BichonFreeze
Member
Today isn't good for your competition. We're standing at -1.8% in the W^4500, and we're not even close to being done!
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ravensfan's Account Talk
- Thread starter ravensfan
- Start date
ravensfan
Well-known member
Yeah, DBA has certainly got the upperhand for now. She is invested 25% C and 75% S, while I am 100% S. It's the C Fund that's been kicking my butt. Over the past 10 trading days the C Fund has posted an average gain of 1.68% while the S Fund has posted an average loss of -0.78% over the same time frame. The good news is that the C Fund is alot closer to it's upper bollenger band than the S Fund. Therefore IMHO I'll be making up some ground as April progresses. But no matter what happens, I think DBA and I are going to become great friends, and that is always a good thing.
BichonFreeze
Member
Hey I'm right there with you, I lost 4.375% from April 2nd in the S fund. Luckily the last two days we've gained about 2.11%, half of the way back. I still feel we have a shot at breaking the S&P to 1910 in April, just it's not as strong now.
BichonFreeze
Member
Correction yesterday the market was drunk and woke up today wondering what the hell it slept with the previous night.
ravensfan
Well-known member
Now that's the best suggestion I've heard all month. There ia a German restaurant about two miles from my house. I bet there's a Heffeweisen with my name on it. It's time to blow the froth off a couple...
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
Now that's the best suggestion I've heard all month. There ia a German restaurant about two miles from my house. I bet there's a Heffeweisen with my name on it. It's time to blow the froth off a couple...
Be careful what you sleep with...
Sent from my Samsung Galaxy S4 using tapatalk...
ravensfan
Well-known member
So I think I've finally got April figured out. If you take Tom's Seasonality Chart and turn it upside down, where the green columns now become red and the red columns now become green, you will have a perfect picture of what's been going on. It's to bad I didn't see this before...
Wishing all a great day. Eventually this market will turn around and when it does, those of us who stuck it out will be very happy.
Wishing all a great day. Eventually this market will turn around and when it does, those of us who stuck it out will be very happy.
ravensfan
Well-known member
Ok, I'm down -5.96% since I moved all in to the S Fund COB 1 Apr 14. To heck with what the indicators, the so called experts and the doomsday crowd say, it's time to break out the sacrificial lamb...enough already!!!:nuts:
Of course the bright side is the less I have, the less they can tax...
Of course the bright side is the less I have, the less they can tax...
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
DreamboatAnnie
Well-known member
Hi Ravensfan! Wow what a week! I'm still debating on whether to bail or not. Looking for a little bounce up so maybe that will come Tuesday and give me an opportunity to jump out. Since I have 2 IFTs, I'm thinking to cut losses and run. Lick my wounds, and come back to the dog fight another day. Listened to Closing Bell for Friday and a few other shows. Looked at indicators and commentary by many. What is always clear is that no one knows what is going to happen...so I figure my hunch is as good as the next guys.
So I think it goes down more before heading up. Reason: I don't believe the earnings reports in first quarter were due to weather. I think this second set coming out is also going to be bad, and cannot be supported by "bad" weather. When those reports start hitting the streets this week and next, I should think market goes further down....just a bit. So, I'll jump now and save me a few bucks. Then will follow MACD to jump back in and ride the new wave. Or at least that is my thinking at this point. But I'm certain of one thing: I'll go back n forth a couple times before Monday or Tuesday. So will see. Best Wishes on your innvestment! DBAnnie
ravensfan
Well-known member
Hi Ravensfan! Wow what a week! I'm still debating on whether to bail or not. Looking for a little bounce up so maybe that will come Tuesday and give me an opportunity to jump out. Since I have 2 IFTs, I'm thinking to cut losses and run. Lick my wounds, and come back to the dog fight another day. Listened to Closing Bell for Friday and a few other shows. Looked at indicators and commentary by many. What is always clear is that no one knows what is going to happen...so I figure my hunch is as good as the next guys.
So I think it goes down more before heading up. Reason: I don't believe the earnings reports in first quarter were due to weather. I think this second set coming out is also going to be bad, and cannot be supported by "bad" weather. When those reports start hitting the streets this week and next, I should think market goes further down....just a bit. So, I'll jump now and save me a few bucks. Then will follow MACD to jump back in and ride the new wave. Or at least that is my thinking at this point. But I'm certain of one thing: I'll go back n forth a couple times before Monday or Tuesday. So will see. Best Wishes on your innvestment! DBAnnie
All valid points DBA. If I still had 2 IFT's remaining I would have bailed last week. Unfortunately I only have 1 and must play it cautiously. My fear is that I get out, prices rise and I'm stuck until May 1st. I never gave much creedance to the "bad weather" theory. Just figured it was so much noise. I really want to remain in the market and ride this thing out, but need to start thinking about an exit strategy in case things are worse than anticipated. I have a yearly chart of the S&P 500 and the 200 day SMA is 1761.86. If things don't turn around before we hit that, then I'll bail. This thing feels so much like August 2013 though where I bailed to soon and paid the price. I just have to keep reminding myself it's not really money until you start taking withdrawals.
DreamboatAnnie
Well-known member
Hi Raven, Yes definitely understand the challenge of only one IFT. Yes, and there is so much noise out there. This market may go back up only to plummet again if it is anything like 2008. I'm checking market today but my sights set on exit tomorrow. Will see and best wishes!
. P.S. Might be a good idea to think of it as real money though...just saying.
BichonFreeze
Member
I'll take an upday. Let's hope it rides like this all week.
ravensfan
Well-known member
You won't hear any complaints from me. I'd love it.
I did learn something new this morning. All this time, I thought the NASDAQ had no effect on TSP investments. Come to find out the NASDAQ is tech heavy...the S Fund is also tech heavy, which explains in part the huge losses we've been experiencing. The more I learn, the more I realize I've got a lot to learn...
BichonFreeze
Member
I didn't know that either. Had I known, I definitely would have shyed away from the S fund, opting for the I fund. I've said it in a few posts, but I think the I fund will be the way to beat the market this year.
ravensfan
Well-known member
As long as Russia behaves. Sounds like they were at it again today. It caused a big dip in the DOW.
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