Rogue's Account Talk

[Rogue]

Yesterday:
C:35
S: 25
I: 15
2030: 10
2040: 10
2050: 5

Change today for COB Monday:
G: 10
C: 25
S: 50
I: 15

 

[Rogue]

OK, made my autotracker change too.
And there it is called "IFT allocation" adding to my likelihood to keep using the wrong term in the wrong way, confusing readers and befuddling lurkers.

Changed my payroll allocation to be deposited to my account biweekly as follows:
C: 50%
S: 50%
figuring that even if I were 100% in G fund for a spell, I could make a change then or buy a few shares with my next deposit anyhow.

Report IFT Allocation: Rogue
Thank you!
Your IFT will take place at COB: 2011-03-07
Please DO NOT enter your IFT more than once!

If next COB is a holiday, IFT will take place on the following business day

 

[Rogue]

Dropped to 174th on the Account Tracker.
Ready to make a move.

 

[Rogue]

#249 on the AT today...not the kind of move I planned. Grrrrr

 

[Rogue]

Change just before noon today, for tomorrow:

G - 5%
C - 35%
S - 50%
I - 10%

YTD = -0.12%, Boghie just passed me and is @ 0.0%.
Buying low, buying low.

 

[Rogue]

Well, a day late for the SS Friday move, but moving most $$ into G.
Changed this afternoon.
New IFT results in:
G fund - 55%
C fund - 15%
S fund - 15%
I fund - 15%

Wondering about my "payday Friday" conspiracy theory...theory is that fund prices are artificially high by a few cents per share on payday Fridays. Not sure what to do about it, or if it is true the majority of the time...sell on Fridays?

 

[Rogue]

On Autotracker I'm currently in 129th place with 6.65% returns this year.

 

[Rogue]

#86 on the AT today.
6.67% ytd returns, kind of a bumpy ride right now.

 

[Rogue]

Moved this AM...closer in line with SSS & before payday Friday bumpage:

G: 36%
C: 26%
S: 22%
I: 16


And today's ytd growth is 6.16% , 61st place on the AT.

 

[Rogue]

Submitted this afternoon, to take effect Tuesday morning, 5/2.
Will this count as an April transaction or a May transaction?

G - 15
C - 30
S - 40
I - 15

 

[jpcavin]

Submitted this afternoon, to take effect Tuesday morning, 5/2.
Will this count as an April transaction or a May transaction?

G - 15
C - 30
S - 40
I - 15

May. Probably should have waited until Monday morning to see how the markets are doing.

 

[Britts4life]

You should be able to cancel it on Monday before noon if you desire.

 

[Rogue]

SSS says "Buy S today."

Submitted Friday 6/3 before Noon:

C: 15%
S: 75%
I: 10%

 

[Rogue]

YTD returns accd'g to AutoTracker: 5.83%
TSP.gov - "12-Month Personal Rate of Return: 24.32%"

 

[Rogue]

Submitted 7/7 before Noon:
G: 19%
F: 8%
C: 17%
S: 45%
I: 11%

YTD returns from AutoTracker: 8.63%
TSP.gov 12 mo. personal rate of return: 26.26%

 

[Rogue]

Hellyeah! G,C,S, and I all had good days yesterday.
AT annual returns now 9.89%, now I plan on shifting to a more conservative approach through end of summer.

 

[Rogue]

Following the stock market's "best day of the year" in which the Dow gained >200, some congressional folks seem to be close to agreement on raising the debt ceiling (after causing some unnecessary panic), and earnings reports from some major corps were positive, I deem it now time to shift to a more conservative posture through the summer heatwave, probably until sometime in September depending on the Sentiment Survey.
Submitted 7/20 before Noon.

G: 27
C: 26
S: 36
I : 11

12-Month Personal Rate of Return: 26.26%
Autotracker # 106. 7.86% ann'l return, 1.34% daily return (folks in 100% S fund made 2.06% daily yesterday and those in 100% C fund made 1.63%)

 

[Rogue]

Back in the Top 100! #94 on the AT. 7.93 ann'l return.

 

[WorkFE]

You are where I'd like to be. Congrats.

 

[Rogue]

Reading WorkFE's account talk, I see his strategy is similar to one I shared with a friend last week...to move more into C fund.

I move it around some, usually 1-2x/month.
After moving 10% more to G fund this week (after Monday’s huge earnings I’m expecting the annual summer doldrums until September)
my account looks like this:

G: 27 %
C: 26 %
S: 36 %
I : 11 %

I scour this website pretty often: www.tsptalk.com
The Sentiment Survey there, a contrarian indicator, has a good track record.
According to the “autotracker” on tsptalk, I made 7.93% so far this year. I was up to 11 or 12% in March/April for awhile.
My goal is to make at least 8%, preferably 11-14%, most of the time.

When I’m a couple years from retirement, I’ll have about 75% in the G fund and the rest distributed in C,S, and I.

Really the S fund has performed the best, my rationale is that this is not a great time to start up a small business and go public, but

the big hitters (like IBM and Coca Cola demonstrated Monday) in the C fund are doing well and are set up for a good holiday season this year when everyone buys an IPAD type gizmo. And yeah, Kramer on Mad Money is a kook, but he’s an evil genius and predicts micro-trends like “expect a dip in prices after such-and-so report comes out on Friday...” with crazy accuracy.