The Charts are Changing

After updating the Top 15 and 50 charts today I noticed a significant shift in both groups, which may be suggesting it's time to get defensive.

First the Top 50:

2010 Fund Allocation ~ Top 50 Chart 3.jpg
2010 Cash-Stock Exp ~ Top 50 Chart 1.jpg

Stock levels decidedly up, cash levels down. This is a picture of what's working from past to present and not necessarily what will work moving forward. It is not particularly telling in and of itself and should come as no surprise that some of our more aggressive tracker folks are moving up the list given recent gains.

2010 Fund Allocation ~ Top 15 Chart 3.jpg
Total Cash-Stock Exp ~ Top 15 Chart 1.jpg

The Top 15 on the other hand is showing the opposite action. Stocks down, cash up. This group is made up of active traders who've proven they have some measure of market savvy based on two years of tracker performance. Today's shift was large enough to demand at least some consideration of getting defensive.

This is my second blog for today, so if you haven't seen my daily Seven Sentinel comments yet, make sure you find that post and get today's read. See you tomorrow.
 
interesting... I made an IFT today knowing it was a gamble. I think it is 50 / 50 up or down right now so I went 50 / 50 stocks to cash. Hopefully any corrections are shallow for now :)
 
While I agree the smart money should be more defensive, the top 50's action is partially due to the IFT limits and the reload of new IFTs. Point being, if we had unlimited IFT's, I'm not sure the top 50 chart would be as bullish.
 
JTH;bt1197 said:
While I agree the smart money should be more defensive, the top 50's action is partially due to the IFT limits and the reload of new IFTs. Point being, if we had unlimited IFT's, I'm not sure the top 50 chart would be as bullish.

Yes, I have mentioned before that our IFT restrictions will always distort the "true" picture to some extent. I would have jumped into stocks early last week if I could have. I suspect others may have as well. These are things we have to keep in mind when trying to interpret these charts.
 
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