Transfer 10/19 for 10/20/04

[eukrate]

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Trade deficit pressures and anemic payrole growth.

 

[cowboy]

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eukrate wrote:

Tom -
I think you're missing a good bet here - the dollar will keep dropping until the election -my guess - so efa will continue up-biased.

What are you basing your theory on that the dollar will drop! I'm thinking the dollar is meeting some resistance levels according to the chart. Just a thought but if the market is ahead of the news then the election is already written into the market maybe the reason for the big hike yesterday.

 

[tsptalk]

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eukrate wrote:

Tom -
I think you're missing a good bet here - the dollar will keep dropping until the election -my guess - so efa will continue up-biased.

If the current support level doesn't hold, I will have to rethink that.

 

[eukrate]

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Tom -
I think you're missing a good bet here - the dollar will keep dropping until the election -my guess - so efa will continue up-biased.

 

[cowboy]

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Mike wrote:

...assuming of course that you had anything in G to move to the other funds after the gov't raided it. :shock:

You kind of lost me here Mike are you saying that everyone in G lost $ because the government borrowed against it. :%

 

[clester]

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I love the seasonality charts you post. Can you post one for the wilshire 4500 and the eafe.

Thanks

 

[Mike]

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...assuming of course that you had anything in G to move to the other funds after the gov't raided it. :shock:

 

[puertorico]

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JE JE JE DONT LET US HANGING...

sOrry about that ,ok

I DIT IT

50-G 30-C 10-S 10-I...:shock:

 

[Spaf]

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Tom I hope PR is OK! Cus when I looked at the market this morning, it looked like underground bamboo spikes.

 

[tsptalk]

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Well PR? What did you do? Don't leave us hanging.

 

[puertorico]

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tHInking to put some in C-FUND 40-C 60-G

10-MIN COUNTDOWN...

 

[puertorico]

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The dollar still down !

15-Min to play-

actually 100-G...

 

[puertorico]

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20nty min to get in to the game for Tuesday...

 

[puertorico]

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What's cooking for tomorrow ?



I like to get in,but I do not find and excuse yet :shock:

Somebody getting in....

 

[tsptalk]

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Mike wrote:

Two good calls in a row... I might have to pay attention to you again. :shock:

Thanks Mike-

Buteven a broken clock isright twice a day.

Just like clock work, I'm right maybe 2 or 3 times year. Come back in few months. I'll be due again.

 

[Mike]

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Okay Tom, I'll be relying on you to post that dollar chart in your market comments section as soon as the dollar busts out of its slump. :^

Two good calls in a row... I might have to pay attention to you again. :shock:

 

[tsptalk]

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Thanks folks. I won't let it get to my head because when I do, money usually comes out of my account. :shock:

Welcome smedlap!

 

[smedlap]

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I guess I placed this in the wrong forum but Isecond yourappropriate comment clester-

"Nice call Tom on the recommended move to S fund. I compliment you on your recommendations, supporting informationand a number of other post contributers. It has been a difficult market to play. Oil price increases changed what was a well defined playing field.

I see the experts espect the dollar to continue to deteriorate against the EURO which gives a slight advantage to the I Fund, however I see Asia holding it back to a good 2nd place finish against the S Fund. I see good US small business earningsfor 3qtr, oil remaining at mid $50 range until after Xmas, no realmarket moves until the elections and ifBush is re-elected, the ralley you havebeen expecting to follow.I don't see C fund making more than 5% by 31 Dec due to the weights of oil and the election. Your thoughts as I see theS fund of small / mid size business activities as continued best play. With the I fund, even though Europe is betterpostured than the US, Asia is not due to oil dependence?

Again thanks"

 

[clester]

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S fund up 12 cents. Good call. We held the support levels on the S&P. Will we keep moving up? I think the Tech stocks helped the S fund today. The big caps have been getting killed. Spitzer on the insurance stocks, earnings, oil.
Oil may not be hitting small caps as bad? What do you think going into election. Will we be flat until its over?

Looking forward to your comments for tomorow. The I fund may get a bounce tomorow. I'm 100% S.:^

 

[puertorico]

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TOM Wrote
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I will move 100% into the S fund effective tomorrow, 10/20.
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HERE u go again,good move

!!de fence !! dee fence !! defence !!