Pill's Account Talk

[Pill]

Well I have been pretty happy with the year. Would have liked more of course, but with this site I have learned allot, as well as received a better return with having found this site. Around a 16% return, can't complain, they say any thing above 8 is good, right?

Thanks to all who share their generous knowledge for free (even the new guys, every ones input is important and remember there’s no dumb questions)! May God bless you all and may you prosper in all you do!

Currently sitting 20 C, 30 S, 50 I. I am thinking about moving more into the S fund to catch a short term gain (month or two). I fund is going steady and not too sure what do. I sure love the I fund gains but am also aware of the damage it can do sitting too heavy and too long in it (watch out new guys). I should be sitting heaviest in the C fund this year as I believe it will out perform the others. But then again I don't know much!

Thanks Tom for this site, also way to go on your long term account. I am looking forward to seeing what your allocation will be for it this year. Great returns. I may have to join in on it.

 

[Pill]

Placing an IFT 30 I 50 S and 20 C fund at COB on Jan 2, even though the market is closed. Didnt know if it mattered putting when.

 

[Pill]

No need to run out of the way! Just sit tight, and let the bulls run.

 

[Birchtree]

I like your style. You know money likes money.

 

[Pill]

I am pulling back slightly on the S fund, placed an IFT before noon 3/30.

30 C, 30 S, 40 I Fund. Well see for how long. I am not really sure whats going on so just waiting, waiting for what I dont know!

 

[Pill]

Allocation staying the same.

30% C, 30% S, 40% I.

Not sure what to do but it seems to be working.

No need to run! Just sitting tight.

 

[Pill]

Ooch! Alittle painful but I am in to WIN. I beleive staying put is the thing do do right now. I dont know much but I am betting this is just a breather, we will see what next week brings.

 

[Pill]

I sure am glad I have been in the market the last few days. Being right and sitting tight has paid off this time.

My allocation will remain the same with 30C 30s and 40I fund. My plan is to slow start moving some of the S and I Fund and beef up the C fund more. My information is telling me C fund will out perferm the S and I for the rest of the year. However I will remain in them all.

Best of luck to all! Thanks for the great posts.

 

[Pill]

You dont always win, but like Birch says you have to be in to win, just buying cheaper. Went from 13% for the year down to 5%. I knew a pullback was coming but I have a hard time with my emotions, not wanting to be out of the market while its going up. I have a long ways till retirement so plenty of time to learn. I didnt get hit twice though as my Roth IRA have been in a money market for the past few months. Time to buy!
30 C, 30S, 40I.

 

[Pill]

Well I had a gut feeling to place an IFT before noon on Friday to 100% I fund. I started to place it a few minutes before the deadline, but it took a while processing so as I only had less than a minute to process, I cancelled and closed it out. SO I THOUGHT. I just got the mail confirming my move to 100% I fund, and it didn’t go in before noon! So I bought in higher. I was just hoping to catch a quick easy gain and move back to my norm allocation. 30c30s40I. Instead I lost out.

Be in to win!

 

[Pill]

Note to self don’t wait until the last minute to make an IFT.

Placed an IFT with plenty of time today before the deadline. Moved 100F. I am thinking the Fed with cut rates .25, but would love .50%. But for practical reason I only see thing doing .25 next week and another .25 next month. The I fund should benefit the most.

However for the Santa rally that’s around the corner, I am seeing that small caps has performed a little better than the large capsover the course of history. Any thoughts?

Ebbs system sure seems to be working 25% return. It’s hard not to jump aboard with those percentages.

What allocations are you all planning for the Santa Rally? I like having a diverse allocation but interested to see what some old timers do. Thanks.

 

[EW_ret]

I sent you a PM explaining the trackers.

For the new Automated Tracker, I need an email address that you frequent when posting on TSPTalk.com. Please send your email address by Private Message (PM), and I will update your user profile for the Automated Tracker. We need your email to send User ID and password to you. Once I update your user profile, I will send you login instructions by PM.

The Automated Tracker issues passwords automatically. The first time you access the login page you must request your temporary password by clicking Forgot Password. This is located below the Login window. You then enter your User ID and your temporary password will be emailed to you using the address you provided. You can change your password, under user profile, once you have successfully logged in.

The Automated Tracker is being tested by our members. During this test period there are two trackers. You must still enter your IFTs in your account thread for the official Weekly Tracker (WebTracker). This is still the official tracker until we fully transition to the new Automated Tracker. We request you enter the same fund allocations into the Automated Tracker. We want to exercise the new tracker and iron out any bugs that may appear. After all traders are registered with Automated Tracker, we will consider just using it to enter member IFTs and closing the Members' Accounts (no chat) threads. Until then we request you enter your IFTs in both your account thread and the Automated Tracker.

IFT transfer for COB 9/12/07 moved 100% F fund.

For tracking purposes is this where we are being tracked. I am alittle confussed with the new tracking software. If I remember correct it pulls up a log in page and none of my passwords or user names work. Please advise as I like seeing my percentage. Thanks.

 

[Sonic]

I live in Mountain time and I've learned to do the IFT before 10:00 A.M. to be in the next day. I guess we learn from our mistakes. I hope the Santa rally is up and I plan to diversify hoping everything shows the BUUUUULLL.

Note to self don’t wait until the last minute to make an IFT.

Placed an IFT with plenty of time today before the deadline. Moved 100F. I am thinking the Fed with cut rates .25, but would love .50%. But for practical reason I only see thing doing .25 next week and another .25 next month. The I fund should benefit the most.

However for the Santa rally that’s around the corner, I am seeing that small caps has performed a little better than the large capsover the course of history. Any thoughts?

Ebbs system sure seems to be working 25% return. It’s hard not to jump aboard with those percentages.

What allocations are you all planning for the Santa Rally? I like having a diverse allocation but interested to see what some old timers do. Thanks.

 

[Boghie]

Pill,

Can I ask a question?

I have been following your transactions and was planning on modeling mine somewhat after yours, but you have started to trade far more frequently.

My read on the market is that it is rather flat. Can you give your reasoning for your recent trade patterns - that is, transitioning to rapid, single fund trading?

R/S
Boghie

 

[Pill]

Pill,

Can I ask a question?

I have been following your transactions and was planning on modeling mine somewhat after yours, but you have started to trade far more frequently.

My read on the market is that it is rather flat. Can you give your reasoning for your recent trade patterns - that is, transitioning to rapid, single fund trading?

R/S
Boghie

Honestly I love my old way of trading. Less emotional. It was a little bit more of buy and hold and leaning a little heavier in wherever area I believed to be the star at the time. I am a fan of DCA'ing. It’s a winner.

My moves recently mainly have been due to watching co-workers follow Ebb and him being right on. I mean perfectly, selling high buying low. I was thoroughly impressed. Also looking at his 26% return you can't deny. So I tried to jump aboard. The moves recently haven’t worked out, however I am still optimistic. The rest of the year is going to pay off nicely. I am looking to gain at least another 10%. I am going to mix it up and follow ebb for a bit longer; however I won’t be following him 100%.

As far as which fund I like the most, it’s hard to say. I believe they all are looking good. Being diverse is a good way to go. I predict the C fund will take off and have a good month and half, and the S fund should perform better for Nov and Dec. I fund I don’t know what I am doing.

 

[Pill]

Wow, where is every on going?

I am staying put. I may move around a little but I am staying put in stocks.

Be in to Win. Looking to climb back up the ranks!

"Last year, Pointman72 went into a buy and hold strategy coming out of the pullback, no one was able to time the market well enough to outperform him. In fact, there were only a handful of red days for months afterwards."
Griffin

 

[fabijo]

"Last year, Pointman72 went into a buy and hold strategy coming out of the pullback, no one was able to time the market well enough to outperform him. In fact, there were only a handful of red days for months afterwards."
Griffin

That's what I'm realizing, too. It's better to stay in most of the time in this market, then maybe pull some out when we are hitting the trend tops. Put it all in if we get nice corrections like we just got. I love ebb's system, but he has said it before - it does better during down months. It just seems we've already finished with those down months for at least a little while.

Now the trick is to figure out when to follow the ebbchart. :blink:

 

[Pill]

Yes you can't deny his awesome 27%. Man his system is HOT! I just wish I would have followed him earlier.

With the Santa Rally coming soon, I am sure the buy and hold will prevail.

 

[Pill]

Making some adjustments. 50 C, 30 S, 20 I.

 

[kar_crazy]

my brother was at the game with his boy they went up by bus i bet it was a long strange trip home,i ran into ole Barry Switzer tonight at a resturant too ashamed to even say hi :embarrest: G L out there Phil