POLL: HOW MUCH $$$ MEMBERS HAVE LOST SINCE 1/1/05

[Guest]

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Choose only one option. The one that most approximates your situation.
I have lost a lot and I was wondering if other members have also lost.
The poll is anonymous so not to worry about sharing information.
Tom, can you verify that poll is anonymous?
Thank you WW

 

[Timer]

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If I lost 16K, which button do I push? There's a gap

 

[Guest]

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Thanks Timer - my oversight. I need Tom's help to edit. System will not let me edit poll questions.

 

[74vetguy]

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WW, I am setting with a long term aggressive allocation. Before today, I was crying! I am hoping my tears go away for the rest of the year.

 

[Guest]

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Year-to-date (as of April 21st), I am down 0.8%.
I think that is pretty good considering that I lost 2.6% just on Jan 4th and then another 0.7% on Jan 5th and was down a total of 4% on Jan 25th.
Lucky, I took MarketTimer's advise and was out of the stock funds during the last month's plunge. Mmmm..G-fund.

 

[Guest]

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Wonder Woman wrote:

I have lost a lot and I was wondering if other members have also lost.
Thank you WW

Linda, You made 2% on all-of-your-holdings just today, right?

 

[Dave M]

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It was a difficult quarter. I used the most recent statement from TSP.gov to evaluate it. I was not 100% invested so I had gains from the G-fundand I had contributions which all taken together offset my market losses, leaving net asset value essentially unchanged for the period. That makes it a little easier to take, at least ifI just look at my bottom line. I voted according to my net loss, gains in G minus losses in CSI without considering the contributions. Result? In the 3 to 5 category.

This seems to put me right in the middle of the pack. But most folks here are fully invested I think, so I conclude that my account balance is in the upper quartile of all tsp-talkers. As I have been contributing to the tsp for 20 years, this is not surprising. It is also why I am so risk-averse, with only 5-7 years to go.

Dave

 

[learning]

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I got in and out a little and was blesed by the Lord. So I have made up a lot. I did a recaculation today and I am happy. The G fund and a few one day trades saved me. My biggest loss was the first 3 days of January.

 

[smine]

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In Feb I actually was ahead $900, then that awful March followed. Lost most of mydeposits for the year, about $2800. Recent strategies have gained about 1/2 of that back, especially today. As a "catch-up" old person with less than 2 years to retire, it's a wonder I play with this! However, as WW said, it's almost addictive as well as interesting. With the right advice and luck it should also be profitable. Gained about 12% last year....better than CDs, mutual funds, IRA,or savings accounts.

 

[Mike]

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The market goes up, the market goes down - my wager is that it will be higher in 40 years than it is today, and to me, that is really all that matters.

To those who are within 10 years of retirement, be careful. Downturns like this one are precisely why you reduce exposure in equities over time...

Who knows, maybe a bottom has been formed, and we'll head on up from here.

 

[CSI]

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I will retire in 2 - 5 yrs. I will continue to play the markets until I pull out of the TSP. So far this yr I am down about 2%. I can not complain, just made a few wrong moves at the wrong time. I want sayexactly what %I made last yr, but it was more than 15% and less than 55%. It was a good yr for me. I guessed right more times than I guessed wrong. To me, playing with my TSP funds is a cheap form of gambling. I will say this, since the start of 2000 I have doubled what I had in at that time, which includes my contributions. This will be my one and only time to talk about my account.For those of you who may be inclined to follow what I do, be fore warned that you do so at your own risk. Any comments I make are just how I feel at the time. I have no special system and I play the market on an educated guess and nothing more. If one of you wants to track my plays, have at it. Sometimes it is more important to just play the game and lose rather than having not played at all. What I try to do is add a little humor tothe game.

 

[Guest]

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Mike wrote:

The market goes up, the market goes down - my wager is that it will be higher in 40 years than it is today

Is it that up with or without accounting for inflation? It does make a difference; specially, over 40 years.

P.S. Mike, I'm glad to see you back posting on this board.

 

[Guest]

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learning wrote:

My biggest loss was the first 3 days of January.

Same here ! Does anybody know what caused that first week of January to drop like a rock?

 

[Guest]

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CSI wrote:

To me, playing with my TSP funds is a cheap form of gambling.

You must be in CSRS and not worrying about having anyT$Pto keep you out of the rescue mission. (Yes, I'm drooling with envy).

 

[CSI]

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I'm FERS. Went to work for DOD at 39. If you make money your most important thing in life, youwill miss out on all the great things GOD has provided you with. Relax and enjoy life more, it is too short to be little.

 

[Shaggy]

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I am down 1.23% for the year not including contributions. I have only been in TSP for 3 years and have a long time to go so it doesn't add up to much $. I feel better in the knowledge that up until three months ago I was somewhat diversified and would have been down 5.08% at,









G3%
F1%
C47%
S35%
I14%I am slowly learning. I would like to state that some of the regular members that are really active can be quit brutal to each other. It kinda takes away from the site a-little.

 

[learning]

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greg wrote:

learning wrote:

My biggest loss was the first 3 days of January.

Same here ! Does anybody know what caused that first week of January to drop like a rock?

I have an Idea. On the first trading day of January the Fed for the first time released it's minutes 3 weeks after they had a meeting. The minutes were not nice from the market stand point in my humble opionion. I could be wrong. though, That is what I believe.

 

[cowboy]

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learning wrote:

greg wrote:

learning wrote:

My biggest loss was the first 3 days of January.

Same here ! Does anybody know what caused that first week of January to drop like a rock?

I have an Idea. On the first trading day of January the Fed for the first time released it's minutes 3 weeks after they had a meeting. The minutes were not nice from the market stand point in my humble opionion. I could be wrong. though, That is what I believe.

MMM?Seems like learning might be onto something about some kinda meeting. Since Cowboy aint the brightest maybe you can watch forus Learning, and post your thoughts on the meeting then let us know what ya think will happen3 weeks from then and Cowboy will take it into consideration.

 

[MohammadXX]

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Your idea of a poll is good, butgain or loss shown as a percent would be better then awhole dollar amount.

A simple quarterly report on members' % gain or loss would show whose moves we want to track most.

We also need to agree on how to do the calculations based upon the quarterly TSP statement. Thanks.

Mo

 

[tennisguy]

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I am down this year but i don't know exactly how much. It could not be more then 50 dollars as i new to the government and a percent to me is about 20 dollars. (but also when it goes up I also only gain around 20 dollars) I just could imagine losing over 10,000 dollars dang. I hope by the time i get to that type of cash i will understand the market really well because right now I am just reading everything I can and listening to everyone’s ideas.
Since I just started in Nov. I had not experienced any type of bear market until the beginning of this year. I thought it was weird that whatever emotions you have for the market you have to do the opposite. I hope the market turns around soon for all of use who has lost money these last couple of months.

TennisGuy