ripper's account talk

[ripper]

TSP Model moves to 100% G today.

 

[Tsunami]

I moved to 100% G as well, but it was mostly this sort of chart and my gut that made me do it.

Observations on this chart (chart #61 for the Dow): Above the Green Line - Nov 30, 2017 Buy high, and Sell Higher: Momentum Investing - Joanne Klein - Public ChartList - StockCharts.com
1. I count six gaps starting on 11/16, and the market likes to fill gaps.
2. It's gone parabolic, almost straight up today.
3. Danger Will Robinson!

I'll be out for December 1st, but will be looking for re-entry soon, probably higher with my luck.

 

[ripper]

I moved to 100% G as well, but it was mostly this sort of chart and my gut that made me do it.

Observations on this chart (chart #61 for the Dow): Above the Green Line - Nov 30, 2017 Buy high, and Sell Higher: Momentum Investing - Joanne Klein - Public ChartList - StockCharts.com
1. I count six gaps starting on 11/16, and the market likes to fill gaps.
2. It's gone parabolic, almost straight up today.
3. Danger Will Robinson!

I'll be out for December 1st, but will be looking for re-entry soon, probably higher with my luck.

Hi Tsunami,

I moved to 100% G primarily because the markets appear to be overbought at this time. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean they can't become more overbought. :wink:

 

[ripper]

Weekly update:

Aggressive Model trades only TNA/TZA.
Conservative Model trades only SPY/SH.
Volatility Model trades only XIV/VXX.
Models will hold a 50% or 100% position or be in cash.

All returns (except TSP) are compounded.
Performance does not include current open trades.

Aggressive Model
2016 Return: +62.2%
Year-to-date:+2.6%
Current Position: Cash

Conservative Model
2016 Return: +10.4%
Year-to-date: +4.9%
Current position: 50% SH @ 31.09

Volatility Model
2016 Return (6 months): +48.0%
Year-to-date: +14.7%
Current position: 100% XIV @ 118.79

TSP Model
Year-to-date (per AutoTracker): +9.44%
Current position: 100% G

 

[ripper]

The S&P 500 had a Hanging Man candlestick on Friday. This study shows the median returns for the S&P 500 for the 10 days following a Hanging Man candlestick when it's within 1% of a five-day high.
As you can see, the five days following the candlestick have a bias to trade a bit lower - especially days three and four.

 

[ripper]

At today's close:

Bought 50% TZA @ 12.82
Bought 50% SH @ 30.75
Sold XIV @ 116.09

 

[ripper]

At today's close:

Sold TZA @ 13.00
Bought 100% TNA @ 67.00

Sold SH @ 30.75
Bought 100% SPY @ 263.24

Bought XIV @ 116.26

 

[ripper]

Big day for me today.

I'm having my first CT scan since undergoing several cancer surgeries earlier this year.
Praying for good results. :smile:

 

[weatherweenie]

Oh wow!

Hope it turns out for you, and your family.

Big day for me today.

I'm having my first CT scan since undergoing several cancer surgeries earlier this year.
Praying for good results. :smile:

 

[ripper]

At today's close:

Sold 50% TNA @ 68.33
Sold XIV @ 119.86

 

[ripper]

Oh wow!

Hope it turns out for you, and your family.

Thanks! I did get a good report. :smile:

I was diagnosed with Stage 3 Melanoma last May, about two weeks before I was scheduled to retire. I was blindsided by the news. I couldn't remember the last time I was sick and there was little history of cancer in my family.

I had several surgeries and canceled my retirement. I chose to use Sick Leave until I was recovered. I eventually retired on Oct. 27.

While the cancer can return at any time, I'm looking forward to focusing on and enjoying retirement now. :smile:

 

[ripper]

TSP Model moves to 100% S Fund today.

 

[ripper]

At today's close:

Bought 50% TNA @ 68.48
Bought XIV @ 123.75

 

[ripper]

Weekly update:

Aggressive Model trades only TNA/TZA.
Conservative Model trades only SPY/SH.
Volatility Model trades only XIV/VXX.
Models will hold a 50% or 100% position or be in cash.

All returns (except TSP) are compounded.
Performance does not include current open trades.

Aggressive Model
2016 Return: +62.2%
Year-to-date:+4.3%
Current Position: 100% TNA @ 67.74

Conservative Model
2016 Return: +10.4%
Year-to-date: +4.4%
Current position: 100% SPY @ 263.24

Volatility Model
2016 Return (6 months): +48.0%
Year-to-date: +14.6%
Current position: 100% XIV @ 123.75

TSP Model
Year-to-date (per AutoTracker): +9.49%
Current position: 100% S

 

[ripper]

The most bullish week of the year (historically) begins today, according to Rob Hanna of Quantifiable Edges.

 

[ripper]

At today's close:

Sold TNA @ 67.81
Sold 50% SPY @ 266.78
Sold XIV @ 127.71

 

[ripper]

At today's close:

Bought 50% TNA @ 68.93
Bought 50% SPY @ 266.75
Bought XIV @ 128.21

 

[ripper]

At today's close:

Sold TNA @ 69.51
Sold 50% SPY @ 266.51
Sold XIV @ 132.66

 

[ripper]

Weekly update:

Aggressive Model trades only TNA/TZA.
Conservative Model trades only SPY/SH.
Volatility Model trades only XIV/VXX.
Models will hold a 50% or 100% position or be in cash.

All returns (except TSP) are compounded.
Performance does not include current open trades.

Aggressive Model
2016 Return: +62.2%
Year-to-date:+4.9%
Current Position: Cash

Conservative Model
2016 Return: +10.4%
Year-to-date: +5.4%
Current position: 50% SPY @ 265.00

Volatility Model
2016 Return (6 months): +48.0%
Year-to-date: +22.4%
Current position: Cash

TSP Model
Year-to-date (per AutoTracker): +9.84%
Current position: 100% S

 

[ripper]

At today's close:

Bought 50% TNA @ 70.81
Bought 50% SPY @ 267.03
Bought XIV @ 134.80