Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
A review of recent market trends.
From the low of August 12th to the closing of September 10th.
Funds: G= .04 F = .18 C= .66 S= .97 andI =.58
Investing proportionally:
G = 20% F = 80 % Bearish (100%) Caution: interest rates are rising!
Bullish (100%) C = 30% S = 45% and I = 25%
Days up: 16, days down: 5
Moving averages (short term) = Bullish for August/Sept. Moving averages (long term) = Bearish for March/ Sept. Current cycles (peak to peak) averaged about 33 days from April/June.
Other factors:
Last week.
Advancers led decliners, with some companies reporting cost cutting.
Oil was lower below $43, as hurricane threat eased (but a war/supply factor exists).
DOW had the lowest Increase up 0.2%, NASD 1.3%, and S&P 0.5%.
Market comments (by others):
Could be upper end, or breakout.
My comments:
Short term: Current allocation Bullish 0-0-35-45-20, with feelings that C-S-I funds seem to be dry due to short termup trends, but since this (also) appears to be a monsoon season (cycles), always bring rain gear (G-fund) along. Long term: Bearish, too many current problems, with cylic moving averages, and overall trend since March has beenaveraging (on a slow slope) downward.
Got to go back and review [tsptalks] chart on upswings during presidential election years. I'm an optimist, needing my shot of good news!
Have a good week!
But, please be careful out there.
A review of recent market trends.
From the low of August 12th to the closing of September 10th.
Funds: G= .04 F = .18 C= .66 S= .97 andI =.58
Investing proportionally:
G = 20% F = 80 % Bearish (100%) Caution: interest rates are rising!
Bullish (100%) C = 30% S = 45% and I = 25%
Days up: 16, days down: 5
Moving averages (short term) = Bullish for August/Sept. Moving averages (long term) = Bearish for March/ Sept. Current cycles (peak to peak) averaged about 33 days from April/June.
Other factors:
Last week.
Advancers led decliners, with some companies reporting cost cutting.
Oil was lower below $43, as hurricane threat eased (but a war/supply factor exists).
DOW had the lowest Increase up 0.2%, NASD 1.3%, and S&P 0.5%.
Market comments (by others):
Could be upper end, or breakout.
My comments:
Short term: Current allocation Bullish 0-0-35-45-20, with feelings that C-S-I funds seem to be dry due to short termup trends, but since this (also) appears to be a monsoon season (cycles), always bring rain gear (G-fund) along. Long term: Bearish, too many current problems, with cylic moving averages, and overall trend since March has beenaveraging (on a slow slope) downward.
Got to go back and review [tsptalks] chart on upswings during presidential election years. I'm an optimist, needing my shot of good news!
Have a good week!
