alevin
Well-known member
Re: Greg's Account Talk
I read a book a number of years ago that talked about exactly this. Wish I could recall the title or even the author.
Book's premise was that: Boomers all start to sell their stocks at the same time as they hit retirement (30-years worth of Boomers' life savings tied up in market), plus all start trying to downsize into smaller houses at same time as they get older and don't want the trouble of McMansion upkeep anymore, cash out some of that equity (whatever, whoever might have some).
Made me think real hard about looking into rental RE as diversification measure, but of course, lacked the cash cushion and cash flow to make it work, lucky me. Good thing I didn't have the cash back then, woulda been a real bad time to have bought RE as investment. Makes me glad I still have a 'starter' home, might still get a fair price later on.
The book's compounding idea came out that all those people outside the US would be happy to buy Boomer stocks and RE for dirt cheap, not to mention the GenY/Millennials who won't have the $ to pay big prices for stocks OR RE, and won't need to because stocks and RE will be dirt cheap as selling pressure builds-or they can afford to sit around and watch til the price finally suits them. Sorta sounds like the symptoms are already piling up, if for different reasons.
Doesn't mean the book reasons won't start piling on in the next 5 years and keep the market suppressed near where it is now. How much gloom and doom can we take? Our Uncle set us younger feds up for this, happy happy day. I'm thinking collectibles might be the way to get out from under some of this RE/market cloud down the road, but who knows? Start hanging out at yard sales and estate auctions, look for hidden treasures,gotta get them cheap or it'll be the next bubble.
I read a book a number of years ago that talked about exactly this. Wish I could recall the title or even the author.
Book's premise was that: Boomers all start to sell their stocks at the same time as they hit retirement (30-years worth of Boomers' life savings tied up in market), plus all start trying to downsize into smaller houses at same time as they get older and don't want the trouble of McMansion upkeep anymore, cash out some of that equity (whatever, whoever might have some).
Made me think real hard about looking into rental RE as diversification measure, but of course, lacked the cash cushion and cash flow to make it work, lucky me. Good thing I didn't have the cash back then, woulda been a real bad time to have bought RE as investment. Makes me glad I still have a 'starter' home, might still get a fair price later on.
The book's compounding idea came out that all those people outside the US would be happy to buy Boomer stocks and RE for dirt cheap, not to mention the GenY/Millennials who won't have the $ to pay big prices for stocks OR RE, and won't need to because stocks and RE will be dirt cheap as selling pressure builds-or they can afford to sit around and watch til the price finally suits them. Sorta sounds like the symptoms are already piling up, if for different reasons.
Doesn't mean the book reasons won't start piling on in the next 5 years and keep the market suppressed near where it is now. How much gloom and doom can we take? Our Uncle set us younger feds up for this, happy happy day. I'm thinking collectibles might be the way to get out from under some of this RE/market cloud down the road, but who knows? Start hanging out at yard sales and estate auctions, look for hidden treasures,gotta get them cheap or it'll be the next bubble.