NSurf9 Account Talk

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Nsurf9,

same thoughts here. I'm in I as of today but thinking I should take the quick gain. Do you think busting through ~1440 high a few days ago is a high probability play?
 
Its "sell in May" vs wasting your last May IFT and get passed up on the Bull-train.

I can only answer on my count. I would have burned the IFT and moved to G at noon today, 5/22, and pocketed the 1% this evening, and then wait until June for new IFTs.

Birch believes we are approaching a bull market. I do too, but that are lots wind coming from several directions. The question is how soon. Oil (commodities), mortgage seizure and inflation are on the short-range scope and are likely to continue to cause difficulty on a bull run. Hurricans are a little futher out and the presid election a little further again

Though I would probably move out to (G) today, I believe enough damage done has been done in the last 2 day that it helps the case to preserve that last IFT and catch the bull-train, or ditch back to (G) later.

Generally, though, my posture changes by season. I try to limit the number of days I'm exposure in equities. I note that last summer trend went uncharistically counter to the "sell in May..." saying. But, I am still wary of the saying and the statistics it represents. Thus, October - April, I want to be in equities (but get out to avoid loss); and, May - Sept, I want to be out (but get in to seek gain).
 
Congrats on being at 18.64%



320pxsmircthumbsupsvgbg7.png

 
Thanks, Asylum.

I really would have preferred a 100S move, then 100I move - which is usually the better path after a 1% US drop. Also dollar is strengthening - making "I" less attractive. But, with the recent "I" fund still lagging behind the "S," I'll try to stay in equities for at least a little while. Then, thru "F" which is also lagging, back to "G" to use-up my "overly-generous" 2 IFTs.

My posture still is "be out in May-Oct and limit exposure." Get-in, only to catch the dips. Keep wary, though, this market may still buck-the-trend, like last summer, and make a summer-rally. The question is where is the best return for investment, RE, stocks, commodities or bonds?

So far, though, the "I" fund re-traced a small leg down from $24.66 5/21, to ~$24.04 5/31, for a anticipated loss of about $.62 cents. Albeit, the trend back up to $25.32 is stretching sideways some. I'll try to stay "I" for ~ $1 fund increase then, considering bailing to "F", then to "G". My question is will the already up "S" precipate a drop in the "I" that hasn't yet increased.

Next resistence point, climbing back up the "I" fund line to the high-12/07 period, is at about $25.32 - or about ($.92 to $1.32 profit) in "I" fund cents.

Still watching summer, hurricans, sell in May, oil, dollar
 
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I went 100% S earlier this AM too. DWCP looks like its in a solid measured bull channel on the weekly charts since the BSC day... and just bounced off the support line on 5/23 and re-test on 5/27. Although, I feel like i'm chasing on what may end up a big green day. I hope this bullish action is not just setting up for kissing the channel goodbye if my trend lines aren't the real deal. Hope ADP will be in-line too.
 
My same thoughts. I realize there may be a couple of bumps down. My bail to F/G trigger is ~1.5%.
 
i'm going to try to hold as long as dwcp remains in this percieved bull channel... let us know when your figurative sell-stop triggers in TSP. Thanks again nsurf9!
 
Nsurf9,

Your IFTs have been laser accurate.

With today's ~2% gains, what do you think about a person going to G tomorrow with intentions to come back in later in the month on the assumption that the stocks probably will go back down later in the month? (I have the full 2 IPTs left for the month).

Thanks,
Greg
 
Tom (help!!) - is there anyway we can boot this guy for some kind of illegal activity - I mean look at this he's like 20%

Most of the ones looking great are just beginning to climb the first branches of the trees - while this guy's up in the plane looking down with binoculars.

NSurf - you are one amazing dude.
 
INSIDER TRADING !
CAREFUL, THEIR ALL WATCHING !

NSURF9, Can you please go to the (G) for a while and let us catch up. :nuts:

What a amazing job your doing ! Congratulations on a great day and a
spectacular first half of 2008. So tell me, hows the weather up there !!
:)
 
All that I can say is amazing. Nsurf9 you have the touch. One request!!! PLEASE do not go private.:D:D:D
 
hessian said:
Hey NSurf9,
You better check the Member Results (today :D) - FiveTears is showing awesome gains year-to-date!! Beating yours...
http://www.tsptalk.com/tracker/tsp_user_balance_returns.php
:laugh::nuts:
Click to expand...

Ocean noticed this huge return error for Five Tears yesterday. He will correct it by this weekend. Ocean has been working hard on the issue of occational return errors. Most of the time these errors are negative. In Five Tears case, the return error was huge to the up side. Wish I could get a 1,100% Daily return!!:cheesy:
 
1000% - Now, that's what I'm talking about.

No, I haven't bailed out of "I," but I would have been smart to have done so. The quick plunging sinker makes the hook hard to get out.

Did I mention how short, Long is? I would have bailed to "G" on June 5, with 40 cents as a salvage - but, then I would be finished for the month.
 
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