Tough Act to Follow

[dannyboy]

A good Sept. can be followed by a good Oct? :notrust:
IFT's: c-60,I-40%%

 

[Boghie]

I have been tracking my TSP account in Quicken since 2004/01/01 - actually before, but I archived the earlier stuff to the electronic black hole.

Anyway, I've got a good September record and a very spotty October.

September is usually a month of moderate moves.

October, not so much...

Beware

 

[dannyboy]

A good Sept. can be followed by a good Oct? :notrust:
IFT's: c-60,I-40%%

*********************************
10-19-10,
Oct had been good to me and I finally had a positive YTD%, today and then KA-BOOM. Oh Well. the market giveth and then taketh away. I had been trying to do mid-cycle election results RESEARCH as it pertained to markets? Does Anyone out there know if there is any direct, correlations between mid-cycle election results and markets? :suspicious:

 

[Birchtree]

I covered that topic with several articles in my thread. Interesting reading too.

 

[JTH]

The markets priced in all this political stuff already, it's now time to deflate...

 

[tsptalk]

Not to get into politics here (go here for that) but I think you are correct about the House - it's priced in, but the fact that the Senate is still a toss up, makes it still in play, imo. Gridlock in DC = higher prices. As the polls in the Senate go, so goes the market.

Today was finally a day affected by earnings. It was a 'sell the news' reaction, but at least it was market related and not politics.

 

[dannyboy]

I covered that topic with several articles in my thread. Interesting reading too.

I'd like it if you could point out which post #'s you refer to? :suspicious:
Thanx,
DB

 

[Birchtree]

Here's one. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article23021.html

 

[dannyboy]

How do they figure the YTD Return %????

I am an infrequent lurker to see:
What everyone thinks and just
How things are looking that day?
I keep an EXCEL db with the data for almost everyday since 1997?
I have done alright this year? I figure I should get the YTD Return %
by taking the difference 10-21-10 from 1-1-10 and then divide this difference by the 10-21-10 amount. I get a figure of .094%, but the tracker has (-.16%)??

 

[Handballer]

Not to get into politics here (go here for that) but I think you are correct about the House - it's priced in, but the fact that the Senate is still a toss up, makes it still in play, imo. Gridlock in DC = higher prices. As the polls in the Senate go, so goes the market.

Today was finally a day affected by earnings. It was a 'sell the news' reaction, but at least it was market related and not politics.

The democraps say they will not surrender either one.

 

[Scout333]

Re: How do they figure the YTD Return %????

I am an infrequent lurker to see:
What everyone thinks and just
How things are looking that day?
I keep an EXCEL db with the data for almost everyday since 1997?
I have done alright this year? I figure I should get the YTD Return %
by taking the difference 10-21-10 from 1-1-10 and then divide this difference by the 10-21-10 amount. I get a figure of .094%, but the tracker has (-.16%)??

DB, Did you account for your contributions? I.e. would be in the current balance amount but would not be profit. Profit(Loss) = current balance - beginning balance - contributed amounts. Then divide Profit(Loss) by beginning balance to get a rough estimate of return on investment %. Take a look at this spreadsheet which has the ROI calculator built in.
http://www.tsptalk.com/utilities/Scouts_Spreadsheet.xls