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Well, shoot. The old question. Stick it out or capitulate? Still positive for June but back negative for the year. Not on autotracker but based on my own withdrawals. Payback for transferring to stock funds after all this time?
PO
Thanks Rod, I think I did take the ride. It was supposed to be a quick in and out experiment and I shoulda got out last Friday or Monday. Got greedy. It went down much quicker than I imagined. No real harm done and now I sit and see what happens. Karma for stating thoughts about recouping withdrawals?If you stick it out, you could be riding it back down for 5% - 10% (since 9 Jun). But the question is how far down are you willing to ride it out? Of course, what goes down must come up. So technically, you have nothing to lose by sticking it out, right?Furthermore, Daddy Fed will be there to hold your hand during the entirety of the ride.![]()
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Another comment on deciding to make a move in the TSP. If it is up at 1200EDT I don’t want to miss gains. If it is down at 1200EDT I don’t want to sell at a loss. By 1600EDT it will be wherever it is. No way of knowing these days.PO
Another comment on deciding to make a move in the TSP. If it is up at 1200EDT I don’t want to miss gains. If it is down at 1200EDT I don’t want to sell at a loss. By 1600EDT it will be wherever it is. No way of knowing these days.
Since I am on MST my cutoff for a move is 0900 and market close is at 1300. My solution to indecision is to not turn on the computer until after 0900 and sometimes not till 1300. No reason to get out of bed then since other stuff can wait.
PO
PO,
I never understood the 12 noon cut off for an IST since it is such a disadvantage for those west of the Eastern Time Zone. My guess is that the majority of TSP accounts are in the Eastern Time Zone, but that doesn't make it right. Sure glad I'm not stationed in Hawaii because I would have to decide before 6am local time if I want to make an IFT or not.
Yep!:nuts:My guess is that they limit us to make moving our money around seem less desirable.
My guess is that they limit us to make moving our money around seem less desirable.
I was wondering if there were any general rules of thumb, like if 80% of the time it is up by 1% at 1130 (EDT) if it is usually still up at closing? I doubt there are statistics on it readily available (only TSP traders would care?) but if at least we could make an "educated" guess, that might make me feel better. Maybe I will try to keep stats for a month or two... Or I could just let be will be.