RealMoneyIssues' Account Talk

[RealMoneyIssues]

WooHoo, the world is saved !!! Spain actually sold all the bonds they had up for auction (just cost them more in yield), ECB leaves lending rates alone, GM is the greatest success story out there with the release of their current results, and most importantly our no-raise paychecks buy more good and services than they did just 3 years ago !!!

SPX 1500 or Bust !!!

Jobless claims lowest near lowest in 4 years !!!

Revamp, SPX 1600 or Bust !!!

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

I am so sick and tired of being on the wrong side of the trade 90% of the time and then when I am on the right side I make a whopping 0.5%...

Oh, well. Have a great afternoon!!

 

[jkenjohnson]

I am so sick and tired of being on the wrong side of the trade 90% of the time and then when I am on the right side I make a whopping 0.5%...

Oh, well. Have a great afternoon!!

Looking back, even though it did not work that well last year, I am starting to think that the Sentiment Survey may be the best way to go. It is free, does not require any work on our part (except for answering one question every week) and gives decent returns without a lot of risk.

 

[Mapper]

Jobless claims lowest near lowest in 4 years !!!

Revamp, SPX 1600 or Bust !!!

Boy, and I was going to start giving you a hard time about how realistic the pie in the sky 1500 number is actually becoming!

Oh well, at least we've got a new high goal

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Wow, 27 posts today and I haven't even posted my chart or replied to the evening chatter... I need to get a job and actually work on my masters classwork...

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

RMI's OCD Chart - Contrarian Signal:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]SPX[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-988[/TD]
[TD]Long-453[/TD]
[TD]Safe-983[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-156[/TD]
[TD]Safe-130[/TD]
[TD]Stop_Half[/TD]
[TD]Sell-2[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-933[/TD]
[TD]Long-460[/TD]
[TD]Safe-931[/TD]
[TD]Safe-5[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-112[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-957[/TD]
[TD]Long-458[/TD]
[TD]Safe-951[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-125[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]26-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-1011[/TD]
[TD]Long-423[/TD]
[TD]Safe-1006[/TD]
[TD]Safe-12[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-184[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Sell[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]27-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]52%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-1022
[/TD]
[TD]Long-405[/TD]
[TD]Safe-1020[/TD]
[TD]Long-48[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-206[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]30-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-1029[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Long-1027[/TD]
[TD]Long-48[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-235[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1-May[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-1016[/TD]
[TD]Long-415[/TD]
[TD]Long-1039[/TD]
[TD]Long-51[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-251[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2-May[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-1030[/TD]
[TD]Short-376[/TD]
[TD]Long-1040[/TD]
[TD]Long-48[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-245[/TD]
[TD]Long-179[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Buy-7[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3-May[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-1024[/TD]
[TD]Short-370[/TD]
[TD]Long-1037[/TD]
[TD]Long-45[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-234[/TD]
[TD]Long-173[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Buy-7[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4-May
[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]30%[/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-1040[/TD]
[TD]Short-324[/TD]
[TD]Long-1046[/TD]
[TD]Long-65[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-292[/TD]
[TD]Long-208[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-8
[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7-May[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Apparently, everyone thinks the markets will go up... So, with such a strong buy signal, should we short? What are the premiums doing now, wouldn't we all want to know?

So, with Birchtree's bullishness, Bquat's TA saying up, and so much bullishness in the forum; why, oh, why did the SS come up with so much bearishness... really? Where are the bears hiding? Too chicken to come out because they are afraid of PermaBull taking them on?

AT time: Top 50 are 50/50 in safety/equities, Top 100 are 40/60, Top 200 are also about 40/60, Top 300 are at 45/55, and the whole AT (898 strong) is at 70/30
There are a lot of people in safety at the bottom

Who knows what will happen with the economic reports tomorrow?!?!?! AND how the market will react (like poor GMCR).

Only Time Will Tell.

Good Luck and God Bless!!

 

[TSPIntel]

RealMoney: How are you invested? Just Curious...

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

RealMoney: How are you invested? Just Curious...

Short/Safe in TSP and Long in IRA

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Hmmm...

Negative Payrolls Surprise?

and Hmmmm...

Expert Stock Market Timing Models used by Money Managers and Investors...

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

People Not In Labor Force Soar By 522,000, Labor Force Participation Rate Lowest Since 1981 | ZeroHedge

 

[Birchtree]

And it won't get better until after November - proof our liberal policies work.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

And it won't get better until after November - proof our liberal policies work.

Nothing will get better in November as nothing will 'change' in November...

 

[Birchtree]

Please don't be surprised when the price of egg plants drop at Supervalue stores.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Please don't be surprised when the price of egg plants drop at Supervalue stores.

 

[MrJohnRoss]

People Not In Labor Force Soar By 522,000, Labor Force Participation Rate Lowest Since 1981 | ZeroHedge

That is one scary a** looking chart. Ah, what the heck, the unemployment rate dropped down! Let's party like it's 1999! Yippee!

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

That is one scary a** looking chart. Ah, what the heck, the unemployment rate dropped down! Let's party like it's 1999! Yippee!

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

RMI's OCD Chart - Contrarian Signal:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]SPX[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-988[/TD]
[TD]Long-453[/TD]
[TD]Safe-983[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-156[/TD]
[TD]Safe-130[/TD]
[TD]Stop_Half[/TD]
[TD]Sell-2[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-933[/TD]
[TD]Long-460[/TD]
[TD]Safe-931[/TD]
[TD]Safe-5[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-112[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-957[/TD]
[TD]Long-458[/TD]
[TD]Safe-951[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-125[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]26-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%
[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-1011[/TD]
[TD]Long-423[/TD]
[TD]Safe-1006[/TD]
[TD]Safe-12[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-184[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Sell[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]27-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]52%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-1022[/TD]
[TD]Long-405[/TD]
[TD]Safe-1020[/TD]
[TD]Long-48[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-206[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]30-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-1029[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Long-1027[/TD]
[TD]Long-48[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-235[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1-May[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-1016[/TD]
[TD]Long-415[/TD]
[TD]Long-1039[/TD]
[TD]Long-51[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-251[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2-May[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-1030[/TD]
[TD]Short-376[/TD]
[TD]Long-1040[/TD]
[TD]Long-48[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-245[/TD]
[TD]Long-179[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Buy-7[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3-May[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-1024[/TD]
[TD]Short-370[/TD]
[TD]Long-1037[/TD]
[TD]Long-45[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-234[/TD]
[TD]Long-173[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Buy-7[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4-May[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]30%[/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-1040[/TD]
[TD]Short-324[/TD]
[TD]Long-1046[/TD]
[TD]Long-65[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-292[/TD]
[TD]Long-208[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-8[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7-May
[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-1044[/TD]
[TD]Short-252[/TD]
[TD]Long-1052[/TD]
[TD]Long-80[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-368[/TD]
[TD]Long-258[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Buy-8
[/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]8-May[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9-May[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Not much changed, so the signal is still in a buy, or sell, or whatever.

Next week, once again, should be interesting. I really wonder how the markets will react to the elections this week-end in Europe and to the selling pressure from today's action.

Only Time Will Tell.

Good Luck and God Bless!!

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Spring/Summer Sector Rotation Time?

 

[Birchtree]

You can take point - if you make it I'll follow.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

You can take point - if you make it I'll follow.

Roger, Roger... I radio you once I get there