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Technical Analysis of TSP Funds
- Thread starter MattN
- Start date
imported post
Guys/Girls
None of us know where the market is going! The reason I asked Tom to start this thread was so along with my reading on the side, I could learn from all of you about the message the market is sending us through charts/graphs. This stuff can really work if weget educated and help each other out.
I'm not worried about earnings reports, PE ratio's, fundamentals, price of oil, fed rate increases, etc.. . at least all the stuff I've been reading puts no substance to this. People always seem to guess off of that stuff, it appears. I'm trying to understand a more predictable (not perfect by any means) way of doing things. Let's keep the talk to Technical analysis, please. Thanks for everyone's input. Humbly written.. . Aslan
Guys/Girls
None of us know where the market is going! The reason I asked Tom to start this thread was so along with my reading on the side, I could learn from all of you about the message the market is sending us through charts/graphs. This stuff can really work if weget educated and help each other out.
I'm not worried about earnings reports, PE ratio's, fundamentals, price of oil, fed rate increases, etc.. . at least all the stuff I've been reading puts no substance to this. People always seem to guess off of that stuff, it appears. I'm trying to understand a more predictable (not perfect by any means) way of doing things. Let's keep the talk to Technical analysis, please. Thanks for everyone's input. Humbly written.. . Aslan
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
Aslan wrote:
To understand the market, it takes knowing both fundamentals (the economy) and the the analysis (technical charts, etc.). The market sends out all sorts of messages. Reading the messages is not always easy. Start your education by understanding The Dow Theory; to understand the primary movements of the market. Once you get a grasp on The Dow Theory, the pieces will begin to fall toghether and you can sort the BS from the truth. In TSP the S&P (C-fund) will give you the best market view, the rest of the funds you can judge on performance. See www.stockcharts.com. RE: $SPX. The TSP funds are index funds, except G, so their analysis can be viewed at the TSP site.
Fundamentals are important, you got to have a chicken first. I reference the fundamentals as the four horsemen: earnings, rates, inflation, and energy. Keeping a eye on the transportations RE: $TRAN is a breath of the future. You got to get the goods to the producer.
Rgds, and be careful!
Spaf
Aslan wrote:
Aslan,
To understand the market, it takes knowing both fundamentals (the economy) and the the analysis (technical charts, etc.). The market sends out all sorts of messages. Reading the messages is not always easy. Start your education by understanding The Dow Theory; to understand the primary movements of the market. Once you get a grasp on The Dow Theory, the pieces will begin to fall toghether and you can sort the BS from the truth. In TSP the S&P (C-fund) will give you the best market view, the rest of the funds you can judge on performance. See www.stockcharts.com. RE: $SPX. The TSP funds are index funds, except G, so their analysis can be viewed at the TSP site.
Fundamentals are important, you got to have a chicken first. I reference the fundamentals as the four horsemen: earnings, rates, inflation, and energy. Keeping a eye on the transportations RE: $TRAN is a breath of the future. You got to get the goods to the producer.
Rgds, and be careful!
Spafimported post
Spaf-
I have a copy of the "Dow Theory" but have not read it yet. I'm also familiar with www.stockcharts.com. I'm familiar with the symbols for those charts as well. Thanks I've got a lot to read and understand.
Spaf-
I have a copy of the "Dow Theory" but have not read it yet. I'm also familiar with www.stockcharts.com. I'm familiar with the symbols for those charts as well. Thanks I've got a lot to read and understand.
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
A book that I recommend, with few biases and a lot of good information is "Trading for Dummies" by Michael Griffis and Lita Epstein, about $25 new. Maybe, less at amason .com.
A few things you might want to rewiew: Moving averages, noteworth the 20 day MA., Relative strength indicators RSI (over bought/over sold), Money flow indicators, try CMI., The Parabolic-SAR. See: www.incrediblecharts.com RE: trading guide. It's a good site.
Rgds Spaf
A book that I recommend, with few biases and a lot of good information is "Trading for Dummies" by Michael Griffis and Lita Epstein, about $25 new. Maybe, less at amason .com.
A few things you might want to rewiew: Moving averages, noteworth the 20 day MA., Relative strength indicators RSI (over bought/over sold), Money flow indicators, try CMI., The Parabolic-SAR. See: www.incrediblecharts.com RE: trading guide. It's a good site.
Rgds
Spaf
imported post
Aslan wrote:
Tom
Aslan wrote:
Actually Aslan, here is the forumwe started.. http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/forum41/. These other TA threads were kind of spread out among several forums and topics. I think it was a great idea you had to have a specific forum for TA. It's a big part of trading and investing.
Tom
mlk_man
Banned
imported post
mbehr55 wrote:
At least I feel better!
Good luck,
M_M
mbehr55 wrote:
Interesting site. Just goes to show you, no system is impervious to losses. Since their first "live" signal on 3\10\05, they are down about 4% using their short-term model with the Russell 2000 (our S fund basically). Even my system is beating that.....
At least I feel better!Good luck,
M_M
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
mbehr55 wrote:
Paper stops for the C-fund is something I sort of like. Generally I'll set an alert stop at 1% and a trailing stop at 2%. Oil can be a stop of sorts. As of lately we have been using <55 = ok, 55 - 60 = worry, and >60 = panic.
Otherwise we use:
mbehr55 wrote:
They got so many analysis indicators you can't fit them all in your bag. Pick a few that show: trends, strength, and money flow. A moving average of 21 days will give a good heads up, also a possible over reaction if not used with other indicators.
Paper stops for the C-fund is something I sort of like. Generally I'll set an alert stop at 1% and a trailing stop at 2%. Oil can be a stop of sorts. As of lately we have been using <55 = ok, 55 - 60 = worry, and >60 = panic.
Otherwise we use:
imported post
Are you talking free data or paid? I'm not sure of any free services but I think chartsmart is $28/month for daily updates.
Here is a source of varoius services... http://www.financedownload.com/investingsoftware/investingsoftware.htm
Are you talking free data or paid? I'm not sure of any free services but I think chartsmart is $28/month for daily updates.
Here is a source of varoius services... http://www.financedownload.com/investingsoftware/investingsoftware.htm
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