TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

The jobs report caps a big week

The bulls remained in charge last week as the major stock indices all saw nice gains, capped by a big rally on Friday after a better than expected jobs report.

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For the TSP, the C-fund gained2.22% on the week, the S-fund was up 3.66%, the I-fund made 2.85%, while the F-fund (bonds) slipped 0.06% and the G-fund was up 0.03%.

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The song remains the same for the S&P 500 as it continues its relentless upward trend. The only hiccup it had was a weak open on Monday last week, which took it below the tight trading channel, but it closed strongly and after Friday’s rally it is back between the parallel support and resistance lines(red).


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Chart provided courtesy of
www.decisionpoint.com, analysis by TSP Talk

Fighting this trend has been very frustrating for the bears and each pullback has brought in anew batch of buyers, which has kept the rally going.

If the market is going to take a break, February is the month for it to happen as historically, after the first few trading days of the month, the historical seasonality becomes a disadvantage so the battle will be between the strong trend and the weak seasonality over the next couple of weeks.

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Chart provided courtesy of
www.sentimentrader.com
, analysis by TSP Talk

Good luck, and thanks for reading. We will be back here next week with another TSP Wrap Up.

Tom Crowley
www.tsptalk.com
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This Thursday is the 30 year Treasury Auction but the following Thursday is the 30 year TIPS Treasury Auction. I'm getting the popcorn out for the next two weeks and watching this one from the side lines.
 
Funny how it lines up with your seasonality chart. Next Thur. is the 7th trading day and the following Thur. is the 12th trading day. OMG!
 
Forget Greece and Treasury auctions. Let's get down to the important stuff - What's the seasonality after the Super Bowl? Up or down the next day? Would it help the NYSE if the Giants win? Enquiring minds want to know...
 
An NFC team winning is positive sign for stocks historically. Unfortunately, I think the groundhog has to see his shodow as well. :D
 
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