teknobucks
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teknobucks wrote:
teknobucks wrote:
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Market Talk
- Thread starter Spaf
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teknobucks
Active member
imported post
Inflation and Fed Policy
by John Mauldin
10/21/2005
Some Thoughts on Fed Policy
Some Comments on Inflation
What's the matter with the CPI?
Our solution: CPI/DX
The Consumer Squeeze
Core Inflation and Bond Market Prospects
Detroit, New York, Birthdays and a Bet
Introduction
Exactly how do you measure inflation? Last week's letter showed how the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses "owners' equivalent rent" to measure the rise in housing costs rather than the actual price. The conclusion is that it certainly smoothes out the volatility of housing prices, and keeps the CPI (Consumer Price Inflation) from violent swings from quarter to quarter, it also yields periods
http://www.investorsinsight.com/thoughts_va_print.aspx?EditionID=212
Inflation and Fed Policy
by John Mauldin
10/21/2005
Some Thoughts on Fed Policy
Some Comments on Inflation
What's the matter with the CPI?
Our solution: CPI/DX
The Consumer Squeeze
Core Inflation and Bond Market Prospects
Detroit, New York, Birthdays and a Bet
Introduction
Exactly how do you measure inflation? Last week's letter showed how the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses "owners' equivalent rent" to measure the rise in housing costs rather than the actual price. The conclusion is that it certainly smoothes out the volatility of housing prices, and keeps the CPI (Consumer Price Inflation) from violent swings from quarter to quarter, it also yields periods
http://www.investorsinsight.com/thoughts_va_print.aspx?EditionID=212
teknobucks
Active member
imported post
[font="Georgia, Times New Roman, Times, serif"][font="Times New Roman, Times, serif"]The State Anti-Insures[/font][/font]
[align=center][font="Georgia, Times New Roman, Times, serif"][font="Times New Roman, Times, serif"]by Michael S. Rozeffchael S. Rozeff[/font][/font][/align]
[align=center][/align]
[align=left][font="Times New Roman, Times, serif"]Most everyone wants security. We don’t want to die from bird flu or West Nile virus. We don’t want to run out of money in old age. We don’t want to eat bad food or take a bad drug. We don’t want to lose our jobs, be attacked by a robber, get flooded out, lose eyesight or a limb, or be blown up by a bomb. We do not want dangers. They pose risks of loss. We’d like to reduce them, eliminate them if we can. [/font][/align]
[align=left][font="Times New Roman, Times, serif"]There are hundreds of perils, and the State promises to get rid of them for us. The Constitution has as one goal to "insure domestic tranquility." Does the State do this? Michael Leavitt, the Secretary of the United States Department of Health and Human Services, says "We are not prepared for a [bird flu] pandemic." Critics say that the federal government is years behind the curve, that Bush spent more money on abstinence education than on getting flu vaccine. The State anti-insures. [/font][/align]
http://www.lewrockwell.com/rozeff/rozeff35.html
[font="Georgia, Times New Roman, Times, serif"][font="Times New Roman, Times, serif"]The State Anti-Insures[/font][/font]
[align=center][font="Georgia, Times New Roman, Times, serif"][font="Times New Roman, Times, serif"]by Michael S. Rozeffchael S. Rozeff[/font][/font][/align]
[align=center][/align]
[align=left][font="Times New Roman, Times, serif"]Most everyone wants security. We don’t want to die from bird flu or West Nile virus. We don’t want to run out of money in old age. We don’t want to eat bad food or take a bad drug. We don’t want to lose our jobs, be attacked by a robber, get flooded out, lose eyesight or a limb, or be blown up by a bomb. We do not want dangers. They pose risks of loss. We’d like to reduce them, eliminate them if we can. [/font][/align]
[align=left][font="Times New Roman, Times, serif"]There are hundreds of perils, and the State promises to get rid of them for us. The Constitution has as one goal to "insure domestic tranquility." Does the State do this? Michael Leavitt, the Secretary of the United States Department of Health and Human Services, says "We are not prepared for a [bird flu] pandemic." Critics say that the federal government is years behind the curve, that Bush spent more money on abstinence education than on getting flu vaccine. The State anti-insures. [/font][/align]
http://www.lewrockwell.com/rozeff/rozeff35.html
robo
Well-known member
imported post
The Markets Are Whispering - Are You Listening?
http://www.safehaven.com/article-3985.htm
The Markets Are Whispering - Are You Listening?
http://www.safehaven.com/article-3985.htm
Birchtree
Well-known member
imported post
Robo,
I read Greg Miller - but seldom listen. He has a tendency to lean in the bear camp.
I actually prefer Don Hayes or Harry Dent - two mega bulls with the Dow outlook of 20,000 in the next three to five years. Shop early and be prepared. Gotta keep my pearl handles well oiled for some terrific trading just in case they are correct.
Currently the dollar is at a 25 month high versus the yen. The interest-rate differentials remain the dollar's strongest card. A key test for the dollar will be whether it can break clean through 116 yen or whether this level will prove a ceiling for the U.S. currency.
Robo,
I read Greg Miller - but seldom listen. He has a tendency to lean in the bear camp.
I actually prefer Don Hayes or Harry Dent - two mega bulls with the Dow outlook of 20,000 in the next three to five years. Shop early and be prepared. Gotta keep my pearl handles well oiled for some terrific trading just in case they are correct.
Currently the dollar is at a 25 month high versus the yen. The interest-rate differentials remain the dollar's strongest card. A key test for the dollar will be whether it can break clean through 116 yen or whether this level will prove a ceiling for the U.S. currency.
robo
Well-known member
imported post
Birchtree,
Greg Miller is a trend trader and is just not sure of the current trend.... He is currently cautious based onmarket technicals. So those that are listening,he is advising caution until we can see a clearer bottom.... You would agree, it has been pretty murky lately? His goal is like many here capital preservation. I don't always agree with him, but his market timing lately has been pretty darn good. Hope your having a nice weekend? My birthday was yesterday so I'm headed out to Famous Dave's for my birthday treat.
Birchtree,
Greg Miller is a trend trader and is just not sure of the current trend.... He is currently cautious based onmarket technicals. So those that are listening,he is advising caution until we can see a clearer bottom.... You would agree, it has been pretty murky lately? His goal is like many here capital preservation. I don't always agree with him, but his market timing lately has been pretty darn good. Hope your having a nice weekend? My birthday was yesterday so I'm headed out to Famous Dave's for my birthday treat.
imported post
robo wrote:
robo wrote:
This seemed a bit biased (not that there's anything wrong with that).He insists that Google's good news should be filtered out when Pfizer and Caterpillar seemed to be the real noise. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell were all up and only the CAT and PFE filled Dow and S&P 100 (barely) were down.
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