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Squalebear's Account Talk
- Thread starter Guest2
- Start date
Hi L2R, I was just into tsp.gov this morning. Welcome back.
I just got in myself, all appear operational,,,,,,10-4 !
Boy oh boy CB, if there wasn't so much similar crap going on around the
Market place, I would have said you were a bit paranoid. Seeing thats a
reality, the least they can do is invite the shareholders and have a open
bar. Coffee, Light and Sweet please. Stirred, not shaken ! :toung:
CountryBoy
Well-known member
Hey squalebear,
Paranoid is my middle name when it comes to me or mine.
CB
Gee wilikers CB, I thought them thangs were made to take them thare
instant pitchers. :nuts: Trust me, paranoia saves lives and keeps us on our toes.
SB,
You like stats.... Here is something to look at sipping your coffee.
If you split the tracker, top 80 vs bottom 80 there are some interesting numbers.
TOP 80
33 are 100% G (including the top 10)
3 are 90% or better G
1 is 80% or better G
BOTTOM 80
11 are 100% G
2 are 90% or better G
3 are 80% or better G
#1 tracker 16.83%
#161 tracker 44.50%
The first 17 in the tracker are positive YTD. Everyone else is negative.YTD
I am sitting 90G 10C. I wanted something in C because I was putting my deposit into C this paycheck. Not sure if I will stay in C, but I am hedging to move all G today. Just not comfortable about November. :notrust: Have a good day grandpa.
You like stats.... Here is something to look at sipping your coffee.
If you split the tracker, top 80 vs bottom 80 there are some interesting numbers.
TOP 80
33 are 100% G (including the top 10)
3 are 90% or better G
1 is 80% or better G
BOTTOM 80
11 are 100% G
2 are 90% or better G
3 are 80% or better G
#1 tracker 16.83%
#161 tracker 44.50%
The first 17 in the tracker are positive YTD. Everyone else is negative.YTD
I am sitting 90G 10C. I wanted something in C because I was putting my deposit into C this paycheck. Not sure if I will stay in C, but I am hedging to move all G today. Just not comfortable about November. :notrust: Have a good day grandpa.
Well, thats two things your marginaly good at. Crunching Numbers
and Crushing Testicles.:nuts: You'll find the members in the Top are in the (G)
Fund and have been for quite a while. The members at the bottom are
more apt to putting there money in the (I) Fund and stay there in hopes
to catch some kind of recovery of such staggering loses. Many got some
sweet gains in the last two double digit gains the (I) Fund had. But to
wait until your down almost -50%,,,,,,,,ouch !
FRIDAY MORNING'S TOP STORIES
By Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch
Pre-open moves
U.S. stock futures pointed to a gloomy end to a dismal October, the worst month for stocks in 21 years.
See indications for full pre-market coverage
Global markets
The Bank of Japan cut interest rates, but by 20 basis points, rather than the quarter point that many expected in a split decision. Stocks in Japan ended sharply lower on Friday. Europe stocks were lower for the first day in four sessions after warnings from BT Group (BT) and L'Oreal.
See Global Markets page for Europe, U.K. and Asia markets.
Broker action
Best Buy (BBY) was upgraded to neutral from underweight by J.P. Morgan, which said the current price reflects many of its concerns and the potential bankruptcy of Circuit City offers downside protection.
See Upgrades/Downgrades: The Internet's most complete source for analyst comment.
Breaking news - See Market Pulse for all the latest
Consumer spending fell 0.4% in September, the Commerce Department reported Friday, the biggest drop since June 2004. The core personal consumption expenditure price index rose 0.2% in September compared with August and is up 2.4% in the past year.
By Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch
Pre-open moves
U.S. stock futures pointed to a gloomy end to a dismal October, the worst month for stocks in 21 years.
See indications for full pre-market coverage
Global markets
The Bank of Japan cut interest rates, but by 20 basis points, rather than the quarter point that many expected in a split decision. Stocks in Japan ended sharply lower on Friday. Europe stocks were lower for the first day in four sessions after warnings from BT Group (BT) and L'Oreal.
See Global Markets page for Europe, U.K. and Asia markets.
Broker action
Best Buy (BBY) was upgraded to neutral from underweight by J.P. Morgan, which said the current price reflects many of its concerns and the potential bankruptcy of Circuit City offers downside protection.
See Upgrades/Downgrades: The Internet's most complete source for analyst comment.
Breaking news - See Market Pulse for all the latest
Consumer spending fell 0.4% in September, the Commerce Department reported Friday, the biggest drop since June 2004. The core personal consumption expenditure price index rose 0.2% in September compared with August and is up 2.4% in the past year.
- Chevron (CVX) reported a stronger-than-forecast rise in third-quarter net income as its profit jumped to $7.89 billion from $3.72 billion.
- Burger King Holdings (BKC) said Friday that first-quarter earnings were $50 million, or 36 cents a share, compared to $49 million, or 35 cents a share, in the same period a year ago. Adjusted earnings per share were 38 cents. Revenue rose to $674 million compared to $602 million. Analysts polled by FactSet Research estimated, on average, earnings per share of 39 cents and sales of $668 million.
- Chicago insurance brokerage Aon Corp. (AOC) said third-quarter net income dropped 43% to $117 million, or 40 cents a share, on results from discontinued operation Automobile Insurance Specialists and post-close adjustments from the sale of Combined Insurance Companies of America and Sterling Life Insurance. From adjusted continuing operations, earnings would have climbed 33% to 69 cents a share, and revenue rose 6% to $1.85 billion. Analysts polled by FactSet expected earnings of 63 cents a share.
- Barclays (BCS) said it was raising up to $11.9 billion, mostly from investors in the Middle East.
SB, My Jedi Master.:cheesy: Here is some more trivia. So far for the month of October you are the #1 IFT mover and shaker (look out Poolman) at 11 IFT's, gibovin is #2 at 10 IFT's and believe it or not I am #3 at 6 IFT's for the month. Just having some fun.
Happy Halloween to all.
So far for the month of October you are the #1 IFT mover and shaker (look out Poolman) at 11 IFT's, gibovin is #2 at 10 IFT's and believe it or not I am #3 at 6 IFT's for the month. Just having some fun.Happy Halloween to all.
Steadygain
TSP Elite
U.S. stock futures pointed to a gloomy end to a dismal October, the worst month for stocks in 21 years.
SB, I was amazed to see this post from you. It's just amazing how attached we are to the day to day Markets. After the recent SUBSTANTIAL GAIN in stocks I thought October was 'the Ray of Hope' - and then I read this.
Well on the Bright Side - The World Powers have more than proven they will do whatever it takes to turn things around. Banks are now moving money - getting it for free from each other - and credit problems are disappearing. In the short term Mergers will continue and thousands of jobs will vanish. The FOUNDATION may be rocky - but we are beginning to build a stronger base and in the Long Term things will work out.
SB, I was amazed to see this post from you. It's just amazing how attached we are to the day to day Markets. After the recent SUBSTANTIAL GAIN in stocks I thought October was 'the Ray of Hope' - and then I read this.
Well on the Bright Side - The World Powers have more than proven they will do whatever it takes to turn things around. Banks are now moving money - getting it for free from each other - and credit problems are disappearing. In the short term Mergers will continue and thousands of jobs will vanish. The FOUNDATION may be rocky - but we are beginning to build a stronger base and in the Long Term things will work out.
Yes Steady, I find myself looking at the short term rather then then long
term. But this time, it was just before a new month and new opportunities.
I couldn't be happier to see the follow thru that we saw today. I'm still
convinced that the short term road ahead is going to be rocky and just
abit lower then we're seeing now. Should this come true, I will take full
advantage of a better entry point with more then just 31% that I pulled
out yesterday. November's election and then the 15th (I forget why that
date is one to remember) will be of concern. But the Hope you talk of is
greater then we've seen for quite some time. May we all be able to take
advantage of it and get out of this whole they've dug for us !
SB, My Jedi Master.:cheesy: Here is some more trivia.
Go figure, I stopped putting in my <1% IFT's into the AutoTracker.
I have alot more then you know. (LoL) The O/D Tracker update is Next.
FUND MANAGERS SLIGHT POSSIBLE GAINS WITH A (I) FUND LOSS
BY PAYING BACK AN OVERPAYMENT AND SHIFTING THE O/D BACK
TO THE DEFICIT SIDE.
YTD O/D FOR ALL TSP FUNDS
(C) Fund vs. the SPX = -0.1942 TSP Cent Overpayment or +1.75%
(S) Fund vs. DWCPF. = -0.2731 TSP Cent Overpayment or +2.04%
(I). Fund vs. the EFA =+0.0199 TSP Cent Overpayment or -0.14%:notrust:
DAILY (I) FUND VS. EFA O/D TRACKING RESULTS:
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(10/13/08) +0.6117% -0.3431 tsp cents
(10/14/08) -1.0454% -0.1711 tsp cents
(10/15/08) +0.9341% -0.2846 tsp cents
(10/16/08) -1.7110% -0.0482 tsp cents
(10/17/08) +0.3405% -0.0987 tsp cents
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(10/20/08) -0.7050%+0.0048 tsp cents
(10/21/08)+0.8721% -0.1205 tsp cents
(10/22/08)+0.5115% -0.1807 tsp cents
(10/23/08) -0.3743% -0.1331 tsp cents
(10/24/08) -0.4057% -0.0725 tsp cents
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(10/27/08) -0.4900% -0.1282 tsp cents
(10/28/08) -1.9368%+0.1181 tsp cents
(10/29/08)+0.7332%+0.0193 tsp cents
(10/30/08)+0.9004% -0.1080 tsp cents
(10/31/08) -0.8988%+0.0199 tsp cents
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ----
- .6000 thru -.4000 High Overpayment (Payback Past Due)
- .4000 thru -.3000 Elavated Overpayment, (Payback Immanent)
- .3000 thru -.2000 Medium Overpayment (Flip A Coin)
- .2000 thru -.1000 Low Overpayment, (Slightly Over Goal)
- .1000 thru -.0000 Minimum Overpayment (Goal is Met)
-------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
+.0000 thru+.1000 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
+.1000 thru+.1500 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
+.1500 thru+.2500 High Deficit (Rarely Goes Lower)
+.2500 thru+.3000 Windfall Coming !
---------------------------------------------------------------------
BY PAYING BACK AN OVERPAYMENT AND SHIFTING THE O/D BACK
TO THE DEFICIT SIDE.
YTD O/D FOR ALL TSP FUNDS
(C) Fund vs. the SPX = -0.1942 TSP Cent Overpayment or +1.75%
(S) Fund vs. DWCPF. = -0.2731 TSP Cent Overpayment or +2.04%
(I). Fund vs. the EFA =+0.0199 TSP Cent Overpayment or -0.14%:notrust:
DAILY (I) FUND VS. EFA O/D TRACKING RESULTS:
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(10/13/08) +0.6117% -0.3431 tsp cents
(10/14/08) -1.0454% -0.1711 tsp cents
(10/15/08) +0.9341% -0.2846 tsp cents
(10/16/08) -1.7110% -0.0482 tsp cents
(10/17/08) +0.3405% -0.0987 tsp cents
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(10/20/08) -0.7050%+0.0048 tsp cents
(10/21/08)+0.8721% -0.1205 tsp cents
(10/22/08)+0.5115% -0.1807 tsp cents
(10/23/08) -0.3743% -0.1331 tsp cents
(10/24/08) -0.4057% -0.0725 tsp cents
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(10/27/08) -0.4900% -0.1282 tsp cents
(10/28/08) -1.9368%+0.1181 tsp cents
(10/29/08)+0.7332%+0.0193 tsp cents
(10/30/08)+0.9004% -0.1080 tsp cents
(10/31/08) -0.8988%+0.0199 tsp cents
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ----
- .6000 thru -.4000 High Overpayment (Payback Past Due)
- .4000 thru -.3000 Elavated Overpayment, (Payback Immanent)
- .3000 thru -.2000 Medium Overpayment (Flip A Coin)
- .2000 thru -.1000 Low Overpayment, (Slightly Over Goal)
- .1000 thru -.0000 Minimum Overpayment (Goal is Met)
-------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
+.0000 thru+.1000 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
+.1000 thru+.1500 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
+.1500 thru+.2500 High Deficit (Rarely Goes Lower)
+.2500 thru+.3000 Windfall Coming !
---------------------------------------------------------------------
YTD IDX returns: YTD TSP returns: YTD SB current returns:
SPX= -34.03%.....C=...-32.84%....-16.28% (my figures)
DW.= -34.96%.....S=.. -33.69%....
EFA= -43.22%......I=...-42.67%...
AGG= -05.15%.....F=...-01.59%...
...........................G=...+03.18%...
MTD IDX returns: MTD TSP returns: MTD SB current returns:
SPX= -18.20%.....C=...-16.83%....-11.07%(my figures)
DW.= -20.76%.....S=.. -20.99%....
EFA= -20.83%.....I=....-20.59%...
AGG= -02.67%.....F=...-02.40%...
...........................G=..+00.31%..
SPX= -34.03%.....C=...-32.84%....-16.28% (my figures)
DW.= -34.96%.....S=.. -33.69%....
EFA= -43.22%......I=...-42.67%...
AGG= -05.15%.....F=...-01.59%...
...........................G=...+03.18%...
MTD IDX returns: MTD TSP returns: MTD SB current returns:
SPX= -18.20%.....C=...-16.83%....-11.07%(my figures)
DW.= -20.76%.....S=.. -20.99%....
EFA= -20.83%.....I=....-20.59%...
AGG= -02.67%.....F=...-02.40%...
...........................G=..+00.31%..
Nobody awake yet aye, okey dokey. I'll check back at 7:30am
when I'm in the comfort of my jammies sipping on some java.
Please see my previous post.
Graveyard shift can be soooooo lonely :nuts:
Found this interesting tidbit on another thread
http://gbr.pepperdine.edu/043/stocks.html
when I'm in the comfort of my jammies sipping on some java.
Please see my previous post.
Graveyard shift can be soooooo lonely :nuts:
Found this interesting tidbit on another thread
http://gbr.pepperdine.edu/043/stocks.html
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