Rebuttal time. I wasn't going to because I feel like it just goes in one ear out the other all the time, but I figure since Mr. Wheels is attacking my system, I figured I would post actual facts, not crystal ball hocus pocus.
My YTD to return for 2005 was 11.62%. BTW, all this can be checked on the past tally charts. This was not a full year return but about a 6-month return because of a little "vacation" time out I received. I also had the highest 4th quarter return that year. My last 6-month return was in the top ten. The L2040 returned 7.91% that year.
My YTD return for 2006 was 13.03%. Again, my tracker was reset around mid to late July because of my challenge with Techy. My 4th quarter return for that year was in the top 10 and my 6-month return would of been also if I had been tracked long enough. Techy stop posting on 11\02\06. As of the end of Oct his return was 5.96% and mine was 6.56%. This was for a little over 3-months. Over the next two months I gained 6.47%.
This year my current return is .71%. This includes a disasterous one day of greed in the I fund when it lost 2.01% on that particular day. My system told me to get out the day before and I even posted this:
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.php?p=70676&postcount=2237
Not factoring in that day, my return would be 2.72% and this includes two missed opportunities because of divergent data. I have since added another indicator and believe this will help moving forward if it happens again.
So anyway, if spending most of 2005 and 2006 in the top ten represents a failed system, then that's what I have. Just follow techy and you'll be fine.
BTW, I hope you didn't follow him today..........................
Tom, I honestly don't know how you do it. This is obviously a "what have you done for me lately" type board...........
