puertorico
Member
imported post
I was temp to move too but I just put everything to G
GooD Luck Tom
I was temp to move too but I just put everything to G
GooD Luck Tom
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Transfer 11/10 for 11/11/04
- Thread starter tsptalk
- Start date
vectorman
Active member
imported post
Hey clester, how's the chimp in charge today? See you tomorrow.
I moved into the G fund effective after the closing bell on Jun 30, Aug 10 and Sep 21. Each time I lucked out and protected my assets for a few days while the (C,S & I) funds had a loss. To me, the market is like an animal. Just when you think you understand it; it turns on you. What worked before may not work out again, especiallyif different conditions are thrown into the mix. But sometimes it does. In my very limited opinion, this interest rate hike resembles close to what I experienced during the Sep 21th hike. The first leg of the bull market wasrevealling itself, off and running since Aug 16. The market was on a great run until Sep 21. If you can recall, the market was flat to down most of the day. Soon after the rate hike was announced the market had small rally ( the I fund did great that day). For those who where not out into the G fund effectve after the closing bell, experienced a several day setback. The great thing for the buy and hold people was that it was short live since we werein an apparent bull market. I had a great run up until now and I know a pullback is coming. To me, the rate hike may be just the excuse that some investors are looking for to take some extremely good profits off the table.If there is a rally tomorrow, great. But I would feel worse if I lost a big portion of mythree week gain compare to a one or two day gain. Cash in hand outweighs the uncertainty of tomorrow. Question Tom, for the positive weight that you are using for tomorrow being positve, how many times does that include a rate hike the day before? Thanks. Good luck all.
40-c, 60- s, moving 100-g.
Hey clester, how's the chimp in charge today? See you tomorrow.
I moved into the G fund effective after the closing bell on Jun 30, Aug 10 and Sep 21. Each time I lucked out and protected my assets for a few days while the (C,S & I) funds had a loss. To me, the market is like an animal. Just when you think you understand it; it turns on you. What worked before may not work out again, especiallyif different conditions are thrown into the mix. But sometimes it does. In my very limited opinion, this interest rate hike resembles close to what I experienced during the Sep 21th hike. The first leg of the bull market wasrevealling itself, off and running since Aug 16. The market was on a great run until Sep 21. If you can recall, the market was flat to down most of the day. Soon after the rate hike was announced the market had small rally ( the I fund did great that day). For those who where not out into the G fund effectve after the closing bell, experienced a several day setback. The great thing for the buy and hold people was that it was short live since we werein an apparent bull market. I had a great run up until now and I know a pullback is coming. To me, the rate hike may be just the excuse that some investors are looking for to take some extremely good profits off the table.If there is a rally tomorrow, great. But I would feel worse if I lost a big portion of mythree week gain compare to a one or two day gain. Cash in hand outweighs the uncertainty of tomorrow. Question Tom, for the positive weight that you are using for tomorrow being positve, how many times does that include a rate hike the day before? Thanks. Good luck all.
40-c, 60- s, moving 100-g.
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JSRoss01 wrote:
M_M
JSRoss01 wrote:
GO to the finance section of Yahoo.com. Just track the indices or the ETF's that track the indices. For ex: S fund is VXF
M_M
G
Guest
Guest
imported post
tsptalk wrote:
Remember, Bush won the election, folks may be a little worried "something" might happen.
Now the day "after" is a pretty good day and I'd love to jump back in for it, unfortunately we can't with TSP. So it's pretty much a trade off. Two out of the three years the day following Veteren's day has ended up higher than the day before Veteran's day so you'll probably end up okay, unless something really does happen. The only reason I'm getting out is because my system is telling to.
Good luck,
M_M
tsptalk wrote:
Hey Tom, I hate to go against ya, but I think you may be wrong on this. If you look back since 9-11-01, I VERY historical date don't ya think, the market has dropped every year either on Veteran's day or on the day that it was recognized. I think that when it comes to holiday's or other significant dates, people should only look back to charts since 9-11-01.
Remember, Bush won the election, folks may be a little worried "something" might happen.
Now the day "after" is a pretty good day and I'd love to jump back in for it, unfortunately we can't with TSP. So it's pretty much a trade off. Two out of the three years the day following Veteren's day has ended up higher than the day before Veteran's day so you'll probably end up okay, unless something really does happen. The only reason I'm getting out is because my system is telling to.
Good luck,
M_M
imported post
I am initiating a transfer Wednesday morning going 100% S fund effective Veteran's Day, Thursday, November 11th. It is historically a very good day.
I will most likely go back to 50% G, 50% S effective Monday 11/15.
It's a "wiggle" play because I still think we need a breather, but the 11/11 numbers are too strong to pass up for a play.
Tom
I am initiating a transfer Wednesday morning going 100% S fund effective Veteran's Day, Thursday, November 11th. It is historically a very good day.
I will most likely go back to 50% G, 50% S effective Monday 11/15.
It's a "wiggle" play because I still think we need a breather, but the 11/11 numbers are too strong to pass up for a play.
Tom
