rangerray's Account Talk

[ravensfan]

Here is the BEST FUND/WORST FUND as of COB 10/5/2020.

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 500, align: left"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: center"]G FUND[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]F FUND
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]C FUND
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]S FUND
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]I FUND
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15 DAY TOTAL[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0.03%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-0.55%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0.90%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]4.39%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-1.07%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]60 DAY TOTAL
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]0.13%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]-0.19%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]7.51%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11.82%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]​4.63%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


Have a great evening!!!

 

[PessOptimist]

Ummm, thanks. Nevermind you likely figured it out.

 

[tsptalk]

Congrats on post #300 the other day, rangerray! Thank you for all of your contributions!!

:beerchug:

 

[rangerray]

Well, I appreciate that because often I feel like I say waaaaaaay too much.

 

[rangerray]

I don't 100% stand by this move because there's a potential of truly regretting "buying high," but the overall feel right now is that the market is bullish. I was concerned with the recent news that stimulus talks were off the table, but I'm realizing this could be "the art of the deal" being played out, so I'm not so worried about that. So, what I'm betting on is a little post-debate bounce tomorrow, as I think that what comes out of tonight's vice-presidential debate could have a positive influence on the market.

I'll be 70% S, 30% G as of COB today.

As a side note, I think it's disheartening to know that every little issue/tweet/breaking news headline can move our markets around like they do, but that's the environment we're in right now.

 

[nasa1974]

Congrats on #300. Only 700 more for a thousand.

 

[rangerray]

Feeling good today for no particular reason. Adding maximum exposure and hoping for the rest of October to be strong. With another strong leg up, I may move back to safer levels, but for right now, going 70% S and 30% C.

 

[Whipsaw]

I'm feeling good, but I think that's only because of my vitamin regimen, and staying better hydrated.

 

[rangerray]

Lance Roberts of Real Investment Advice says this:

"With the potential for a delayed or contested election, weaker economic data, no stimulus, and already elevated asset prices and valuations, the risk of a correction has certainly risen."

"All that is needed is an unexpected, exogenous event, which sends traders scrambling for the exits."

I'm not holding my breath, but I'm standing with 30% C and 70% S here on Monday morning holding out that there might be some stimulus on the way BEFORE the election. I realize that both parties would try and take credit for it, but as it stands, either can take credit for the lack of stimulus. I think that either party would stand a better chance of getting traction with what the market sees as positive news, rather than negative, so I'm betting on stimulus.

As before, in the absence of stimulus, I'll still be looking for the next little bump up as a good place to reduce some exposure and likely sit out through the election period.

 

[rangerray]

Also, if that Burisma debacle grows a pair of wings amongst the media outlets that thus far want to write it off as a simple campaign smear and takes flight, could it be the unexpected, exogenous event?

 

[rangerray]

I figure that folks are buying in here at the last minute today in order to be positioned well in case the stimulus comes about over the weekend.

 

[rangerray]

https://youtu.be/PjFoQxjgbrs

 

[nnuut]

That's what I call Talent! Loved her.

 

[rangerray]

I thought a couple of days ago, even yesterday, that the presidential race is energizing the market, but it occurs to me this morning that the senate race might be the source. Anyone have any thoughts? With senate republicans holding on to power, do you think that has allowed for what the market might see as stability? Because, IMHO, the presidential result is much less consequential now for the U.S.

Anyway, if I could determine that's the case, I'd likely stay invested a few more days. Otherwise, it might be a good day to play it a little more safe.

 

[ravensfan]

I have heard that the market likes gridlock. If we end up with the House in Dem control and the Senate in Repub control, I don't think it matters who is President. We will have stability and the market will like that...

 

[Bmoredunks]

I have heard that the market likes gridlock. If we end up with the House in Dem control and the Senate in Repub control, I don't think it matters who is President. We will have stability and the market will like that...

“They” will never allow that this “election”....dems will clean sweep it and its lookin more and more like that with all of these last minute show-ups/counts.

 

[rangerray]

I'm staying put with 30% C & 70% S.

 

[rangerray]

As of yesterday, I've gotten over the recent dip and came out a little ahead, so I'm taking whatever the market throws at me today and moving 100% to the G Fund. I feel like the market is about to pull back a little.

 

[rangerray]

Sometimes the best strategy is to have no strategy. I'm doing exactly the opposite of what I think I should do, as I have a fear of buying at the top, but this market is running away from me. I'm 100% S as of COB 17 NOV 2020.

 

[flalaw97]

You're doing what I did a week ago. On the day after the election, I thought, surely there is a correction coming. I will pull back then get back in at the dip.... No dip.... Oh WTH, guess I will jump in anyway and see where this wave takes us. Even this morning I thought, ahh, here is the correction. Then by 2pm, S fund is up again by almost another 1%. This is crazy.