Neirbod Account Talk

[neirbod]

The housing data are scary. People will start to feel poorer, and may spend less. That, combined with Fed talk of more rate hikes and the seasonal weakness, make me want to play a bit more defense. Given the Fed talk, F fund may be less attractive than I previously thought. So, using G and F, with a little in I.

COB today:
40 G, 30 F, 30 I

 

[neirbod]

I still am worried about housing and a slowing economy. But, the strong seasonal trend before the holiday, and the reduced inflation fear, has me making a quick move into stocks. I anticipate I will take some more off the table next week to avoid the historically poor market in September.

COB today
30 C, 30 S, 40 I

 

[neirbod]

Today could be some decent gains, but the market looks like it really needs a rest. Stepping aside for a little while

COB today
50 G, 50 F

 

[neirbod]

Tough call what to do. I missed the last few days of rally, and I do think a small pull back could come soon. But, my timing has been pretty bad lately, and I do think we will go significantly higher in the next couple of months, so I don't want to get too cute. I am taking today's pullback (hopefully it will last) as a chance to get in.

25 C, 35 S, 40 I

 

[neirbod]

Still staying in 100% stocks. I expect a small pullback, followed by more growth. I am not confident in my short-term timing, so I am just playing long and not worrying about a little backslide.

Moving funds around as I think the I fund has lost a bit of its lustre. S and C look good for the time being. Still keeping my toe in I as it is hard to argue with the trend over the past couple of years.

30 C, 45 S, 25 I