Squalebear's Account Talk

European stocks rally as Citi memo soothes bank fears

According to the memo from Citigroup's Chief Executive Vikram Pandit obtained by Reuters, the bank was profitable in the first two months of 2009 and is confident about its capital strength after tough internal stress tests. The memo said the bank was having its best quarter-to-date performance since the third quarter of 2007. Citigroup declined to comment on the memo.

http://www.reuters.com/article/germanyMktRpt/idUSLA49428820090310
 
;) Thanks James ! ;)

James is a long standing member of high morals and character !
On top of that, he really knows what he's saying ! Disregard the Hoax mentioned below !
 
Tuesday - March 10, 2009
The Deficit is lower by $0.06 tsp cents which gave the (I) Funders

a +5.03% return today. The EAFE Index had a +4.12% gain and
the EFA had a +6.72% gain. We'll take the additional +0.91% on
a "UP DAY" everytime ! But I was hoping for a return which reflected
the EFA's return. I know, I know, never satisfied until I see green on
a YTD Basis. Like I've posted elsewhere, its a long year ahead of us.
The US Futures are in the Green (for now) and Japan is up +3.43%
No Red in this post ! GOOD LUCK WEDNESDAY ! ;)

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/09/09) -0.1648 tsp cents
(02/10/09) -0.4122 tsp cents
(02/11/09) -0.2205 tsp cents
(02/12/09) -0.0243 tsp cents
(02/13/09) -0.2392 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/16/09) -0.0000 tsp cents (Holiday)
(02/17/09) -0.2088 tsp cents
(02/18/09) -0.1270 tsp cents
(02/19/09) -0.2187 tsp cents
(02/20/09) -0.0071 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/23/09) -0.2303 tsp cents
(02/24/09)+0.0725 tsp cents
(02/25/09) -0.1127 tsp cents
(02/26/09) -0.2280 tsp cents
(02/27/09) -0.1760 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/02/09) -0.1922 tsp cents
(03/03/09) -0.0922 tsp cents
(03/04/09) -0.0307 tsp cents
(03/05/09) -0.1521 tsp cents
(03/06/09) -0.0910 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/09/09) -0.1508 tsp cents
(03/10/09) -0.0943 tsp cents :embarrest:

THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming)
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Mid-Range Level)
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met) :embarrest:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Tuesday - March 10, 2009
The Deficit is lower by $0.06 tsp cents which gave the (I) Funders

a +5.03% return today. The EAFE Index had a +4.12% gain and
the EFA had a +6.72% gain. We'll take the additional +0.91% on
a "UP DAY" everytime ! But I was hoping for a return which reflected
the EFA's return. I know, I know, never satisfied until I see green on
a YTD Basis. Like I've posted elsewhere, its a long year ahead of us.
The US Futures are in the Green (for now) and Japan is up +3.43%
No Red in this post ! GOOD LUCK WEDNESDAY ! ;)


No +FV in the I fund tonight means the I fund is clear to ROCK tomorrow.:D
 
Tuesday - March 10, 2009 :D

YTD IDX returns: YTD TSP returns: YTD SB current returns:
$SPX= -20.33%.....C=...-19.80%.....-8.8986% (my figures):blink:
DWC.= -19.59%.....S=...-20.37%..
EAFE= -23.31%......I=...-24.18%..
.............................F=...-01.33%..
.............................G=...+00.47%.

MTD IDX returns: MTD TSP returns:MTD SB current returns:
$SPX=-01.70%......C=...-01.61%.....-0.9279%(my figures):blink:
DWC.=-02.85%......S=...-02.86%..
EAFE=-04.71%.......I=...-03.78%..
.............................F=...-00.08%..
.............................G=...+00.08%.
 
Jumped the gun - a day early going 100% stocks COB Friday. Light selling Monday, but being 100% in stocks today sure put THAT little disappointment into perspective! I think my nose is above water now...the coil has sprung, hopefully with a nice follow through on Wednesday so I can get my whole head above water and start lightening up in time for more selling... ;)

We can only hope. I too enjoyed seeing the last 45 minutes turn for the
better, within the S&P 500. Stocks are "On Sale" and I'm feeling that we
could see some buying come Monday. Good Luck ! ;)
 
Jumped the gun - a day early going 100% stocks COB Friday. Light selling Monday, but being 100% in stocks today sure put THAT little disappointment into perspective! I think my nose is above water now...the coil has sprung, hopefully with a nice follow through on Wednesday so I can get my whole head above water and start lightening up in time for more selling...

Even though Tuesday was a "day of days" its certainly not the "end of days" :worried: I mean down days (LoL). :D

I took my 6k gain and decided I wasn't going to get greedy. Still, 40% on
the table could put me in the Green for March. Its going to take time to
recoup January/February hits. If I can. Good Luck Chris ! ;)
 
Went to my <1%IFT Levels with the option of lowering my stake in the
(F) Fund near term.

(G)92%
(F)04%
(C)02%
(S)01%
(I)01%

Good Luck Everyone ! ;)
 
You'll hear it on TV, you'll hear it on the MB, you'll even hear it in your dreams of better times. Technicals, Sentiment, Oversold conditions leading to a long awaited Shuttle up to the outer layer of the atmosphere. I'm not buying it. I went into risk (just a bit early) as I too felt the coil was about to pop. I got lucky and regained most of my losses for March. After the mavelous Tuesday we had, I started to think about the week before. The talk was centered around "when the bottom will be seen", "will M2M be suspended" and "will the uptick rule be changed". A Bear Rally seemed to be inevitable, but the question of how strong it would be, loomed like a Buzzard hovering over a dead carcus. In fact, that question has not been answered to this day and that Buzzard still hovers overhead. The signs of economic recovery have improvement recently but there are so many that need to begin the healing process that haven't. That, will take time. With the market looking out 6-9 months ahead of the economy, there seems to be hope, excitement and the strongest desire to regain what's been lost in the way of returns. I can't help but think of last week, last month and last year. I'm happy to see the market end positive today and I'm hoping that we see a few more of those in the coming days. I'm hoping we see what we saw in February (3rd -12th) when the (C) rose 6 out of 8 trading days. Yes, that would mean a couple of down days will be included. But take note that those two days resulted in a average loss of -5% among all TSP stock funds. Ultimately, I've kept some money at risk as I've been terribly wrong for quite some time. I believe that we will see a drop from euphoria and reality will rear its ugly head once again. It could take a week, or, it could be like in February and take only a day. I believe we have 8 and a half months left in this year and there's plenty of time to get lucky again. I don't believe we've seen lows that we won't see again or come close to. Revisiting the bottom is something I wish to avoid. If that means I've joined the Pansey (spelling?) Party, so be it. In my mind, avoiding the loses in a Bear Market is just as important as hitting the big gains in a Bull Market. I'm going to be cautious, have minimal at risk for the rest of the Month and attempt to beat the (G) Fund while in my <1% IFT levels. Thursday begins my quest against the (G) Fund. It might take only a day or it may take several days. But that is my goal for the rest of this Month. Not a lofty goal, but one which gives me a certain amount of satisfaction by avoiding the (G) with no way out to play the game. It also opens up a tiny victory against the Thrift Saving Board and the limits they've imposed on all of us. Should I accomplish my (G) Fund goal, the (G) Jail could eventually hold me hostage until Thursday, April 2nd, 2009. That'll be just fine. Should I fail my quest, the losses will be enduring and I won't feel guilty or bad for doing so. So my good friends, there you have it ! The Obsessive Compulsive ramblings of a mad man. It was locked in my head and I needed to release it from my mind. Should any of this make sense, I'm certainly hoping it helps others. I know it helped me ! ;)
 
Truly inspirational Squalebear and no one could have expressed it better. We may not all be in the same boat but we are in the same Turbulent Ocean.

Good luck to you
 
Wednesday - March 11, 2009
The deficit doesn't move and stays in the Black. As seen last week

(above) we come ever so closer to a underperformance by the (I)
Fund against the EAFE Index. Last week, it was a $0.06 TSP Cent
difference on a YTD basis. I'm hoping for a big day tomorrow to
make the jump in the deficit a non factor. Good Luck everyone ! ;)

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/09/09) -0.1648 tsp cents
(02/10/09) -0.4122 tsp cents
(02/11/09) -0.2205 tsp cents
(02/12/09) -0.0243 tsp cents
(02/13/09) -0.2392 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/16/09) -0.0000 tsp cents (Holiday)
(02/17/09) -0.2088 tsp cents
(02/18/09) -0.1270 tsp cents
(02/19/09) -0.2187 tsp cents
(02/20/09) -0.0071 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/23/09) -0.2303 tsp cents
(02/24/09)+0.0725 tsp cents
(02/25/09) -0.1127 tsp cents
(02/26/09) -0.2280 tsp cents
(02/27/09) -0.1760 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/02/09) -0.1922 tsp cents
(03/03/09) -0.0922 tsp cents
(03/04/09) -0.0307 tsp cents
(03/05/09) -0.1521 tsp cents
(03/06/09) -0.0910 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/09/09) -0.1508 tsp cents
(03/10/09) -0.0943 tsp cents
(03/11/09) -0.0943 tsp cents :embarrest:


THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming)
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Mid-Range Level)
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met) :embarrest:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Wednesday - March 11, 2009 :D

YTD IDX returns: YTD TSP returns: YTD SB current returns:
$SPX= -20.14%.....C=...-19.58%.....-8.5384% (my figures):(
DWC.= -19.48%.....S=...-20.31%..
EAFE= -22.29%......I=...-23.14%..
.............................F=...-01.14%..
.............................G=...+00.48%.

MTD IDX returns: MTD TSP returns:MTD SB current returns:
$SPX=-01.45%......C=...-01.32%.....-0.5410%(my figures):)
DWC.=-02.72%......S=...-02.79%..
EAFE=-03.38%.......I=...-02.41%..
.............................F=...+00.11%..
.............................G=...+00.09%.
 
Tough night for the EAFE INDEX which currently stands at;

948.08 (-1.41%)

US FUTURES ARE ALSO SHOWING RED AT JUST OVER -0.50%
 
Squale,
I believe we are in RALLY MODE - and will have some volitility along the way - but overall the GAINS will outweigh the LOSSES in the short term.

I'm 100% G - and appear to be 'stuck'

How could I move to high risk as much as possible for the rest of this month?? With C,S, and L Funds?
 
Back
Top