RMI's OCD Chart:
[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]
.
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]
TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]
Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]
Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]
.
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD]
.
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD]
Mr
John
Ross[/TD]
[TD]
J
Ken
Johnson[/TD]
[TD]
.
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD]
.
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD]
Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]
Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[TD].
My TSP
Returns[/TD]
[TD]My IRA
Realized
Returns[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Ask[/TD]
[TD]Ask[/TD]
[TD]Ask[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]30[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]SPX[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]10%[/TD]
[TD]65%[/TD]
[TD]Short-506[/TD]
[TD]Long-600[/TD]
[TD]Long-236[/TD]
[TD]Short-530[/TD]
[TD]Long-429[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.68%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]30%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Short-554[/TD]
[TD]Long-584[/TD]
[TD]Long-270[/TD]
[TD]Short-593[/TD]
[TD]Long-423[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.49%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Short-640[/TD]
[TD]Long-408[/TD]
[TD]Long-191[/TD]
[TD]Short-667[/TD]
[TD]Long-343[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Short-664[/TD]
[TD]Long-348[/TD]
[TD]Long-167[/TD]
[TD]Short-684[/TD]
[TD]Long-312[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Short-834[/TD]
[TD]Long-348[/TD]
[TD]Long-174[/TD]
[TD]Short-863[/TD]
[TD]Long-311[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.71%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]78%[/TD]
[TD]64%[/TD]
[TD]67%[/TD]
[TD]Short-853[/TD]
[TD]Long-364[/TD]
[TD]Long-198[/TD]
[TD]Short-873[/TD]
[TD]Long-309[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.71%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]78%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Short-852[/TD]
[TD]Long-320[/TD]
[TD]Long-162[/TD]
[TD]Short-873[/TD]
[TD]Long-331[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]0.72%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]26-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]41%[/TD]
[TD]Short-698[/TD]
[TD]Long-263[/TD]
[TD]Long-146[/TD]
[TD]Short-869[/TD]
[TD]Long-300[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]0.72%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]27-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]30%[/TD]
[TD]63%[/TD]
[TD]Short-667[/TD]
[TD]Long-292[/TD]
[TD]Long-164[/TD]
[TD]Short-696[/TD]
[TD]Long-347[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]0.72%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
30-Jan
[/TD]
[TD]
Buy[/TD]
[TD]
Buy[/TD]
[TD]
80%[/TD]
[TD]
90%[/TD]
[TD]
60%[/TD]
[TD]
Short-657[/TD]
[TD]
Long-249[/TD]
[TD]
Long-128[/TD]
[TD]
Short-682[/TD]
[TD]
Long-382[/TD]
[TD]
Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]
Safe[/TD]
[TD]
Buy
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
From Tom's
TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up
Ok, so if it isn't obvious by now, we are being herded like cattle to market.
Some PermaBulls would have you think that we will be at 17000 on the Dow at the end of the year...
Some cable TV stations would have you think that we are in the greatest bull market uptrend since 2009...
"The S&P
Golden Cross is eminent and that only proves we are going to have an up, Up, UP year!!"
Be wary of Trojans bearing gifts... and EVERY up market has a down day once in awhile...
The S&P volume has been on a down trend since the beginning of October. The overall volume in the market has been 30-50% less than normal since this rally started before Christmas. It's almost like the institutional investors are still on Christmas break. Are they waiting for a good place to enter? When do you think that is? Once all the "dumb money" has been convinced that we are in a recovery?
Questions:
1. Is the market a zero sum game? In other words, is there only a finite amount of money in the market?
2. Are there winners and losers in the market, or are there only winners?
3. If you want to be a winner, where does your money come from when you trade the market? The other winners?
4. If you need more money in the market so that you can "win" it, where is that money going to come from?
5. How many people do you think have been on the sidelines in the market since the August downturn?
6. Do you think they might have been convinced that the market is safe to enter (see comments above about TV, etc)?
7. How is that money going to be transferred from the "dumb money" to the "smart money"?
I am by no means a PermaBear, nor am I a PermaBull. I want to time the trends of the markets so that I can maximize my returns in my TSP and my IRA. I plan to do that by understanding the "smart money" and how they think, find the indicators that show me the status of the markets (Technical Analysis, Charting, etc), and use money management to maximize my gains while minimizing my losses. I would believe that everyone here is in the same boat as me and all we can do is try to understand and read the market to meet our goal. We cannot control the market.
So, as long as I didn't hurt anyone's sensibilities and I was able to make you think, I have done what I set out to do.
Have a Blessed day and good luck trading to us all!
RMI