RealMoneyIssues' Account Talk

RMI's OCD Chart:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality
[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing
[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA
[/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method
[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend
[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels
[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS
[/TD]
[TD].
TSP
Wealth
[/TD]
[TD].
The Fed
Trader
[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model
[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
CCI
Model
[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term
[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4-Feb[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-773[/TD]
[TD]Long-268[/TD]
[TD]Short-603[/TD]
[TD]Long-620[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5-Feb[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]52%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-763[/TD]
[TD]Long-308[/TD]
[TD]Short-494[/TD]
[TD]Short-690[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6-Feb[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-770[/TD]
[TD]Long-261[/TD]
[TD]Short-570
[/TD]
[TD]Short-736[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7-Feb[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-776[/TD]
[TD]Long-232[/TD]
[TD]Short-561[/TD]
[TD]Short-732[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]8-Feb[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-777[/TD]
[TD]Long-236[/TD]
[TD]Short-543[/TD]
[TD]Short-712[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Cover[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Feb[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]41%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-785[/TD]
[TD]Long-209[/TD]
[TD]Short-575[/TD]
[TD]Short-746[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Feb[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-783[/TD]
[TD]Long-208[/TD]
[TD]Short-556[/TD]
[TD]Short-730[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Feb[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]46%
[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-784[/TD]
[TD]Long-202[/TD]
[TD]Short-598[/TD]
[TD]Short-764[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]14-Feb[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]41%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-792[/TD]
[TD]Long-188[/TD]
[TD]Long-618[/TD]
[TD]Long-781[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15-Feb
[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]33%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-791[/TD]
[TD]Long-170[/TD]
[TD]Long-672[/TD]
[TD]Long-756[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Will wait for next week's info until I get the SS and will post more on tomorrow nights OCD.

Anyone still reading this (other than my 4 devoted readers)?

Still, not a lot of time to discuss because life, like the markets, has gotten away from me.

As usual, Only Time Will Tell what the markets have in store for us.

Good Luck and God Bless!!

Tools:
http://www.mint.com
http://saveup.com
Free Credit Score & Credit Report Data. No Credit Card Needed
 
RMI's OCD Chart:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality
[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing
[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA
[/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method
[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend
[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels
[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS
[/TD]
[TD].
TSP
Wealth
[/TD]
[TD].
The Fed
Trader
[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model
[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
CCI
Model
[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Feb[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]41%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-785[/TD]
[TD]Long-209[/TD]
[TD]Short-575[/TD]
[TD]Short-746[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Feb[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-783[/TD]
[TD]Long-208[/TD]
[TD]Short-556[/TD]
[TD]Short-730[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Feb[/TD]
[TD]100%
[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-784[/TD]
[TD]Long-202[/TD]
[TD]Short-598[/TD]
[TD]Short-764[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]14-Feb[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]41%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-792[/TD]
[TD]Long-188[/TD]
[TD]Long-618[/TD]
[TD]Long-781[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15-Feb[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]33%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-791[/TD]
[TD]Long-170[/TD]
[TD]Long-672[/TD]
[TD]Long-756[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Feb
[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]52%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-781[/TD]
[TD]Long-168[/TD]
[TD]Long-713[/TD]
[TD]Long-754[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20-Feb[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]21-Feb[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]52%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]22-Feb[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Still, not a lot of time to discuss because life, like the markets, has gotten away from me.

As usual, Only Time Will Tell what the markets have in store for us.

Good Luck and God Bless!!

Tools:
http://www.mint.com
http://saveup.com
Free Credit Score & Credit Report Data. No Credit Card Needed
 
I hate formal writing...

I have a lot to say, but it never sounds good enough to a professor :(

Its due at midnight, so no matter how bad it is... it is what it is :nuts:
 
Real style is when you hang in there with class. And, real class is when you hang in there with style. When I say you, I mean me, and maybe you.
Sometimes I hang with more style than class, but I do hang in there. This morning there wasn't much said on the forum. We were all waiting. Waiting for the opening bell to unveil our suspicions that this market will rise to the top, like butter. Finally the I fund has life. What more can I say...
 
Your comments and reactions will be quite interesting when (not if) the market slaps you with a correction. I know you've heard it, but that New Years gap will be filled, count on it.
 
Your comments and reactions will be quite interesting when (not if) the market slaps you with a correction. I know you've heard it, but that New Years gap will be filled, count on it.

I am hoping to be short when that starts to happen... but who knows if I catch it, probably won't
 
Mindylou has informed me that we are making money today and this will continue the rest of the week. Most bull market up-legs last for several months or longer.
 
RMI's OCD Chart:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality
[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing
[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA
[/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method
[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend
[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels
[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS
[/TD]
[TD].
TSP
Wealth
[/TD]
[TD].
The Fed
Trader
[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model
[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
CCI
Model
[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Feb[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]41%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-785[/TD]
[TD]Long-209[/TD]
[TD]Short-575[/TD]
[TD]Short-746[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Feb
[/TD]
[TD]80%
[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-783[/TD]
[TD]Long-208[/TD]
[TD]Short-556[/TD]
[TD]Short-730[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Feb[/TD]
[TD]100%
[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-784[/TD]
[TD]Long-202[/TD]
[TD]Short-598[/TD]
[TD]Short-764[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]14-Feb[/TD]
[TD]80%
[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]41%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-792[/TD]
[TD]Long-188[/TD]
[TD]Long-618[/TD]
[TD]Long-781[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15-Feb[/TD]
[TD]100%
[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]33%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-791[/TD]
[TD]Long-170[/TD]
[TD]Long-672[/TD]
[TD]Long-756[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Feb[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]52%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-781[/TD]
[TD]Long-168[/TD]
[TD]Long-713[/TD]
[TD]Long-754[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20-Feb
[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-806[/TD]
[TD]Long-161[/TD]
[TD]Long-625[/TD]
[TD]Long-717[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]21-Feb[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]52%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]22-Feb[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25-Feb[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]26-Feb[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]27-Feb[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]28-Feb[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]67%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1-Mar[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]67%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


Probably my last post with the chart. It gave me an excuse to post (not like I needed a big excuse ;) ), but apparently with $85 billion going into the market (avg of ~$4 bn a day), there is now nothing we can do but to use a buy and hold strategy. Birchtree says we will have another 5 year bull market on top of the already 4 years of booming markets... can't beat that!

I still don't like the I fund, so it looks like the S fund is best, but C fund is good with less risk (and less reward).

Some time in 2016 there might be a correction (minimal probably) while Big Ben has another Keynesian (Tim Geithner, Barney Frank) take over and keep printing. By then we should be about 21 Trillion in debt with another 6 trillion in the Federal Reserve (yes, additional debt). Since our GDP will be about 12 Trillion, having been exceeded by China in 2015, America will then be where Japan is now... and have to devalue the USD to improve exports and boost the markets again. In 2016, with the Dow finally at 25k and the S&P at 2800, Birchtree might finally be in Nirvana...

Of course, gold will be at $5000 an ounce, bread will be $20 a loaf (if you are important enough to be able to buy food), and gas will be probably be around $8/liter (since the government has outlawed gas, it really is just moonshine). Hopefully we will soon be able to fly a spaceship to another planet to start screwing that one up too :D

 
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