Transfer 9/30 for 10/01/04

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vectorman wrote:
Tom, Will it be mostly green arrows during the bull mkt? How will the G fund play that role you were talking about? This is my first bull market and I don't know how to make full use of it, help! I also left a couple of questions at the new member site, Thanks
During a bull market the trend is up. The market still breathes (goes up and down) but it should be higher down the road. You can have real bad days during bull markets. It's usually not just easy money. Just when things look their worst is when things will get better. And when everything looks peachy and the money is being made easily, the market will pull the rug out from under you.

Getting in and out, or timing the market, is more of a battle against yourself than the market. You sometimes have to fight the obvious urge and go against the majority.

If you made a ton of money and it seems like the market is never going to go down, it probably will. That's when you want to hide in the G fund for a bit. If the market is falling like a rock and you think to yourself,this is nuts, I'm never putting money in stocks again, that is when the market will start turning up.

There's a reason for that which I'll try to get to, along withyour other questions, tomorrow. Time for bed.
 
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Tom, Will it be mostly green arrows during the bull mkt? How will the G fund play that role you were talking about? This is my first bull market and I don't know how to make full use of it, help! I also left a couple of questions at the new member site, Thanks
 
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smine wrote:
Whoever told us told us to go to CNN.com and look at world markets has me doing just that. All the world markets were down arrows yesterday, so I went 30%; today they are all up and a good amount was made. Following my own advise, I stayed big time in S and dumped C for I. Did well; now retreating 70% to G to count my money. Never had this much in TSP!:^
I hate to call it fun, but it is to me also. :) When you can make gains in a month, like smedlap has in November, that some folks who sit in the G fund make in a year, that is fun. But we know the market doesn't always go up and that the G fund plays a role in our strategy when the time is right.

Just remember the market does like to humble us just when we are feeling the most confident. :shock:
 
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Whoever told us told us to go to CNN.com and look at world markets has me doing just that. All the world markets were down arrows yesterday, so I went 30%; today they are all up and a good amount was made. Following my own advise, I stayed big time in S and dumped C for I. Did well; now retreating 70% to G to count my money. Never had this much in TSP!:^
 
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Hi Mike. Just back. 5.51% for November alone so far. My system! I'm happy. Could have done better if I had played the I fund more. Yesterday was my biggest day loss of 3 days as I stupidy did not bring my computer when I left on Saturday. Then again, one has to have fun!You guys are great. I missed you all abeit just a 15 minute withdrawal!
 
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Wonder Woman wrote:
Not sure if you are inquiring only of those who post their accounts but I just broke out even.
I was inquiring of any or all, I'm atrusting fool........:shock:

Thx W_W,

M_M
 
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Not sure if you are inquiring only of those who post their accounts but I just broke out even.
 
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Mike wrote:
Just about all of my gains this year were made in October. :^
I would of made 4.55% for the month with the new system. Buy and hold for the S was 1.85%. Half the month went up, half went down. Just curious how others did. Pretty good indicator for all of 2004..............
 
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mlk_man wrote:
tsptalk wrote:
puertorico wrote:
"October is a bad month with the biggest fall in history"

but in elecction years has better average...:D

Actually October isn't too bad historically. It just gets a bad rap because of the two major crashes (1929 and 1987). Take those two years out of the picture and things look even better.
Keep in mind, Sept. was up close to 4% this year......
So what did we call Oct.? A push?
 
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OK, thanks!
 

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Tom,

Change your S index to ^dwcpf on your link to yahoo on the front page. ^dwcp isn't reporting and ^dwcpf is. Also, TSP uses ^dwcpf anyway....see discussion in S-fund.
 
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Trend wise speaking there are six good months and six bad months... their begining and ends are adjusted by the MACD indicator... the Stocktraders almanac just trigger the begining of the best six months... they usually go from Halloween to April Fool... they had star as soon as September and ended as late as July... I profit from it... :^
 
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Buy in Halloween sell in April Fool... :^
 

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cowboy you a sooner, If you don't mind me asking where from?
 

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And July was down. Hmmm. Maybe we should be doing the opposite? :shock:
 

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