From 1960, the Month of June Is the beginning of the worst 4-Months of the year, and is the 2nd of the worst 5 & 6 Months of the year. Comparing the 12 months of the year, June & September are the only months with an average less than 0%.
Overall, June ranks as the 11th worst month of the year.
--- It's 10 of 12 for the worst win ratio at 54%.
--- It's 12 of 12 for the worst average-of-all-gains at 2.42%
--- It's 11 of 12 for the worst average at -.11%
--- It's 4 of 12 for the best average-of-all-losses at -3.09%
Looking at the previous 63 Months of June, we do have some statistical tailwinds.
--- The last 21 years have a 57% win ratio.
--- When May closed positive, June closed up 58% of the time.
--- When May closed above the 12-Month SMA, June closed up 61% of the time.
For June's price projection (based on past data)
--- Buyers should look to step in at or below 4051 (the average of all losses).
--- Sellers should look to step out at 4281 or above (the average of all gains).
For myself, if we get a pullback, I'll look to take a dip, until then I'll continue to paper trade the G-Fund.
Thanks and have a great month!
Overall, June ranks as the 11th worst month of the year.
--- It's 10 of 12 for the worst win ratio at 54%.
--- It's 12 of 12 for the worst average-of-all-gains at 2.42%
--- It's 11 of 12 for the worst average at -.11%
--- It's 4 of 12 for the best average-of-all-losses at -3.09%
Looking at the previous 63 Months of June, we do have some statistical tailwinds.
--- The last 21 years have a 57% win ratio.
--- When May closed positive, June closed up 58% of the time.
--- When May closed above the 12-Month SMA, June closed up 61% of the time.
For June's price projection (based on past data)
--- Buyers should look to step in at or below 4051 (the average of all losses).
--- Sellers should look to step out at 4281 or above (the average of all gains).
For myself, if we get a pullback, I'll look to take a dip, until then I'll continue to paper trade the G-Fund.
Thanks and have a great month!
