So what's everyone's take on Syria and the current market conditions...

[Chulke]

So I watched yesterday's news and uncertainty about Syria erode a little over 2% from my TSP account and as the day unfolded folks on here talked about the...Sell the Rumor...Buy the News Mentality going on in the market right now which is completely contrary to the traditional wisdom of market buying and has been apparently for most of the year.

So I'm wondering what is everyone else's take on the current market action...you know...with the market turned on it's ear most literally...What is a simple investor in TSP funds suppose to do?


What about if and when the Fed stops QE, are we going to see hyperinflation or deflation the likes the U.S. has never seen before?

I can tell you from a military perspective that this thing with Syria is being looked at as just a military action...NOT a war...at most you will see some bombs drop...NOT boots on the ground...The DoD knows we can't sustain a 3 front war right now...we're being forced to draw down as we speak and even some of our military leaders are telling the enlisted core (the backbone of the military) to let it fail! We're being told...that we have worked entirely too hard to do more with less and it's time we let it fail! That, that is the only way congress will listen to what we're telling them. That's not saying to go lose battles and stuff...just stop working so hard!

 

[WorkFE]

We're being told...that we have worked entirely too hard to do more with less and it's time we let it fail!

Depending on your function failure is not an option.

 

[Dutchy]

What Happens When War Strikes? [SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust] - Seeking Alpha This article predicts a rally, based on past history..

 

[Chulke]

Depending on your function failure is not an option.

Perhaps I am misunderstood...Failure is never an option as member of this great nations military! I'm saying we're being told to scale it back...stop pulling 12's and 16's to get the mission done...stuff like that...but not complete failure, bottom line just stop working so hard!

 

[MrBowl]

I'm thinking that any military action will be brief, or it won't happen at all. So I do think the market overeacted and we'll see a bounce when things become more clear.

I also think that any day now someone in the Fed will say the taper can't happen now, so I want to be long for that.

I understand what you meant. Administratively, perhaps, someone should say we are stretched too thin. But, as far as American soldiers go failure never enters their minds. I always feel lucky they're on my side.

 

[wavecoder]

just another buying opportunity

 

[tsptalk]

Based on pre / post holiday historical reversals, my guess based on today's rally, is the market will be higher by close on Friday, but the selling will resume on Tuesday. Of course the situation in Syria throws a wrench in the mix, so folks may be reluctant to hold over the long weekend, so we'll see.

 

[tsptalk]

What Happens When War Strikes? [SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust] - Seeking Alpha This article predicts a rally, based on past history..

Thanks Dutchy. I think I'll reference this in Thursday's commentary.