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SkyPilot's Account Talk
- Thread starter SkyPilot
- Start date
nnuut
Moderator | TSP Legend
SP just was able to watch your DVD of the trip to Ukraine. Good stuff, I'm listening to the music as I write, I really like their music. Neat disk, well done, really looks like they are good people over there. It's always a treat to me to see a picture of a long time Member, and a handsome guy you are!!!
Thanks
Norman
Thanks
Norman
SkyPilot
Well-known member
First saw the picture when I was working on a presentation with our psychologist. As far as what it is... it is probably me in some existential sense. The question is, am I looking in... or out? :nuts:
SkyPilot
Well-known member
Hmmm,,, didn't get it. PM it would be fine!
SkyPilot
Well-known member
Well, my moves are slightly out of cync... didn't realize or remember that I had already made a move earlier in December, so I locked myself out for the first trading day of Jan 2011 when I went to G last week... I am all in S starting tomorrow, but managed to stay up appx. .5% last week relative to the S fund by being in G most of the week.
That is the way the cookie crumbles :nuts:.
That is the way the cookie crumbles :nuts:.
SkyPilot
Well-known member
My single deviation cost me .5%... I was also out of step the first day of the year which cost me another %1.5. So far, so good.
I know there will come a time when the SS will seem to be out of step with the market, but the last 60+ months have shown to be one of the best predictive tools out there... and we have it here for free!
I know there will come a time when the SS will seem to be out of step with the market, but the last 60+ months have shown to be one of the best predictive tools out there... and we have it here for free!
TSPIntel
Member
TSPTalk: I still remember when you told me over the phone that you will develop the SS because it was the way to go.
You was right!!! the Sentiment Survey is the way to go. It combines the random sampling of the fundamental analysis with some technical rules. It is not totally perfect yet because it is weekly and not a living automated system yet. I mean something to go on a daily basis like what is the Sentiment Survey of the Day so we may not have to way till Friday to take an action. BUT it is the best reference we got so far.
SkyPilot
Well-known member
Actually, you could consider it (SS)a living and nearly automated system... as it consists of the input of living, emotional and intellectual humans. The input ratios produce signals based on specific rules. And weekly is good enough for TSP...
If you want something on a daily basis, you should consider investigating the VIX Index...
Anything else gets back into the science fiction Neural Net stuff... for that we need Lt. Commander DATA
If you want something on a daily basis, you should consider investigating the VIX Index...
Anything else gets back into the science fiction Neural Net stuff... for that we need Lt. Commander DATA
TSPIntel
Member
SkyPilot: The SS is an Outstanding System! and perhaps weekly is good enough for TSP as you said. However, I still think that a daily continuous voting system may allow us to react faster without the need to go to the VIX. It would be interes to hear the opinions of TSPTalk and others too.
alevin
Well-known member
If it ain't broke, don't fix it. With 2x/month IFTs, weekly SS is working 90+% of time to keep us out of emotional whipsaws and keeps us pretty much within 2-IFT/month limits. Took me 2 years observation of SS performance to convince me to trust it enough to follow it to the extent that I am, changing basis for the signals now would destabilize predictabilty of performance. My $0.02.
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