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350zCommtech's Account Talk
- Thread starter 350zCommTech
- Start date
Corepuncher
Well-known member
My view is that it will never get there again and we will end up seeing new lows....but who knows when.
350zCommTech
Well-known member
IMO, this might just be a correction in the dollar. The fundamentals of the world economy is much worst than the US. The trend for the dollar is still up, until a break of 83.
Perhaps wait for the dollar to hit 88-90 again?
Frixxxx, can you chime in on this?
350zCommTech
Well-known member
I agree with CP. With all the bailouts the gov. is doing and the doubling/tripling of the deficit, I don't think the dollar will be going there any time soon.
Silverbird
Well-known member
The only way it could go up is if our trading partners buying dollars and hoarding dollars try to jinn the system. I hope they've learned from last time (dollar rises, cost of oil rises because it's denominated in dollars).
350zCommTech
Well-known member
350zCommTech
Well-known member
Bond yields are crashing today. They're saying something bad is happening. :worried:
View attachment 5131
View attachment 5131
Steadygain
TSP Elite
350zCommTech
Well-known member
Let's hope they can rally stocks after the bond market closes.:worried:
poolman
Top Return 2008
I'm hoping they will. Oil is down Hard so no help from the Energy stocks today.
I want a Thanksgiving Rally.
Minnow
Well-known member
Today's conforming wholesale mortgage interest rate on a 30 yr. fixed is at 5.254% --- it's been falling pretty quick. Wonder how low it will go?
350zCommTech
Well-known member
Didn't it go down to 5% in 2004?
350zCommTech
Well-known member
I'm hoping they will. Oil is down Hard so no help from the Energy stocks today.
I want a Thanksgiving Rally.
They're trying....Bond market closed.
Minnow
Well-known member
The site I use for the quotes doesn't archive (go figure!) but off the top of my head, I'd say you're right.
DCguy
Member
Can I ask why you think so?
Will the dollar index bounce back up after that period?
thx
350zCommTech
Well-known member
350zCommTech
Well-known member
Awesome....Another rally after the close of the bond market.
I no -FV in the I fund today.
poolman
Top Return 2008
Awesome....Another rally after the close of the bond market.
I no -FV in the I fund today.
We did it. We captured 3 day's worth of gains. What a great day it is. I've only got 10% in for tomorrow. If we can just eek out 1 more gain.
350zCommTech
Well-known member
We did it. We captured 3 day's worth of gains. What a great day it is. I've only got 10% in for tomorrow. If we can just eek out 1 more gain.
Yup, baring another gazillion dollar bailout, I think we captured the majority, if not all, of this bear market rally.
Birchtree
Well-known member
I believe the Fed will seek to stimulate demand by lowering longer-term interest rates, which have a more direct effect on activity such as mortgage borrowing and business investment than the very short-term fed funds rate that the central bank targets. The bond market is recognizing this strategy. They will push lonf-term rates down by announcing explicit interest-rate ceilings for longer maturity Treasury debt, something the Fed did for nearly a decade until 1951. It could enforce such a ceiling by purchasing longer dayed Treasury bonds, or other bonds such as debt issued by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mav, to ensure yields on the debt stayed within its limits. That's probably why the mortgage rates dropped over 50 basis points today.
