S-fund Challenge! Guesses

[ebbnflow]

5/12/14 cash

 

[userque]

S-Fund Challenge Results for 09 MAY 2014!​

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Monday Up

 

[userque]

I've never explained these yet, so...fwiw:

Grid-NN (NN=artificial neural network) is an innovative (imo) spin on the typical, text-book, everybody-does-it, time-series NN design. I've never read about its design anywhere. It's working the best so far.

IRA-NN wants to day trade as well, but the "No Freeriding" and "Pattern Day Trader" restrictions won't let it. It trades as though it's in a typical IRA account. It's based upon Daily-NN and Grid-NN. I will eventually create additional Grid NN's to totally replace Daily-NN. After that, IRA-NN should do even better (less worse).

Daily-NN is based upon tried and "true," text-book NN design. There are many, many, many parameters and variables associated with any NN. Though based on the text-books, I've added my own special sauce. Even so, my Grid NN is currently outperforming this design.

Swing-NN is derived from my personal TSP NN's. I have recently discovered some truths about NN's that has allowed me to increase the accuracy of long-term NN forecasts. While Swing-NN is now currently working under this new directive, it will let its last trade play out. It simply bought too soon under the old system. But, the new system will tell it when to exit. Its purpose is to compare swing trading to day trading. This NN will be more meaningful when trading fees are implemented.

 

[ebbnflow]

I've never explained these yet, so...fwiw:

Grid-NN (NN=artificial neural network) is an innovative (imo) spin on the typical, text-book, everybody-does-it, time-series NN design. I've never read about its design anywhere. It's working the best so far.

IRA-NN wants to day trade as well, but the "No Freeriding" and "Pattern Day Trader" restrictions won't let it. It trades as though it's in a typical IRA account. It's based upon Daily-NN and Grid-NN. I will eventually create additional Grid NN's to totally replace Daily-NN. After that, IRA-NN should do even better (less worse).

Daily-NN is based upon tried and "true," text-book NN design. There are many, many, many parameters and variables associated with any NN. Though based on the text-books, I've added my own special sauce. Even so, my Grid NN is currently outperforming this design.

Swing-NN is derived from my personal TSP NN's. I have recently discovered some truths about NN's that has allowed me to increase the accuracy of long-term NN forecasts. While Swing-NN is now currently working under this new directive, it will let its last trade play out. It simply bought too soon under the old system. But, the new system will tell it when to exit. Its purpose is to compare swing trading to day trading. This NN will be more meaningful when trading fees are implemented.

One of these days I'm gonna wake up and say, "You sunk my battleship."

 

[userque]

One of these days I'm gonna wake up and say, "You sunk my battleship."

Naaaa, there's plenty of fish in the sea for us both. I might get a little fatter than you; or vice versa. Either way, we both will be well fed.:nuts:

 

[ebbnflow]

5/13/14 up

 

[userque]

5-13-14, up, of course

 

[userque]

S-Fund Challenge Results for 12 MAY 2014!​

 

[userque]

Finished configuring (and tweaking) some of my NN's over to DWCPF...now I can stop 'guessing.':notrust: Corrected NN also said LONG for tomorrow, interestingly, it would have had me LONG for today as well

I now understand your pain Ebb; using a system designed for one fund to trade a different fund:blink:

Anyway, after less than two months of R & D, I am confident in the current corrected NN iterations. Daily-NN and Grid-NN will go to cash until they are replaced by humans or other NN's (no plans for addition NN's at this time).

IRA-NN has just been corrected for DWCPF and will continue to trade.

Swing-NN is still based on W4500 and awaits porting to DWCPF.:worried: Will take several days.

 

[userque]

Re: S-fund Challenge!

Replacing *Daily-NN with a bot that will trade according to an algorithm I've developed based upon the positions of top traders on the AutoTracker--*Tracker Algorithm. This trader is not a NN. It is LONG for now.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Re: S-fund Challenge!

Probably too late but up for today... but probably not much... hey if we close above yesterdays high that is a GREAT thing...

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy S4 using tapatalk...

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Re: S-fund Challenge!

Probably too late but up for today... but probably not much... hey if we close above yesterdays high that is a GREAT thing...

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy S4 using tapatalk...

Well, looks like a lot of people had sell orders at SPX of 1900... been down hill ever since...

Up tomorrow??? Probably not, but I am sticking with it

 

[userque]

cash for 5-14-14...for me
got you as long for today RMI

 

[ebbnflow]

5/14/14 uptown

 

[userque]

S-Fund Challenge Results for 13 MAY 2014!​

 

[userque]

*Tracker Algorithm is CASH for 5-14-14

 

[userque]

RealMoneyIssues,

Didn't notice you here or on the tracker yesterday. Thought you went premium and were

and,


from the S-Fund Challenge!

 

[userque]

15 MAY 2014 Changes: I'm LONG, IRA-NN is cash.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Re: S-fund Challenge!

No, snd my guesses here have nothing to do with anything besifes my own idea or hopes of what the market might do...
If we bounce from here I will say up... if not probably down...
I will look later

Oh, I was busy yesterday...

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy S4 using tapatalk...