Squalebear's Account Talk

[justbizness45]

Charts aren't very clear to me but it looks like we didn't break the 50 DMA but stopped on top of it. From Tom's write up today

"The S&P 500 fell back into the wedge / triangle - whatever we want to call it today - that we have been talking about for a few days. I won't go into the drama again. Let's just say we are watching to see which side (up or down) breaks first."

It looks to me that a break out hasn't quite happened yet and we are at resistance. I am going to hang for another day or two. 25C/25S/50G There has been alot of talk of S&P 1280/1320/1380 to bail. I initially was thinking 1320. What do you more savvy individuals think?, as I am still a rookie at this. . I do have one IFT left this month.

 

[Guest2]

When you're up close to 3% in real account (which I am), why play around w/success until its a bettter bet, eh?

Exactly, being up +1.37% MTD and seeing the (C) Fund up approximately
+2.42% MTD isn't so disappointing when you look at the big picture. The
(C) is down approximately -10.54% while I'm +0.54% YTD. Keep on Keep'n On !

What do you more savvy individuals think?, as I am still a rookie at this. . I do have one IFT left this month.

We are all rookies at this, even the more savvy members are on this
MB to seek help and to help others. 1320 is a strong technical point
that may still hold the key to continued profits within a true Bull. I'm
DCAing out of stocks because I would rather see a strong steady
rise, as opposed to the +1% jumps we've seen this month. Monday
may be just as exciting ! The train is still moving forward !

 

[Guest2]

This O/D Tracker appears to be in love with the "blue" area. This is one
of the reasons I'm begining to lean towards adjusting the "blue" area to
"black" or "flip a coin - Medium Overpayment". In fact, the adjustment
is being made over the weekend. So lets just say for now, we're in the
"flip a coin" area right now. I never knew how much the dollar could
have such a strong impact on the fund. But that is the general view.
In time, the (I) fund will rebound to being what we all remember to be.
The powerhouse of profit ! Just how long that will take is anyones guess!

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(7/14/08) +0.397% -0.4372 tsp cents
(7/15/08) - 0.508% -0.3229 tsp cents
(7/16/08) -0.3206%-0.2605 tsp cents
(7/17/08) -0.2940%-0.2013 tsp cents
(7/18/08) -0.2422%-0.1504 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(7/21/08) +0.7334%-0.3109 tsp cents
(7/22/08) -0.7174%-0.1553 tsp cents
(7/23/08) +0.5982%-0.2868 tsp cents
(7/24/08) +0.4519%-0.3797 tsp cents
(7/25/08) -0.5288%-0.2868 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(7/28/08) +0.4966% -0.3660 tsp cents
(7/29/08) -0.3038% -0.3039 tsp cents
(7/30/08) +0.2671% -0.3650 tsp cents
(7/31/08) +0.1610% -0.3266 tsp cents
(8/01/08) +0.4469% -0.4172 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(8/04/08) -0.0408% -0.4046 tsp cents
(8/05/08) -0.6135% -0.2821 tsp cents
(8/06/08) -0.1200% -0.2564 tsp cents
(8/07/08) +0.4625% -0.3490 tsp cents
(8/08/08) -0.1342% -0.3219 tsp cents


THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ----
- .9999 thru -.4000 Holy Cow !
- .4000 thru -.3000 High Overpayment (Rarely Goes Higher)
- .3000 thru -.2000 Meduim Overpayment, (Flip A Coin)
- .2000 thru -.1000 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
-.1000 thru-.0000 (Not Seen For Over 2 Months)
-------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
+.0000 thru+.1000 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
+.1000 thru+.1500 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
+.1500 thru+.2500 High Deficit (Rarely Goes Lower)
+.2500 thru+.3000 Windfall Coming !
---------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Guest2]

Duty Calls, but I'll be back to catch up on some reading in the early morn !
Congratulation on a Great TSP day ! Remember this when you evaluate your
current position, the TSP Funds are still flirting with double digit loses YTD
and there's gonna be plenty of opportunity to take advantage of the market.
Until tomarrow, pop a cork for me (i don't drink) and celebrate life and family
as THAT is what truly matters during our short time here on earth.
(that was a Steadygain Style closing)

 

[Show-me]

Amen!

 

[justbizness45]

Until tomarrow, pop a cork for me (i don't drink) and celebrate life and family
as THAT is what truly matters during our short time here on earth.
(that was a Steadygain Style closing)

I will have a nip for you tonight. :cheesy: Keep the peace and love the family. That is what it is all about.
JB45

 

[Guest2]

JUST THE UPDATE I TALKED ABOUT EARLIER IN MY THREAD.


......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(7/14/08) +0.397% -0.4372 tsp cents
(7/15/08) - 0.508% -0.3229 tsp cents
(7/16/08) -0.3206%-0.2605 tsp cents
(7/17/08) -0.2940%-0.2013 tsp cents
(7/18/08) -0.2422%-0.1504 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(7/21/08) +0.7334%-0.3109 tsp cents
(7/22/08) -0.7174%-0.1553 tsp cents
(7/23/08) +0.5982%-0.2868 tsp cents
(7/24/08) +0.4519%-0.3797 tsp cents
(7/25/08) -0.5288%-0.2868 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(7/28/08) +0.4966% -0.3660 tsp cents
(7/29/08) -0.3038% -0.3039 tsp cents
(7/30/08) +0.2671% -0.3650 tsp cents
(7/31/08) +0.1610% -0.3266 tsp cents
(8/01/08) +0.4469% -0.4172 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(8/04/08) -0.0408% -0.4046 tsp cents
(8/05/08) -0.6135% -0.2821 tsp cents
(8/06/08) -0.1200% -0.2564 tsp cents
(8/07/08) +0.4625% -0.3490 tsp cents
(8/08/08) -0.1342% -0.3219 tsp cents


THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ----
- .9999 thru -.4000 High Overpayment (Rarely Goes Higher)
- .4000 thru -.3000 Meduim Overpayment, (Flip A Coin)
- .3000 thru -.2000 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
- .2000 thru -.1000 (Not Seen Too Often)
- .1000 thru -.0000 (Not Seen For Over 2 Months)
-------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
+.0000 thru+.1000 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
+.1000 thru+.1500 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
+.1500 thru+.2500 High Deficit (Rarely Goes Lower)
+.2500 thru+.3000 Windfall Coming !
---------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Guest2]

When will be the best time to consider the (I) Fund as being the place to be? I've been wating, like many of you, to see the (I) Fund turn around and be the Fund we all knew and loved financially. The dollar continues to skyrocket upward against the Euro, but consider this. The Dollar will slow up and level off. The European Markets will eventually get a grip on their sagging economies. Throw in some lower oil prices around the world to get everyone excited and what do you have? Is this the scenario that will kick the (I) Fund into glory? I'd love your thoughts on this !

 

[Guest2]

Hurricane Central is poised for a busy week !
AND a busy season. They adjusted their outlook
for Aug/Sept to Trillabars instead of Millabars.
Just when we thought the oil bubble popped,
someone comes in and starts blowing it full of
Tropical Air. This could get interesting !
:worried:​

 

[airlift]

If I am not mistaken, I believe it was Corepuncher who stated that he is a meteorologist. Excuse me if I have confused the identity of the person, but I welcome a knowledgeable interpretation of anyone versed in meteorology in relation to the impact on the stock markets! TIA.

 

[Guest2]

If I am not mistaken, I believe it was Corepuncher who stated that he is a meteorologist. Excuse me if I have confused the identity of the person, but I welcome a knowledgeable interpretation of anyone versed in meteorology in relation to the impact on the stock markets! TIA.

My friend, then Corepuncher is the right man for the job ! I've called myself
a frustrated meteorologist, from time to time, as I'm absolutely amazed
at Natures Power (and sometime fury). But the effects on markets isn't
rocket science. Refinaries and Platforms in the path of a Hurricane=BAD
,,,,,,,BAD=Oil prices rise,,,,,,,,,Oil Prices Rise= Market Drops,,,,,,,,Market
Drops=BAD. Its like a viscious circle or revolving door. Anyway, I'm glad
you gave me the opportunity to spew some thoughts. I was begining to
think that I was all alone ! :embarrest:

 

[Guest2]

Bloomberg TV just had a exclusive report that Naked Short Selling
and Puts drove Bear Sterns into the ground. The FCC is now doing
an investigation to see if Bear Sterns died of Natural Causes or was
Murdered by the questionable moves which I've stated above. :notrust:

 

[Guest2]

Nice Day Today (So Far) !

I pulled another 10% out of the Stock Funds.

Some may have noticed that I've been doing this often.

Current Allocation at COB: (C)5% and (S)10% and (G)85%

I'm not beating the (C) & (S) MTD returns, but thats not my goal.

I'm currently up for the year and plan on making it really tough for the

stock funds to catch up to me. Right now, the (C) would need to gain

10% and the (S) would need to gain 6%. I believe the market will decline

for the week. But I've been wrong before ! We'll just have to wait and see.

 

[luv2read]

Bloomberg TV just had a exclusive report that Naked Short Selling
and Puts drove Bear Sterns into the ground. The FCC is now doing
an investigation to see if Bear Sterns died of Natural Causes or was
Murdered by the questionable moves which I've stated above. :notrust:

BSC's own 2 big hedge funds did it in. The evidence is there for all to see.

 

[nasa1974]

Nice Day Today (So Far) !

I pulled another 10% out of the Stock Funds.

Some may have noticed that I've been doing this often.

Current Allocation at COB: (C)5% and (S)10% and (G)85%

I'm not beating the (C) & (S) MTD returns, but thats not my goal.

I'm currently up for the year and plan on making it really tough for the

stock funds to catch up to me. Right now, the (C) would need to gain

10% and the (S) would need to gain 6%. I believe the market will decline

for the week. But I've been wrong before ! We'll just have to wait and see.

SB, I agree with you that a decline is coming and it feels to me that it could be by the end of the week. I have been debating when to start retreating to the lilly pad. Right now I am hedging for Tuesday or maybe Wednesday. It will depend on volume in the market for me to figure out when to move. But now would be a good time to protect what I have earned YTD. Interestingly enough not too many people have made more than one IFT if any IFT's this month (if you look at the tracker). Only about 12 people have made 2 or more IFT's this month. Will joining you on the lilly pad pretty soon.

May the force be with us.

 

[luv2read]

Check out P&F Chart School thread!

Waiting for James' analysis....

 

[Guest2]

SB, I agree with you that a decline is coming and it feels to me that it could be by the end of the week. I have been debating when to start retreating to the lilly pad. Right now I am hedging for Tuesday or maybe Wednesday. It will depend on volume in the market for me to figure out when to move. But now would be a good time to protect what I have earned YTD. Interestingly enough not too many people have made more than one IFT if any IFT's this month (if you look at the tracker). Only about 12 people have made 2 or more IFT's this month. Will joining you on the lilly pad pretty soon.May the force be with us.

We might see some consolidation. What lows will the market test,
I haven't a clue (yet). Hind sight is 20/20. The S&P is up approximately
3.31% for August. While I'm up 1.64% MTD. I'd sound pretty foolish to
say; I'd rather be up 1.64%. But I feel all right about it because it was
the cost of risk tolerence. By August 31st, I might even sound like a
genius. Who knows ! If those who haven't made IFT's in August and
happen to be in the (G),,,,,well,,,,,,OUCH ! But anyone who stuck to
their guns since August 1st within the (C) and (S),,,,,well,,,, Thats
MOST EXCELLANT DUDE ! (Bill&Ted Reference). WILD STALLIONS !!!!!!

 

[Guest2]

Employers boost 401(k)s to meet workers' demand

By DAVE CARPENTER, AP Business Writer
12 HOURS AGO
CHICAGO - Corporate America may have turned its back on traditional pensions but it appears to be embracing 401(k)s more than ever.
While retirement savings remain largely up to employees, companies are spending more to strengthen their plans through features that boost savings such as automatic enrollment, advice and more investment options. Some also are increasing or initiating matching contributions.
Many executives say it's a matter of meeting employee demand and makes good business sense too.

The trend of companies beefing up and expanding their 401(k) programs was underscored in a poll of senior finance executives from large companies nationwide, released Monday by the Charles Schwab Corp.
The survey respondents were not disclosed but evidence of 401(k) upgrades abounds.

Ariba Inc., a Sunnyvale, Calif.-based company that produces accounting software, has made a half-dozen improvements to its 401(k) plan since 2006. It began matching employee contributions up to 6 percent, made enrollment automatic and added a Roth option and target-date funds.
Over the two years the company has rolled out new features, it has seen retirement assets among its more than 2,000 employees increase by 60 percent.

"We saw it as a tool to help us with retention and recruitment" in vying with larger Silicon Valley companies for talent, Jerry Bernard, Ariba's treasurer, said of the changes. "This definitely is something that has helped with our stature in the community and with our competitiveness."
The Schwab survey of 208 executives, conducted by CFO Research Services online in June, found that 84 percent agreed that a 401(k) plan is necessary for recruiting and retaining a high-quality work force. Also, 67 percent said they believe offering a 401(k) plan enhances the company's corporate reputation and 58 percent said it contributes to a company's long-term financial success.

Simply having a plan in place is not seen as enough. Schwab said 87 percent of those surveyed said it's important to provide employees with investment advice to help them make investment decisions. And 55 percent said they expect to devote even more resources to strengthening their plans in coming years.

Dean Kohmann, Schwab vice president of 401(k) plan services, said employers recognize that it behooves them to give their employees assistance and tools to help manage their accounts.
"Executives realize that if employees are stressed out financially, have excess debt, it really makes them less productive," he said. "There's a real financial benefit to the company, a long-term financial benefit, for their employees to be on track for retirement and financially fit."
Xilinx Inc., a semiconductor maker, moved last month to match 401(k) contributions by its approximately 3,500 employees dollar-for-dollar up to 6 percent; contributions had previously been discretionary based on company profits. It also added target funds as part of a push to improve the plan.

Like nearby Ariba, Xilinx had its rivals in mind as much as employees when it improved the program.

"If a company doesn't have a competitive 401(k) program in place, it's going to be very difficult to compete for talent," said Eddie Lee, Xilinx treasurer.

 

[Guest2]

Check out P&F Chart School thread!

Waiting for James' analysis....

I do every time its posted, I absolutely love using the chart as one of my tools.

 

[Guest2]

1270 might be the low test area.
But that Bullish Triangle,,,,, I Like,,,,,,I Like !