nasa1974's Account Talk

[nasa1974]

Just went 100% "G". Doing some Holiday traveling and won't be able to track the market very well. Sitting just above 29% YTD and if I miss out a percent or two, no big deal.
Hope everyone had a safe Thanksgiving.

 

[nnuut]

A really good year for you!!!

 

[wahinepio]

my hero. would you be so kind as to post your moves before 6am HST. worth a try

 

[nasa1974]

my hero. would you be so kind as to post your moves before 6am HST. worth a try

I sure don’t make too many IFT’s. I pretty much live in the “S” fund. Actually it’s more luck than anything else.

 

[pmaloney]

Have a good holiday!:smile:

 

[nasa1974]

Sitting in the "G" fund is killing me. But sitting at 28% the beginning of the month I didn't want to take a chance of a bad market while I was away from a computer. Anyway, not sure what I'm going to do. More than likely I will jump back into the "S" fund before the end of the year since January has been really good the last 3 years, but the VIX is a little scary and with some information that Tom has thrown out there plus all this non investment crap happening.....

So here is the information on January.

Good luck everyone.

View attachment January.xlsx

 

[nasa1974]

I think I have my spreadsheet done for 2020. I will review again this weekend. With that said I still seem to miss one or two things in the darn thing. It is to large to attach so if you are interested send me a PM with your email address and I will send it to you.

 

[nasa1974]

Just went to 50/50 CS. I still have one IFT left for the month.

 

[nasa1974]

A very Merry Christmas to everyone.

​

 

[pmaloney]

Merry Christmas! :smile:

 

[1965Vintage]

Merry Christmas Nasa1974! :smile:

 

[nasa1974]

Merry Christmas! :smile:

Thank you.

 

[nasa1974]

As we get ready for the last two trading days of 2019 we deffinetly have had a better year than 2018. So I thought I would throw out some numbers and use them for what you may. Tom's tag line is "friends don't let friends buy and hold" which held true for the top 10 in the AutoTracker, #10 is 32.15% YTD with 9 IFT's YTD and #1 is 35.95% YTD with 9 IFT's YTD and the IFT's ranged from 9 to 22 YTD. I don't know if these members did multiple IFT's last year but the top 10 all had negative numbers for 2018 ranging from 4.58% to 19.96%.

So what about the buy and holders for this year and what did 2018 look like? The first number is for 2019 and the second number is for 2018.

"G" 2.22% 2.91%
"F" 8.83% 0.15%
"C" 31.80% 4.41%
"S" 28.06% 9.26%
"I" 22.83% 13.43%
"L" 7.65% 0.71%
"L2020" 9.45% 0.36%
"L2030" 17.78% 3.58%
"L2040" 20.91% 4.89%
"L2050" 23.59% 6.02%

I will have to do a little digging to find past year totals. I know I have something on a thumb drive or at work for "G through I" but I don't think I tracked the "L" funds. Maybe someone else might have the information readily available.
Anyway, hope you had a good 2019 and a better 2020.

 

[Tsunami]

It's easiest just to use tsp.gov for the annual returns...
https://www.tsp.gov/InvestmentFunds/FundPerformance/annualReturns.html

Happy New Year! The Roaring 20's are back.

 

[nasa1974]

It's easiest just to use tsp.gov for the annual returns...
https://www.tsp.gov/InvestmentFunds/FundPerformance/annualReturns.html

Happy New Year! The Roaring 20's are back.

Thanks Tsunami.

Happy New Year

 

[nasa1974]

To everyone. Have a safe and a fruitful TSP 2020.

 

[tom4jean]

As we get ready for the last two trading days of 2019 we deffinetly have had a better year than 2018. So I thought I would throw out some numbers and use them for what you may. Tom's tag line is "friends don't let friends buy and hold" which held true for the top 10 in the AutoTracker, #10 is 32.15% YTD with 9 IFT's YTD and #1 is 35.95% YTD with 9 IFT's YTD and the IFT's ranged from 9 to 22 YTD. I don't know if these members did multiple IFT's last year but the top 10 all had negative numbers for 2018 ranging from 4.58% to 19.96%.

So what about the buy and holders for this year and what did 2018 look like? The first number is for 2019 and the second number is for 2018.

"G" 2.22% 2.91%
"F" 8.83% 0.15%
"C" 31.80% 4.41%
"S" 28.06% 9.26%
"I" 22.83% 13.43%
"L" 7.65% 0.71%
"L2020" 9.45% 0.36%
"L2030" 17.78% 3.58%
"L2040" 20.91% 4.89%
"L2050" 23.59% 6.02%

I will have to do a little digging to find past year totals. I know I have something on a thumb drive or at work for "G through I" but I don't think I tracked the "L" funds. Maybe someone else might have the information readily available.
Anyway, hope you had a good 2019 and a better 2020.

You have to admit though that the top people are only slightly over a buy and holder. I never have been, but I find that I often have not done well at all trying to time the marker either, and it temps me to.

Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk

 

[Rod]

Ever since the two IFTs per month rule went into effect, it's been a lot more difficult to time the market. You know how well I have done as a buy-n-holder these past 10 years. So far, 29.95% for 2019... and an overall average of 28% per year since 2009. But of course, on 23 Dec, I made my first IFT since 2009 into 100 (G) in anticipation of this sell-off... and my overall fear of what 2020 might bring.

 

[nasa1974]

Lot of doom and gloom predictions for 2020 but the market still looks strong. Let's hope we don't get caught with our pants down and loose our shorts. :laugh:

 

[nasa1974]

Since we are into 2020 I thought I would mention I do have an Excel Spreadsheet for TSP 2020. It's to large to link (290K) so if you are interested just send me a private message with your email address and I'll send it to you. I proof read it but there may still be some miner glitch's in it. :embarrest: