Retail Sales Outlook

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Anyone need a lab rat??

Did not want to be exposed to the retailer report and be exposed to the reports day, especially the FOMC report.

Dr Greenspan was unable to expend his term beyond Jan 06 and this wording will be his first report after that...the trade balance came in hot....he does not like that...we will see at the end of the day. There is I told you so outlook here from the good Doc with the administration to let the dollar fall. Following dollar means the imports coming over will cost more and that will cause inflation. Last time the dollar fall like this was 1987 and the S&P 500 dropped 25% in two days. It took a long time to get back to even after that. Dr Greenspan was the FED Chief then...he does not want to happen againto end his tour because that will be how he is remembered...the guy that let it happen twice on his watch.

Yesterday was a mark up/carrot day. Now the mutual fund people are exposed because
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they are trapped like your relatives...

I explained why I went 100% G last thursday.

I am hoping the sale off is today if it is tomorrow I will still have some in reserve to average down. The hedge fund guys know the cut off is 1200 and you notice the sell offs start around 2pm.

Good luck!:P
 
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Excuse me fellows - just what is an NAV ? :% Apparently not a car, right? :h

And where are you getting those emoticoms? I need more than what is Tom is able to provide for us...... :oo I do like the `eyes'tho- I've had a compliment on Them !!! thank you Much !!!
 
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Thank you, mlk_mn!! That Investionary page is somethingelse!!

Net Asset Value makes the comments a bit more readable......!!

As soon as I can figure out the icons, I'll get Really fiesty.... (more threat than promise)
 
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grandma wrote:
Thank you, mlk_mn!! That Investionary page is somethingelse!!

Net Asset Value makes the comments a bit more readable......!!

As soon as I can figure out the icons, I'll get Really fiesty.... (more threat than promise)
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LOL, you go girl!!
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MarketTimer wrote:
Hope no one is in the F fund today. Treasury bonds are being given away right now.


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If they were, they gained a penny!:^
 
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That is actually one of my major concerns. Study the effects of an inverted yield curve.

The overnight rate is 2.25 and the 3 month is 2.51, 2 year is 2.9, 3 year 3.5, 10 year 4.12, 30 year 4.76. There will be much pain if the higher yields sell off to move into the shorter maturities. The risk/reward thing...why hold a 30 year at 4.76???? You are taking 30 year risk for a minisule yield gain. If the longer end maturies are not moving up in the face of short term rate hikes that indicates inflation. This happened in 1987...everyone sold off their 10s and 30s and moved to 3 months, 2s and 5s. If the longer term yields do not start moving up that is bearish signal to stocks. A expending economy wants to see the longer term rates move up to pass on inflation via job and wage growth.

Case in put you can buy an I bond right now and get 3.69%!!! What is health is the 30 year is 300-350bases points higher then the overnight rate...that means economic expension moving forward.

Good luck!
 
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Granny,

NAV - no available vet - which is why my lab rat, Suppository, is so screwed up.

:P



grandma wrote:
Excuse me fellows - just what is an NAV ? :% Apparently not a car, right? :h

And where are you getting those emoticoms? I need more than what is Tom is able to provide for us...... :oo I do like the `eyes'tho- I've had a compliment on Them !!! thank you Much !!!
Click to expand...
 
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Why don't you just answer the question everyone wants to know.........Do you accept the challenge or not?
sport29.gif
 
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mlk_man wrote:
Why don't you just answer the question everyone wants to know.........Do you accept the challenge or not?
sport29.gif
Click to expand...
Bak, bak, bak................
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He challenged you to a 3 month competition of returns fromthe TSP. Whoever loses can no longer post on this board beyond his account talk page. Based on all the back and forth going on between the two of you, I'd say this is a great way to settle things. It's put up or shut up time. For the sake of the sanity of all of us relatively neutral observers, I hope you PUT UP.

His rules were quite clear as well. You post your moves in your respective account talk pages (as the rest of us have been doing for some time now), OR - if you don't want each otherto copy the other's moves, he suggested thatthe twoof you could send your moves to either FundSurfer or Tom and they could trackthe returns over the period.

Rather than continuing on with the childish name-calling and so forth, I suggest you be a man about this and put your money where your mouth is. Having credibility means subjecting yourself to scrutiny by outside observers. If you want to claim big returns, that's all well and good, but few people will believe any of it unless they can see the moves for themselves and track them.

So, how about it? Are you going to accept his challenge or not?
 
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Well Mike I love you too!

Can not do it. Next week will be travelling to the states then will be on vacation for five weeks to Australia. I will check the market but I do not expect to use my time to come on here.

So I guess I lost and see ya later.

I am sure my lab rat will give great advice.

MT
 
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Tom, just deleting posts does not work. I wouldn't appreciate if you either say something or leave them on here. A lot of people have already seen the crudeness and the one's that just come on, will not understand what's going on.

Thank you
 
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MarketTimer wrote:
Well Mike I love you too!

Can not do it. Next week will be travelling to the states then will be on vacation for five weeks to Australia. I will check the market but I do not expect to use my time to come on here.

So I guess I lost and see ya later.

I am sure my lab rat will give great advice.

MT
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Well then, it can simply wait until you return. I'm sure Mike will be anxiouslywaiting.;)
 
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I sure appreciate you insights market timer so keep posting if you would. The only thing is that your mind is going so fast its not clear when you are doing what. Could you, please be more exacting when saying what you are going to do and when.

Thanks so much.
 
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I sure appreciate you insights market timer so keep posting if you would. The only thing is that your mind is going so fast its not clear when you are doing what. Could you, please be more exacting when saying what you are going to do and when.

Thanks so much.
 
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mlk_man wrote:
Tom, just deleting posts does not work. I wouldn't appreciate if you either say something or leave them on here. A lot of people have already seen the crudeness and the one's that just come on, will not understand what's going on.

Thank you
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Mlk_man

I agree this has gotten way more person than is healthy for a friendly exchange of ideas. I am a novice and would apprecaite your comments as well as market timers. Even though the competition is off it would be nice if the mlk_man would post what you are planning to do like Mr. TSP himself. I've heard a lot of critism of market timer but what would be more interesting and useful would be constructive comments on what you are going to do.

We can take it or leave it and you can take credit for your good planning.

How about. You gonna give us beginners a helping hand?
 
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Mlk_man,

Comments have gotten way to personal for a friendly exchange of ideas. I would appreciate both you and market times constructive comments. I've heard a lot of critisism of market timers comments but not much on what you are doing. I'm a newbe so maybe not looking in the right place, but would like to hear your plans from day to day like Mr. TSP himself as to what TSP moves you areplanning to make and when.

We don't need a loser is out compitition to be helpful and interesting do we?

Thanks
 
imported post

sailor wrote:
Mlk_man,

Comments have gotten way to personal for a friendly exchange of ideas. I would appreciate both you and market times constructive comments. I've heard a lot of critisism of market timers comments but not much on what you are doing. I'm a newbe so maybe not looking in the right place, but would like to hear your plans from day to day like Mr. TSP himself as to what TSP moves you areplanning to make and when.

We don't need a loser is out compitition to be helpful and interesting do we?

Thanks
Click to expand...
mlk_man (Mike)posts his moves on his account thread. Look under "Member Allocations,Transactions and Returns".

God Bless:^
 
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