10/01/2008 - Updated 2:23 PM ET
Oil futures touch 2-week low as crude supplies risePrices pare losses as natural-gas futures rally nearly 4% on storm forecast
By Myra P. Saefong, MarketWatch & Polya
Lesova, MarketWatch
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Crude-oil futures touched their lowest level in two weeks Wednesday as traders found more reasons to broaden concerns about a slowdown in energy demand.
U.S. crude supplies rose for the first time in six weeks, uncertainty continued over whether the $700 billion rescue package for the financial sector will pass and the nation suffered the sharpest one-month decline in manufacturing activity since February of 1984.
But oil pared its losses in afternoon trading, finding support as prices for natural gas rallied almost 4% as a fresh forecast renewed concern over the Atlantic hurricane season and disruptions to energy output in the Gulf of Mexico.
Crude oil for November delivery fell $1.78, or 1.8%, to $98.89 a barrel in electronic trading on Globex. Earlier, it touched a low of $95.95, the lowest intraday price since Sept. 17.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, the contract traded at $99.90, down 74 cents.
"The backwardation caused by Hurricanes Ike and Gustav in both crude and RBOB [gasoline] has been weakening of late indicating the refining industry is getting back to normal," said Darin Newsom, DTN senior analyst. "That calms the supply driven spike rally." Backwardation refers to a situation in which the price of a commodity for future delivery is lower than the spot price.
And "as for demand, world economic problems continue to weigh on the markets," Newsom said. "That being the case, and again as indicated by the weakening spreads, it is no surprise to see stocks build."
Crude supplies rose for the first time in six weeks, by 4.3 million barrels for the week ended Sept. 26, according to the U.S. Energy Department's Energy Information Administration Wednesday. They stood at 294.5 million barrels.
Crude supplies had fallen a total of 15.7 million barrels in the prior five weeks, according to the EIA.
They were up 3.3 million barrels at 292 million in the latest week, according to separate data from the American Petroleum Institute.
Natural gas surprise
Natural gas was the lone gainer in the energy pits Wednesday, with prices moving higher for a second session.
November natural gas futures rose 28.6 cents, or 3.8%, to $7.72 per million British thermal units.
"I'm kind of surprised at natural gas' rally," said Beth Sewell, a managing partner at Quantum Gas & Power Services. It "could be something as simple as Colorado State's hurricane experts [issuing] a report stating they expect to see three named storms in October -- one of which is a major hurricane."
In a report released Wednesday, forecasters at the Colorado State University said the forecast for October calls for three named storms, including two hurricanes and one major hurricane.
The forecasters said September saw above-average activity, but "not to the level that we predicted."
On Thursday, the Energy Department will release its weekly update on natural-gas supplies in storage. Analysts at Strategic Energy & Economic Research expect to see an increase of 81 billion cubic feet for the week ended Sept. 26. But Global Insight is looking for a climb of 62 billion.
Refineries recover, but demand doesn't [more] http://markets.usatoday.com/custom/...S&guid={8A8E4F87-79B0-46AC-A783-8EBC0C02629F}