Transfer 11/10 for 11/11/04

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tsptalk

tsptalk

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I am initiating a transfer Wednesday morning going 100% S fund effective Veteran's Day, Thursday, November 11th. It is historically a very good day.

I will most likely go back to 50% G, 50% S effective Monday 11/15.

It's a "wiggle" play because I still think we need a breather, but the 11/11 numbers are too strong to pass up for a play.

Tom
 
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tsptalk wrote:
I am initiating a transfer Wednesday morning going 100% S fund effective Veteran's Day, Thursday, November 11th. It is historically a very good day.

I will most likely go back to 50% G, 50% S effective Monday 11/15.

It's a "wiggle" play because I still think we need a breather, but the 11/11 numbers are too strong to pass up for a play.

Tom
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Hey Tom, I hate to go against ya, but I think you may be wrong on this. If you look back since 9-11-01, I VERY historical date don't ya think, the market has dropped every year either on Veteran's day or on the day that it was recognized. I think that when it comes to holiday's or other significant dates, people should only look back to charts since 9-11-01.

Remember, Bush won the election, folks may be a little worried "something" might happen.

Now the day "after" is a pretty good day and I'd love to jump back in for it, unfortunately we can't with TSP. So it's pretty much a trade off. Two out of the three years the day following Veteren's day has ended up higher than the day before Veteran's day so you'll probably end up okay, unless something really does happen. The only reason I'm getting out is because my system is telling to.

Good luck,

M_M
 
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mlk_man wrote:
tsptalk wrote:
I am initiating a transfer Wednesday morning going 100% S fund effective Veteran's Day, Thursday, November 11th. It is historically a very good day.

I will most likely go back to 50% G, 50% S effective Monday 11/15.

It's a "wiggle" play because I still think we need a breather, but the 11/11 numbers are too strong to pass up for a play.

Tom
Click to expand...
Hey Tom, I hate to go against ya, but I think you may be wrong on this. If you look back since 9111, I VERY historical date don't ya think, the market has dropped every year either on Veteran's day or on the day that it was recognized. I think that when it comes to holiday's or other significant dates, people should only look back to charts since 9111.

Remember, Bush won the election, folks may be a little worried "something" might happen.

Now the day "after" is a pretty good day and I'd love to jump back in for it, unfortunately we can't with TSP. So it's pretty much a trade off. Two out of the three years the day following Veteren's day has ended up higher than the day before Veteran's day so you'll probably end up okay, unless something really does happen. The only reason I'm getting out is because my system is telling to.

Good luck,

M_M
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As you may already know, I'm getting out because the last 3rate hikes have resulted in RED days 1 to 2 days after the hike.

Therefore, tomorrow may very well be RED.

God Bless:^
 
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those of us who followed rod's advise with 100% s did well. his strategy thus far has netted me well lately. well done, rod. ;)
 
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mlk_man wrote:
Hey Tom, I hate to go against ya, but I think you may be wrong on this. If you look back since 9111, I VERY historical date don't ya think, the market has dropped every year either on Veteran's day or on the day that it was recognized. I think that when it comes to holiday's or other significant dates, people should only look back to charts since 9111.
Click to expand...
Thanks for the warning mlk. Plus the fact that this year it is the day after an interest rate hike makes it a wild card unknown. Again no guarantees today. ;)
 
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Woops I ment to say What system MLK MAN are you using and where can I find historical data for a specific day?
 
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smine wrote:
those of us who followed rod's advise with 100% s did well. his strategy thus far has netted me well lately. well done, rod. ;)
Click to expand...
Thanx!:^
 
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JSRoss01 wrote:
Woops I ment to say What system MLK MAN are you using and where can I find historical data for a specific day?
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For a particular day, go to tsp.gov then click on Share Prices. But, their's only goes back about 6 months.

God Bless!:D
 
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JSRoss01 wrote:
What system is telling you to? and where do you find historical data for a specific day?
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GO to the finance section of Yahoo.com. Just track the indices or the ETF's that track the indices. For ex: S fund is VXF

M_M
 
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Hey clester, how's the chimp in charge today? See you tomorrow.

I moved into the G fund effective after the closing bell on Jun 30, Aug 10 and Sep 21. Each time I lucked out and protected my assets for a few days while the (C,S & I) funds had a loss. To me, the market is like an animal. Just when you think you understand it; it turns on you. What worked before may not work out again, especiallyif different conditions are thrown into the mix. But sometimes it does. In my very limited opinion, this interest rate hike resembles close to what I experienced during the Sep 21th hike. The first leg of the bull market wasrevealling itself, off and running since Aug 16. The market was on a great run until Sep 21. If you can recall, the market was flat to down most of the day. Soon after the rate hike was announced the market had small rally ( the I fund did great that day). For those who where not out into the G fund effectve after the closing bell, experienced a several day setback. The great thing for the buy and hold people was that it was short live since we werein an apparent bull market. I had a great run up until now and I know a pullback is coming. To me, the rate hike may be just the excuse that some investors are looking for to take some extremely good profits off the table.If there is a rally tomorrow, great. But I would feel worse if I lost a big portion of mythree week gain compare to a one or two day gain. Cash in hand outweighs the uncertainty of tomorrow. Question Tom, for the positive weight that you are using for tomorrow being positve, how many times does that include a rate hike the day before? Thanks. Good luck all.

40-c, 60- s, moving 100-g.
 

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100% agree with you... 100 % S... but a small and quick correction seems coming soon also... :^
 
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vectorman wrote:
Hey Rod, appreciate your comments. Unless you are restricted some how. I find that I can goback to June 02, 2003, to check price of shares. I use this method alot to make comparisons. http://www.tsp.gov/rates/share-prices.html

At the upper centerof the share-price page you should be able to select how far back you want to look.
Click to expand...
You are correct. I forgot about that, although I've used it before.

Well, today may not be as GREEN as we had hoped for.
 
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Went 100% s fund before deadline today. First time ever had all the eggs in one basket. Can you say nervous. As you can see I am still cherry enough to become emotionally atached to moves such as this. Oh well, twenty odd years to retirement. I suppose I should be taking more chances.

::crosses fingers and opens 1lb bag of twizzlers::
 
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vectorman wrote:
Question Tom, for the positive weight that you are using for tomorrow being positve, how many times does that include a rate hike the day before?
Click to expand...
Probably never. Not sure.
 
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