Squalebear's Account Talk

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Wednesday - April 01, 2009
Only off by a few. We did end up with a slight Overpayment. :embarrest:

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/09/09) -0.1508 tsp cents
(03/10/09) -0.0943 tsp cents
(03/11/09) -0.0939 tsp cents
(03/12/09)+0.0892 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/13/09) -0.0320 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/16/09) -0.1584 tsp cents
(03/17/09)+0.0236 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/18/09)+0.2385 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/19/09) -0.1790 tsp cents
(03/20/09) -0.1812 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/23/09)+0.0949 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/24/09) -0.2058 tsp cents
(03/25/09) -0.1030 tsp cents
(03/26/09) -0.0695 tsp cents
(03/27/09) -0.0723 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/30/09) -0.0694 tsp cents
(03/31/09) -0.0732 tsp cents
(04/01/09)+0.0337 tsp cents (Overpaid) :suspicious:

THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming)
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Elevated Level)
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip - A - Coin)
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met) :suspicious:
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
squalebear said:
My friends never need to say I'm sorry and you definately fall under
that position description ! ;)

WOW - that's VERY COOL :cool:
Well nevermind then - I guess I'll say Hi and hope all is well.

And your opinion is always welcomed ! So you see my friend, hesitation to put it out there is not necessary as your valued opinion is MUST reading in my book ! ;)
Click to expand...

You really are something else Squale - I know if we were all alike it would be a 'very dull world' BUT I WISH there were a lot more like you.

Well I put on the Suba Gear and am ready to go under...
 
Steadygain said:
You really are something else Squale - I know if we were all alike it would be a 'very dull world' BUT I WISH there were a lot more like you.

Well I put on the Suba Gear and am ready to go under...
Click to expand...

I noticed that in the AutoTracker. Best of Luck to you my friend !
I want to go in so bad, I can taste it !
 
Well Boo we just blew through 8000 on the Dow. Don't fight the Fed and don't fight the tape. A 30% rise in the SPX is at 878.
 
WorkFE said:
Dang SB I said the waters fine not deep enough to dive.:nuts:
Click to expand...

(LoL)
I did the same thing yesterday and opted to wait !
Look whats happening now ! I can only hope the
ship can take the weight and it's smooth sailing
for at least a few percentages !​
 
The least you could have done was leave your picnic basket on the shoreline. Man when you bring it you bring it all. I'm jealous:)
 
Anyone who waits for the January high of 943.85 on the SPX will have left 41.6% from the March 6th low of 666 on the table. The best day for the transports since 1939. You made a prescient decision.
 
Birchtree said:
Anyone who waits for the January high of 943.85 on the SPX will have left 41.6% from the March 6th low of 666 on the table. The best day for the transports since 1939. You made a prescient decision.
Click to expand...

I sure can't complain - but I have to admit 'playing in hind sight' I wish I'd left everything 100% when I first went in. :o

I am very happy for all the B&Hers who held on !! :D:D
 
Hey look, I don't wear a vest accept while on escort trips. But the recent
market is having me relive the years I kicked TSP butt ! Even with a bullet
proof vest, that -8% is gonna hurt even more, should I be wrong.

Especially when fully invested at 100% risk. But from the looks of the
previous posts, I'm being escorted by some pretty savvy members. Now
that my friends, gives me confidence that this trip will be profitable. :)

Best Of Luck To Us All ! ;)
 
Thursday - April 02, 2009
The EAFE Index closed UP +5.94% and the EFA closed UP +4.51%.
Ultimately, the (I) Fund closed UP +4.93%. The 1% swing between
the (I) and the EAFE resulted in the O/D Tracker showing a Low area
"Deficit" of $0.07 TSP Cents. This is the difference between the two
on a Year-To-Date basis and translated into cents. Once again, the
Fund Managers keep the YTD differences within single digits and
stay within their goal area. To see "Black" in the O/D Tracker with
so much consistansy shows less volitility and a calm dipiction of
share prices, not always seen within my Tracking. My gut says this
is a Good Thing and makes it easier to spot better entry points. :)

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/09/09) -0.1508 tsp cents
(03/10/09) -0.0943 tsp cents
(03/11/09) -0.0939 tsp cents
(03/12/09)+0.0892 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/13/09) -0.0320 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/16/09) -0.1584 tsp cents
(03/17/09)+0.0236 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/18/09)+0.2385 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/19/09) -0.1790 tsp cents
(03/20/09) -0.1812 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/23/09)+0.0949 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/24/09) -0.2058 tsp cents
(03/25/09) -0.1030 tsp cents
(03/26/09) -0.0695 tsp cents
(03/27/09) -0.0723 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/30/09) -0.0694 tsp cents
(03/31/09) -0.0732 tsp cents
(04/01/09)+0.0337 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(04/02/09) -0.0764 tsp cents ;)


THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming)
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Elevated Level)
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip - A - Coin)
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met) ;)
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
With such a large jump over several days, I fear a mild sell off is in the
picture before resuming any trend upward. Still, I think April will ultimately
be positive and I'm truely counting on it. With the knowledge that the
Seven Sentinals turned in a "Buy" signal today, I feel just a little more
confident about the early decision I made to jump in with both feet.

Sould any of you find anything to add, it would be most appreciated.

The Sentiment Survey is showing a "Sell Signal" and a whole plethora of
Economic Data is coming out at 8:30am (EST) ie...Payroll, Unemployment
and alike. RIMM killed expectations by about .06 cents, but tomorrow
holds no major Earnings Reports that will excite the Market. Earnings will
start to increase their effects by Tuesday, April 14th (JMHO). The S&P
500 broke through the 805 resistance and closed at its 31 day moving
average (SMA). I thought 835 was its next resistance level but the S&P
closed at 834.38 (please correct this if wrong).

Currently, the dollar is weaker against both the Yen and the Euro and the
Nikkei is up +0.52% at this time. The EAFE Index is not open yet. Ok, so
this post ended up being a bag of information that appears to confict with
each other. Again, any thoughts are appreciated. ;)
 
The Morgan Stanley Capital International ("MSCI") Europe, Australasia, and the Far East Index ("EAFE") is a benchmark used to measure non-U.S. developed country equity stock market performance. The bar chart above shows the performance in U.S. Dollars of the top 10 countries by weighting in the index as of December 31, 2008, with Japan having the highest weighting listed first and Sweden having the lowest weighting listed last. Also included is the gross return of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, an index that measures the equity stock market performance of 25 emerging market countries, which are not included in the EAFE index.

The credit crunch and the resulting sharp slowdown in the world economy hurt equity investors across the globe. The year 2008 saw the largest calendar year declines for both the MSCI EAFE Index and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index since records began in 1970 and 1988, respectively. All the top ten countries in MSCI EAFE index declined sharply in 2008. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index, declined 53.18% and the MSCI EAFE index declined 43.06%. In contrast, 2007 saw the MSCI Emerging Markets Index gain 39.78% and the MSCI EAFE index gain 11.63 %.

No one can be certain which direction individual countries or entire markets will move in the future, as past trends are no guarantee of future results. It is important to understand the principles of domestic and international investing before establishing a personal investment strategy as investing strategies vary and are dependent upon individual goals.

http://www.icmarc.org/xp/rc/marketview/chart/2009/20090116TopTenCountries.html
 
Bad, But Not Bad Enough ?
I Keep Looking At The January Revision !
WoW, Futures Appear Unaffected, Slightly Up
On Non-Farm Payroll Data !

Good Luck Everyone !​
 
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