nasa1974's Account Talk

[nasa1974]

Looks like I may have picked a good day to jumped back 100% "S". Maybe I should wait and see what happens over the next few days.

 

[Cactus]

But if you had waited a few days you would be using a July IFT. Are you planning on staying the whole month?

 

[nasa1974]

But if you had waited a few days you would be using a July IFT. Are you planning on staying the whole month?

The wait and see was if the "S" fund starts to move north on whether or not it was a good move. Right now I'm planning on staying in "S" through July.

 

[nasa1974]

Everyone have a happy and safe 4th of July.

 

[userque]

You wouldn't have a 9 year old Grandson would ya?

(VIDEO) 9-year-old applies for NASA position
9-year-old applies for NASA position

"NASA's job posting for a planetary protection officer led 9-year-old Jack Davis to send in an application letter."

 

[nasa1974]

Nope. Zachary is only 3.

 

[nasa1974]

Well after yesterdays "S" fund close it doesn't look like I will have a positive August.

 

[Whipsaw]

We still have two weeks to go.

 

[ravensfan]

In looking at the weekly performance of the S fund, it would need a return of 0.75% today just to break even for the week. If it doesn't make it, that's 4 down weeks in a row. Eventually, this trend will reverse and the S fund starts putting in positive returns. With that said, I will stand pat with my current allocation of 40% C Fund, 50% S Fund and 10% I Fund.

Good luck everyone!!!

 

[nasa1974]

We still have two weeks to go.

True. But I would need to gain just a little over 3.5% just to break even for the month. Hoping that we don't fall any farther. Not impossible but not very likely.

 

[ravensfan]

Well the S Fund decided to continue it's downward spiral today and finished the week -0.86%. That's 4 weeks in a row now. My database only covers 2016 and 2017 and in looking at it, this is a first. Perhaps there is someone smarter than me who can tell me what the record for number of weeks in a row the S Fund has been down...

Let's hope next week the trend gets broken. For now, sticky pants deployed...:notrust:

 

[nasa1974]

Strong finish to the "S" fund for the month. However, I still finished negative for the month. On August 18th I was down 3.51% for the month but finished at -.41%. I guess it could have been worse. Let's start September on a positive note and finish out the week strong.

 

[nasa1974]

Here is what the September monthly returns have looked like. Not much better than August.


View attachment September.xlsx

 

[FogSailing]

I'm with you Nasa. I took a small step backward as well. Hopefully, look to regain as we move into the last 4 months of 2017.

FS

 

[nasa1974]

Well September has been interesting. I wonder if the "S" fund will still move up for the last two days of the month. The question now is do I stay put and hope that October will be a good month or take my profit for now and jump to the "G" fund and protect what I have?
Dang, I wish I had at least one more IFT for the month.

 

[nasa1974]

Here are what the monthly returns have been like for the month of October since 1995 thanks to Govexec.com

Last year the TSP funds didn't do good at all and 2012 was a bad year as well. Except for those two years the TSP funds have done very well since 2010.


View attachment October.xlsx

 

[pmaloney]

I will never forget the BIG V of October 2014. Sold with my second IFT at the bottom and watched the S&P rise the rest of the month. :smile:

 

[Scout333]

Trying to decide whether to get back in now or wait till November? Bailed a little too early! Always hardest to pull the trigger to get back in. This has been a long bull run maybe there is a little still left in the tank. Good luck to all TSP'rs out there. All this tax reform talk may pull it a little longer!:smile:

 

[nasa1974]

Trying to decide whether to get back in now or wait till November? Bailed a little too early! Always hardest to pull the trigger to get back in. This has been a long bull run maybe there is a little still left in the tank. Good luck to all TSP'rs out there. All this tax reform talk may pull it a little longer!:smile:

With only two IFT's a month it is easy to get out and be safe. The hardest choice is when to get back in because you don't want to waste an IFT. (in or out of the market). Good luck.

 

[nasa1974]

October is almost over. It would be nice to see the month close out on a positive note.

Attached are the November returns since 1995. November actually looks pretty good for returns. Let's hope this November has good numbers. It will be interesting with tax reform and a few other political and geopolitical issues.

Good luck.


View attachment November.xlsx