dollar to continue it's down trend. I wish I knew what tomorrow's jobs number is going to be.:nuts:

 

[12%ayear]

Well, it looks like both the ECB and the BOE have more backbone than Helicopter Ben. They did the right thing and held rates. This will cause the dollar to continue it's down trend. I wish I knew what tomorrow's jobs number is going to be.:nuts:

They see inflation.

 

[Robo5555]

Where are u guys going to be for Friday?

 

[weatherweenie]

Where are u guys going to be for Friday?

In Colorado. :toung:

 

[12%ayear]

In Colorado. :toung:

BOSTON BABY!!! I do hope the Cubs win. Like underdogs. Time to remove the goat tale and Bartman jinx. Anyway S Fund for Friday. We might get some -fv this afternoon.

 

[350zCommTech]

Where are u guys going to be for Friday?

I'm thinking G, but I don;t have a clue right now. Economist are expecting a 100k jobs. If it comes in as expected, the market will tank and the dollar will rise.

 

[ATCJeff]

Where are u guys going to be for Friday?

In Colorado. :toung:

Now that's funny!

 

[budnipper1]

I'm thinking G, but I don;t have a clue right now. Economist are expecting a 100k jobs. If it comes in as expected, the market will tank and the dollar will rise.

How does this coming Monday holiday factor in? Is Columbus Day a holiday for the US markets? Maybe not, since I haven't seen it mentioned anywhere today.

 

[350zCommTech]

Down 3 cents, plus 16 cents -FVC, total is 13.

 

[350zCommTech]

How does this coming Monday holiday factor in? Is Columbus Day a holiday for the US markets? Maybe not, since I haven't seen it mentioned anywhere today.

Good question. I'm thinking C or S for Tuesday because of the FOMC minutes. If the market goes up tomorrow, I'll want to be in the I fund for Monday. I think the markets will open Monday?

 

[SCHAGAN]

Good question. I'm thinking C or S for Tuesday because of the FOMC minutes. If the market goes up tomorrow, I'll want to be in the I fund for Monday. I think the markets will open Monday?

Remaining 2007 Market Holidays and Early Closures

27 November (Thanksgiving)
28 November (Early Closure-1 p.m. EST)
25 December (Christmas)