TopNotch Account Talk

MMM Some good points indeed Flalaw97. Long term charts still look good for C and S. Weekly stock review is out. Do you guys think elections will have any effect this year on markets?


Currently 40% C 60% S
IFT's left for Aug 1
Yearly return 2.36% (auto-tracker) 5.64% (my tracker)
-Top
 
What a week, what a ride, what a crazy year. Like most I don't know how the 2020 story will end but I will keep watching the trends. Who would of thought if you bought the 10% dip the markets would go down another 15% to 20% and who would of guessed markets would be up only a few months later?!?! Loss most of my advantage on the C fund mitigating risk this summer. But finally got above the fund that has been leading all year that F fund! Beating all funds now accept the C and only lag by a percent. Enjoy the video!

Currently 60% S 40% C
IFT's left for August 1
Yearly return 5.34%% (auto-tracker) 8.46% (my tracker)
-Top
 
Well what looked like a good week went south in a hurry. Question is how far south will it go? I am pretty happy with my 31st TSP move. Glad I have two moves for September still. I am also ahead of markets again and really don't want to lose my advantage. Hopeful to get in at a good point later this month. Also with elections though I may want to hold my gains. We will see. What are your thoughts on the rest of the year?

Currently 100% G
IFT's left for September 2
Yearly return 5.34%% (auto-tracker) 8.47% (my tracker)
-Top
 
Weekly Markets are doing some interesting things. Have a lot of info for the charts this week. A lot of it comes from Ciovacco. They do some good work. I think we are at a point of indecision will bonds that have been on top most the year beat out stocks not only for the near term but for the next couple of years? Or will stocks be able to overcome? We got an election coming up so for me it would be good to stay on the side and finish the year strong with what I have earned. I and markets have come a long way and pretty happy with the gains. TopNotch is now beating all TSP funds and the S&P 500 for this year at this point.

Currently 100% G
IFT's left for September 2
Yearly return 5.35%% (auto-tracker) 8.47% (my tracker)
-Top
 
I think we are at a point of indecision will bonds that have been on top most the year beat out stocks not only for the near term but for the next couple of years? Or will stocks be able to overcome?

My opinion... as long as the Fed keeps interest rates at historic lows, the market will keep going up. Money is essentially free to borrow, so the big banks are taking as much of it as they can and pumping it into the markets. Weakness gets bought up quick. Can't fight the Fed...
 
That is a good point bmneveu
user-online.png
charts did break down pretty good earlier this year though.

Markets for September have not been as kind as they were in August. September has always been a weak month historically for charts. If the C fund stays below the 50 moving avg this week. I would trend lightly. The longer a market stays below or above a trend line or move avg the more significant it becomes.

Currently 100% G
IFT's left for September 2
Yearly return 5.37%% (auto-tracker) 8.50% (my tracker)
-Top
 
Had a great trading week for TopNotch was about to stay in the green and earn about 1.00% for the week. TopNotch outperformed all weekly TSP returns and I am currently outperforming all monthly and yearly TSP returns! Had a great swing trade this month!

I hope for a relief rally for 2% to 6% before charts continue down to the 200 day move avg. Do you agree with me? Enjoy the video!


Currently 50% C and 50% S
IFT's left for September 0
Yearly return 6.38%% (auto-tracker) 9.54% (my tracker)
-Top
 
What a crazy year! Happy to be on top so far. Hoping the fourth quarter will be a good one for stocks. Historically it is. For September TopNotch was able to pull out a 3% gain! Enjoy the video.


Currently 100% G
IFT's left for October 1
Yearly return 8.40%% (auto-tracker) 12.59% (my tracker)
-Top
 
October was more bullish then I thought. I have no idea how the election will go but hope it will go in favor of stocks. Enjoy the video.


Currently 50% C 50% S
IFT's left for October 0
Yearly return 8.95%% (auto-tracker) 13.16% (my tracker)
-Top
 
What a massive blood bath... October has really gone crazy. Still on top of markets... But not by much.

Currently 50% C 50% S
IFT's left for October 0
Yearly return 2.49%% (auto-tracker) 6.45% (my tracker)
-Top
 
Whelp last two months did not react how I thought. It did not pay to sit on the sidelines. I have included the end of year review and the first week of 2021. 2020 I started on the top of the charts and even won a mug. But like most people it was 2020... Hoping for a better year and to stay with markets or ahead throughout the year.

 
Weekly Stock Review is out. Stocks seem to be rolling right along despite tech flaws. How long can markets sustain is the question?
 
So far not too impressed with performance this year. Not sure if it is the way I am reading the charts or the indicators I am looking at are not working as well for the year.
 
Let's talk about those bonds or the F fund not pulling its weight when stocks are down. Glad we have charts to show us where to go. F fund is usually safe but NOT this year.
 
Moving into stock funds this weekend. Fear of missing out? Maybe. Also just sick of G we will see. Enjoy the video.

 
Didn't make the move into stock funds. Still waiting. Maybe this week? Stocks on long term charts for the C fund look good and lots of support for most our stock funds. Time will tell.
 
Back
Top