quabit
Member
Another tariff tantrum after Trump tweets US adding more tariffs on China...
The 50-day EMA gets tested for a second time...
What's that saying "Don't fight the Fed" Guess that depends on who you are.
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- Thread starter tsptalk
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What's that saying "Don't fight the Fed" Guess that depends on who you are.
A little bit of panic regarding the 10-year yield moving down near 1.6%. CNBC is talking about it going negative like Germany.
The S&P meanwhile is trying to hold the 200-day EMA again, and it initially got a pretty good move back above it. It's very early in the trading day, but that looks to be the key today.
We're seeing a nice intraday snap back rally today. But be careful. Yes, there are several "V" like lows on this chart, but in 2018, and there are many more examples before 2018, where it could go back and forth for a while frustrating both the bulls and the bears. Of course it's too early to call this either of those right now. I'm just pointing out that both are still possible. However they all seemed to be closer to a low than not.
On a day of big reversals, the reversal in bonds moved this 2/10 yield curve back to close, not at 0.09 where it was earlier on Wednesday, but down just 0.01 to 0.12.
2-year vs. 10-year yield curve is now near 0.09. This chart only gets updated EOD so I added the move...
James48843
Well-known member
I'm thinking that was it, and we are going to solidfy here and start moving up again. Yes, there are a lot of disturbances in "the force", but overall I think we are ok.
Well, I lost about 50K on paper in the last two weeks, so I am thinking positive again for most of it to come back. That's my plan, anyway.
Khotso
Well-known member
I'm thinking that was it, and we are going to solidfy here and start moving up again. Yes, there are a lot of disturbances in "the force", but overall I think we are ok.
Well, I lost about 50K on paper in the last two weeks, so I am thinking positive again for most of it to come back. That's my plan, anyway.
Ah heck, 50K ... no biggie, that's only $133/month drawing at a rate of 4% out of your TSP per year for 25 years!
(ps - we need a sarcasm smiley).
As if on queue, we have another Turnaround Tuesday. How much is a 10 week delay in "some" tariffs worth to stocks? Apparently this much so far.
The 50-day EMA is being tested again as the losses from the last two days have been recovered in another headline driven move.
FOMO (fear of missing out) buying has so far outweighed the thought of selling the rally. We'll see if it holds into the close, but so far it hasn't wavered.
Another day, another flip flop. Yesterday there were high 5's going around for the delayed tariffs. The yield curve was nearly inverted, as we have been boring you with for a while now, but today it briefly flashed to the inverted side apparently (although as I write this the 2/10 yield is not still inverted) and investors react now? Were they thinking it wasn't going to invert after flirting with it over and over?
Markets are funny and can certainly try to get you to lean the wrong day. But I suppose the way things are going lately, if you don't like what you see happening on a given day, just wait a day and everything may change.
at:
SoonerCaniac
Member
Incredibly helpful Tom, thank you.Similar threads
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