Transfer 10/19 for 10/20/04

[tsptalk]

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The dollar has come down pretty far, pretty quick. I could be completely wrong but since the I fund didn't seem to get the gains it probably should have on Monday, I expect a nice day for the I fund today. Hopefully we get it but because the dollar is due to rebound some,I will move 100% into the S fund effective tomorrow, 10/20.

As I mentioned in the email, it is a "wiggle" play. Not a necessary move by any means, just trying to avoid somepossible sluggishness we may see in the I fund if the dollar does rebound.

Still 50% S, 50% I fund today, 10/19,
100% S fund effective Wednesday 10/20

 

[TheProphet]

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Tom,

I love your market comments... I think you are right on the money... They will not give Dollars for free on the streets of Paris or Munich... Dollar most rebounce up... getting out of the I Fund is good idea... 100 % on S is the place to be... the question is when to get out... the 28 th or the 29th... last time I did not get out the 6th of September...shame on me waiting till the 8th...

Good Luck... Profit from your Patience...

Leon

 

[clester]

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I'm also going to move to all S fund. The weak dollar has really helped the I fund, but it does take huge swings sometimess. My guess is that the I will do good today. Euro stocks and japan way up this morning, so we may have some profit taking. The S fund stills needs to move up today. It needs to stay above the resistance level of about 12.83.
100% S fund starting tomorow.

 

[TheProphet]

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I do not know much about the I Fund...Just about the corelacion with the US Dollar index... but I do not know how is it... I need to study more about it... Any recommendation ? Leon

 

[Spaf]

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LK
The F fund "funkey" has been bobbling since September. From the first of September; 09-01=10.30, 10-19=10.38. Low=10.23 on 09-03. High= yesterday and today. The F is in fixed income securities. suppose to me better than a money market fund, and it pictures the US bond market.

 

[tsptalk]

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tsptalk wrote:

I could be completely wrong but since the I fund didn't seem to get the gains it probably should have on Monday, I expect a nice day for the I fund today. Hopefully we get it but because the dollar is due to rebound some,I will move 100% into the S fund effective tomorrow, 10/20.

I'm not right often enough to let this one go:

Tuesday 10/19...
C fund -.11, S fund -.09, I fund +.14

I had a feeling yesterday's drop in the I fund was a bit too odd with the markets up like they were. Wednesday I will be 100% S.

 

[creighton131]

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good call !you sure hit that one right keep up the good work and thanks again for all of us money dummies

 

[clester]

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The S fund is really making me nervous. I'm 100% for tomorow, but I may go 100% I for Thursday. The I fund chart looks a lot better and above all moving averages. 12.83 is a resistance level for the S fund. We could break through that level tomorow.

 

[clester]

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I fund with 50 day ma

 

[clester]

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Today has the look of not doing well. We could do a reversal, but we broke some key support levels. S&P below 1100, 10 T-Bond below 4% (Economic indicator), oil up, Spitzer effect.
If we close down the S fund will break its support level of 12.83. How low will we go? Think I'll move to F fund. Looking strickly at the charts it is trending up and making new highs.

 

[Guest]

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tsptalk wrote:

tsptalk wrote:

I could be completely wrong but since the I fund didn't seem to get the gains it probably should have on Monday, I expect a nice day for the I fund today. Hopefully we get it but because the dollar is due to rebound some,I will move 100% into the S fund effective tomorrow, 10/20.

I'm not right often enough to let this one go:

Tuesday 10/19...
C fund -.11, S fund -.09, I fund +.14

I had a feeling yesterday's drop in the I fund was a bit too odd with the markets up like they were. Wednesday I will be 100% S.

TSP,

The U.S. Dollar is getting crushed today. Does that matter to the I Fund?

:?. Oz

 

[Guest]

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Did you verify that your change went through? I just called and my G fund transfer did not go through and they have no record of it ever happening. Check and make sure. I'm still in the S and didn't want to be.

 

[tsptalk]

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Ozzy wrote:

TSP,

The U.S. Dollar is getting crushed today. Does that matter to the I Fund?

:?. Oz

That should help the I fund. I wonder how much however since they gave us that 14 cents yesterday.

 

[tsptalk]

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tsptakedown wrote:

Did you verify that your change went through? I just called and my G fund transfer did not go through and they have no record of it ever happening. Check and make sure. I'm still in the S and didn't want to be.

Someone else just posted the same thing. Mine seemed to go through OK. Only one time did I have that problem and it seemed to straighten itself out. Check your account periodically today.

 

[Ozzy]

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tsptalk wrote:

Ozzy wrote:

TSP,

The U.S. Dollar is getting crushed today. Does that matter to the I Fund?

:?. Oz

That should help the I fund. I wonder how much however since they gave us that 14 cents yesterday.

U.S. dollar down today a average of 1% against the major foreign currencies. Your reason to get out of the I Fund was because the U.S. dollar was going to rebound. It would seem by your own reasoning that if the U.S. dollar got weaker the I fund would move higher????

 

[tsptalk]

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Pat wrote:

tsptalk wrote:

Ozzy wrote:

TSP,

The U.S. Dollar is getting crushed today. Does that matter to the I Fund?

:?. Oz

That should help the I fund. I wonder how much however since they gave us that 14 cents yesterday.

U.S. dollar down today a average of 1% against the major foreign currencies. Your reason to get out of the I Fund was because the U.S. dollar was going to rebound. It would seem by your own reasoning that if the U.S. dollar got weaker the I fund would move higher????

It did help the I fund, the EAFE index was down .90% in foreign currency today but only .40% in U.S. dollars so it could have been worse for the I fund. [url]http://www.msci.com/equity/index2.html[/url]

Then add the readjusting.The I fund was down 6 cents. That's what I meant by "I wonder how much however since they gave us that 14 cents yesterday." That 14 cents was an error correction in my opinion, and today theyreadjusted again. I got lucky but I saw it coming.

The dollar being so weak Wednesday means that the I fund should benefit tomorrow for more readjusting. I wish I took advantage of it and got back in the I fund for Thursday, but I didn't. Watch that I fund tomorrow...boing!

The dollar should reboundin the short term so no sense hanging out there with the U.S. markets ready to move up. When the dollar rebounds, I'll go back to some I fund.

 

[Mike]

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Tom, what buy-in level are you looking at for getting back into the I-fund?

I'm waiting for it to drop back to $13.40ish.

 

[clester]

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My transfer did not go through for Wed. I should have been 100% S, but was 50 s 50 I. It cost me some bucks! Is there any recourse? That sucks. By the way my SSN end in a 9.

 

[tsptalk]

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Mike wrote:

Tom, what buy-in level are you looking at for getting back into the I-fund?

I'm waiting for it to drop back to $13.40ish.

Mike,
I watch the dollar more than the I fund share price. The dollar is due for a rebound so I'll stay with US funds for now. But like oil, you never know how long they can go up, or down...

Chart provided courtesy of [url]http://www.decisionpoint.com[/url]

 

[puertorico]

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TOM Wrote
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I will move 100% into the S fund effective tomorrow, 10/20.
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HERE u go again,good move

!!de fence !! dee fence !! defence !!