Volatililty Continues

Early on today, it looked as thought the market might make another big reversal. But it was not to be, as the market took a dive around noon, dropping into the red for awhile before reversing once more and ending the day on a moderately positive note. The S fund didn't fare nearly as well as either C or I, and that happens to be the fund that is losing allocation share among our top 25%.

So the volatility continues. Here's the charts:

$NAMO.jpg

These four signals remain on a sell, but the 6 day ema is dropping quickly, so a hard market reversal could easily trigger buy signals with all four of them.

$TRIN.jpg

TRIN and TRINQ are flashing buys after today's action, but BPCOMPQ continues to drop. This signal implies that the trend is still down.

Allocation by fund ~ 2009 Chart 1.jpg
Total Cash-Stock Exp ~ 2009 Chart 1.jpg

Our top 25% are now at their most bearish since I began tracking their allocation. Total stock holdings are about 76%, with a cash level of 20%. Will this trend continue?

So the seven sentinels remain on a sell and volatility continues to rock the market. This is a very challenging market for TSPers, unless you're a buy and hold type. See you tomorrow.
 
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