The Weather Thread

[ebbnflow]

Is there a correlation between the price of oil (or consumption) and the severity of hurricanes we get? Are there any studies (statistics) done on this? I have seen people taking up alternative modes of transportation (scooter, bike, walking) during this year. Maybe the ozone only needed a chance to rebuild itself to shield us from the sun's radiation, and as a result, the ocean may not be warm or receptive enough to support more hurricanes. :blink:

 

[The_Technician]

El Nino effects on Hurricanes

Nnuut...thought this would be a good resource for some


http://news.yahoo.com/s/space/20060915/sc_space/elninoformsthrottlinghurricaneformation

El Nino conditions have developed in the tropical Pacific and are likely to continue into early 2007, scientists announced yesterday.
El Nino is marked by warmer water in the Pacific off the coast of South America. It alters weather patterns in the United States and throttles hurricane formation in the Atlantic by pumping energy high into the atmosphere and fueling wind currents that cross the Americas and shear the tops off some Atlantic storms before they can develop into hurricanes.
Researchers had said in August El Nino might be forming; ocean temperatures increased remarkably in the equatorial Pacific during the last two weeks [map].
"Currently, weak El Nino conditions exist, but there is a potential for this event to strengthen into a moderate event by winter," said Vernon Kousky, NOAA's lead El Nino forecaster.
The shift helps explain why this Atlantic hurricane season has been less active than was previously expected, according to a NOAA statement.
But with El Nino weak, the effects on hurricanes are modest.
"We are still in the peak months of the Atlantic hurricane season, and conditions remain generally conducive for hurricane formation," said Gerry Bell, NOAA's lead seasonal hurricane forecaster.
If El Nino continues to hold, the United States should expect wetter-than-average conditions over portions of the Gulf Coast and southeastern states in the first three months of 2007, and warmer-than-average conditions would likely settle in over the West, the northern Great Plains and the upper Midwest.

 

[nnuut]

Like I said:!

 

[Dave M]

My Bet Stands

Back in May I bet my supervisor that I would not have to put up my shutters at all this year. (We had four hurricanes down here last year.) Since it is illegal to wager in a federal facility, and inherently inadvisable to wager with one's rating official, the bet was for an ice cream at the DQ across the street.

So far so good. Now if only we could get a genuine cold front to come through. Believe me, I am ready for and end to the sauna that is September. We haven't even had a decent trade wind regime in about six weeks -- another sign of El Nino.

Dave

 

[FundSurfer]

Farmers Almanac Winter 2007 prediction
Farmers Almanac predicts, "The 2007 Farmers’ Almanac, released August 28, 2006, predicts the frigid temperatures, as much as 20 degrees below seasonal norms (and nearly 40 degrees colder than last winter), for Montana, the Dakotas and parts of Wyoming. For the Gulf Coast up through New England, unseasonably cold, or “shivery,” conditions are expected.

Snow, and lots of it, is also forecast for the nation’s midsection, parts of New England, and the mountains of the Pacific Northwest. “The Great Lakes and Ohio River Valley may be the only area spared the extreme cold,” reveals Sandi Duncan, Philom., Managing Editor, “but this is not to say this area won’t be without its cold spells and significant snowfalls.”

 

[Gilligan]

Japan has a Super Typhoon out in the Pacific. This could be one reason that the Nikkei is down.
http://www.weather.com/hurricanecentral/index.html

Yagi has now reached "Super Typhoon" status with top winds of 160 mph. Yagi is currently over the open waters of the western Pacific Ocean and is forecast to miss mainland Japan

 

[Fivetears]

More Midwest storms are forecast; 7 dead.
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - High winds, heavy rain and tornadoes pounded parts of the Midwest and the South, leaving seven people dead and stranding others in trees and shelters while forecasters warned Saturday of more stormy weather to come. Stormy weather buffeted the region Friday. Areas in northeast Arkansas and southeast Missouri received more than 10 inches of rain in 24 hours.
http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=514&u=/ap/20060923/ap_on_re_us/severe_weather_18