12%ayear's Account Talk

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The reason why I like the C Fund is because large caps are overdue. The S Fund is a laggard in the month of July. Small-caps tend to do better before the Winter holidays and they had a hell of a run lately. The I fund scares me a tad because of that US Dollar. The US DOllar looks very oversold and it will only hurt the return because you need OSMs to do well and the any currency besides the US Dollar. However;I will always be open to swinging into any fund based on any new data or valid reasoning.
 
12%ayear said:
The US DOllar looks very oversold
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Oversold and sitting on support at the 80 level, which has been a key support level since the late 80's. Front page hype about the Euro rising and Canadian Dollar almost at par is a nice contrarian indicator as well.
 
Like I said yesterday, the rally will cont. today.There were too many people getting bearish about the market. However;I might lock profits today,will keep you posted. I would like to jump to the I Fund, but my great concern would be the US Dollar start to rally. Also, when was the last time the I Fund dropped 1% in one day? The S and the C Fund had a big drop Tuesday. The I Fund wasn't as large. You will see the DJIA break 13700s today and it might rest tomorrow. I forget this alos...the new terrorist report.....many will lock profits going into tomorrow
 
12%ayear said:
Like I said yesterday, the rally will cont. today.There were too many people getting bearish about the market. However;I might lock profits today,will keep you posted. I would like to jump to the I Fund, but my great concern would be the US Dollar start to rally. Also, when was the last time the I Fund dropped 1% in one day? The S and the C Fund had a big drop Tuesday. The I Fund wasn't as large. You will see the DJIA break 13700s today and it might rest tomorrow. I forget this alos...the new terrorist report.....many will lock profits going into tomorrow
Click to expand...
http://www.cnn.com/2007/US/07/11/al.qaeda.report/index.html...........This new report backs up warnings by Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff and other officials that al Qaeda remains a serious threat and that the United States is vulnerable despite the numerous security changes made since September 11, 2001.
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weatherweenie said:
That's discouraging news, to say the least!
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yes, they really think something will happen. There is chatter. Maybe it might be time to go on the sidelines before the weekend. Hopefully, nothing happens and they kick out these jerks from this great country of ours. These people get too much freedom in the US and they plan attacks on us. Seal the boarders and start cleaning house.
 
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12%ayear said:
Like I said yesterday, the rally will cont. today.There were too many people getting bearish about the market. However;I might lock profits today,will keep you posted. I would like to jump to the I Fund, but my great concern would be the US Dollar start to rally. Also, when was the last time the I Fund dropped 1% in one day? The S and the C Fund had a big drop Tuesday. The I Fund wasn't as large. You will see the DJIA break 13700s today and it might rest tomorrow. I forget this alos...the new terrorist report.....many will lock profits going into tomorrow
Click to expand...

So do you have a call for Friday yet? I would appreciate an early call if possible, since I won't be able to check the board closer to noon EST.

Thanks,
 
12%ayear said:
I have a feeling there will a rush to saftey..Bonds look good to me for tomorrow. They are due for a run.
Click to expand...

Im leaning towards that as well. Im making the gut call that tomorrow will not be another "melt-up" Friday that weve seen for most of this summer...
 
12%ayear said:
Like I said yesterday, the rally will cont. today.There were too many people getting bearish about the market. However;I might lock profits today,will keep you posted. I would like to jump to the I Fund, but my great concern would be the US Dollar start to rally. Also, when was the last time the I Fund dropped 1% in one day? The S and the C Fund had a big drop Tuesday. The I Fund wasn't as large. You will see the DJIA break 13700s today and it might rest tomorrow. I forget this alos...the new terrorist report.....many will lock profits going into tomorrow
Click to expand...
..............there is the 13700s......
 
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This is a lesson learned for all.
 
This is what I typing about yesterday, the rally. I am going to be careful after today. After days like this, the markets tends to stop and think. What the hell just happened? Protect the profits, people. Do not get greedy. I have a feeling Monday, everyone thinks Mondays are an automatic up day will get toasted. The market will sell-off IMO.
 
12%ayear;102655 said:
At any rate, this sell-off was based on some earnings warning from Home Depot. This is very good for the market, because it is confirming the fact that real estate sales are slowing down and homeowners are not remodeling as much based on higher rates and lower property values. Bottom-line, the Fed sees this has another reason not to hike, but to cut rates. The markets will absorb this very soon. Also, I noticed everyone turned bearish, great sign. Now watch and see how the market retrace to new highs. 100% C Fund for tomorrow
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Posted 2 days ago......New Highs today. Remember this was posted after the sell-off we had Tuesday..;)
 
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