Show-me Account Talk

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Well, what to do? I have sat in the G fund and missed most of the fun. The mighty Hindenburg has three conformations. The sentiment survey is out. Earnings are not terrible, but show the subprime is still settling out and investors are nervous. Inflation is still up, construction down, unemployment up, and retailer as well as consumers are concerned about the up coming shopping season.

Wachovia an Xerox profits drop and CAT is on the wings. CAT MISSED EXPECTATION!
 
The 20 dma is being tested and I would suspect be broken. Tom makes a good argument in his daily comments and the historical data about next week is interesting.

So, here I stay in the pitiful, paltry, pathetic, and pessimistic G fund.

GL and good investing.
 
Show-me,

What is that phrase about, "Show me the money"???

Consider this:

Since 2003, there have been more ups for the fourth week of October, than downs for the fourth week of October.

Using only C, S, and I and dollar figures (not percent)

C S I
10/20-10/24/2003- (0.11) (0.19) (0.24)

10/25/-10/29/2004- 0.37 0.32 0.22

10/24-10/28/2005-0.21 0.10 0.16

10/23-10/27/2006- 0.10 0.18 0.28


So, recent trends indicate we might want to stick in the C, S, or I funds.​
 
KCinKC said:
Show-me,​


What is that phrase about, "Show me the money"???​

Consider this:​

Since 2003, there have been more ups for the fourth week of October, than downs for the fourth week of October.​

Using only C, S, and I and dollar figures (not percent)​

C S I
10/20-10/24/2003- (0.11) (0.19) (0.24)​

10/25/-10/29/2004- 0.37 0.32 0.22​

10/24-10/28/2005-0.21 0.10 0.16​

10/23-10/27/2006- 0.10 0.18 0.28​



So, recent trends indicate we might want to stick in the C, S, or I funds.​
Click to expand...

That is a very valid point you make, but a very short time period. My point is the extreame high energy is take'n a bit out of everybodies wallet. It just takes longer for it to show in earning.

The tide may be turning too.
 
Show-me said:
The 20 dma is being tested and I would suspect be broken. Tom makes a good argument in his daily comments and the historical data about next week is interesting.

So, here I stay in the pitiful, paltry, pathetic, and pessimistic G fund.

GL and good investing.
Click to expand...

I'm there with ya, except I went F fund.
 
ATCJeff said:
I'm there with ya, except I went F fund.
Click to expand...

Nice job! The F fund has put the screws to me many times. I'll wait it out in the G for now.

I would not be suprised to see dip buyers the last 20-30 min. of the day. If they don't step up, I would guess that the market is officially worried.
 
Show-me said:
I find it interesting that the pop we got from the Fed lowering rates 50 basis point is almost gone.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p73571554810
Click to expand...


And after today will be completely gone. I am pondering buying a little I fund today. I'm not going all in because the rest of the week could be ugly.

I know that the market expects a rate cut but the rest of the world and the US are still fighting inflation. No matter how much you cut rates to keep the economy going, inflation is a huge risk to the U.S. and we are the "consumer driven economy".

I thing it is a 50/50 chance of a rate cut, JMO. Ol B52 is worried about inflation and the they are suppose to be data dependent. If they jump to quickly will they look like they are pandering to the sub-primers and the wall streeters?

ED coming out before the FOMC meeting. Existing and New Home Sales, Durable Orders, Consumer Confidence, Construction Spending, and the big one GDP-Adv.

ED coming out after the FOMC meeting. Personal Income, Spending, Core PCE Inflation, ISM Index, Factory Orders, and Nonfarm Payrolls.

Consumers are scared and starting to really tighten their budgets. Retailers are worried too. Made the front page of the local newspaper about folks living paycheck to paycheck and the inflation.

The money is in stocks that have large exposure to the International markets.
 
Not a complete change of heart, just a opportunity to make a buck. All or nothing for a bounce, nothing more. Looked like the different support lines are holding this morning and baring a invasion of Iraq by Turkey, it looks like the market is making some gains from the days lows.

Now I need to side step any positive FV today.

This is short term for me.

Sold my SDS this morning too. Thanks for the help Robo!

C and S at the 50dma. FTSE at the 200dma. Dollar on a rally, what's not to luv for a play. Stay away Hindenburg for a few more days.:D

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p51972347693

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$EMW&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p51972347693

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$FTSE&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p51972347693
 
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