poolman
Top Return 2008
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I think "AUTOMATED TRACKER" should be within "ALLOCATION TALK" on Message Board. JMO.. Any thoughts?
Poolman, thanks for posting the links on a daily basis. I'm the scientific type and just want to point out a couple caveats. Again, I do enjoy watching the videos so don't get the wrong impression.
I do think there is merit in some technical analysis, but there some parts of it that to me, seem meaningless. For example, he is really big on the intra day candles, and will say things like "look at candle A compared to the next candle B, this is what you like to see". My only problem with this part of it is that the candles are a function of the time period they cover, and whether or not you catch a big move up or down within a PARTICULAR candle is really a matter of chance...thus a two candle formation (right next to each other) can look dramatically different if you shift the time period by just a few minutes.
The other part I am highly skeptical of is using moving averages as support or resistance levels. I like moving averages, as they summarize trends, but I do not believe they should be used like regular support and resistance levels, the reason being that people base their moves off levels (1380 on wed, etc), not off of what the moving value is over a time period, especially a long one (a move you made say 200 days ago is probably old news). Speaking for myself anyway...
That being said, I believe not much should be read into the bounce on Wed, as it really WAS highly "technical" in nature, IMO. The PPO/MACD is just sick, and suggest more downside. Look at the values now compared to the low values August and November. And...we couldn't hardly make a move above the zero line for the end of 2007.