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imported post

DMA wrote:
teknobucks wrote:
Birchtree wrote:
Teknobucks,

Been reading the thread as an innocent bystander - but it appears you've been snagged by a bear claw. Lots of bark - little bite. You will never know his positions because there ain't none. He is 70%F and 30%G. Don't you remember all the problems he was having with the I fund. The F fund will continue to rally bringing the 10 year rate under 4% - they are leading the Fed. One more .25 increase and then they pause - they will not dare an inverted yield curve. DMA sees things so just the opposite from my perspective that I appreciate having him back - but I'll NEVER take his advice on anything. I'm happy holding my wall flower - she treats me right.

Dennis - still perma bull #2
Click to expand...
10-4 Dennis

want him to post his trades so i can go the other way....aol keyword for this guy is [edit].:dah:

on a positive note : looks like the c fund is coiled for a major rally

good luck!

tekno
Click to expand...
:DName calling - so like you Tek.

You listen to Billy Gross. I will think for myself. :shock:
Click to expand...
 
imported post

The Chinese will most likely reduce their profit margins before risking loss of market share to competition with price increases. The Fed I suspect will pause at 3.50% and watch the economy for six months before making a final determination to end or continue rate volatility. They are very aware of their past mistakes and the consequent pain they deliver when they over tighten. The Chinese revaluation most likely will not be inflationary. However, industrialized manufactoring exports will have a small competitive edge if the dollar can find a reasonable level to reach stability. We have already seen some improvement in the trade deficit. Does anyone think the Chinese would be interested in buying an off shore drilling company - with advanced technology for locating and retrieving oil? The whole group was very active today.
 
imported post

DMA

According to your DMA Account posts:

You said via your last post on June 24th that "Somehow I am 70% F and 30% G by the confirmation e-mail - not 50/50". And, I must of made a mistake?

pyriel answered that: "Sorry but we can't take this. For the purpose of tracking you, we can only take 50g50f as stated before the deadline. This is quarterbacking".

However, from your Talk:

Friday July 22 you say: "I know this is not posted (but I told Tech about this) I went 100% S fund right after the UK first attack (the whole world said at once BUY THE DIP). Fed and Treasury pumped 74.5B into the market in two days. I went back to G fund after the Yuan thing".

DMA this is quarterbacking from the rules of this web site. You are not keeping your Account up to date for verification. You are making claims that can not be backed up.

Teknosaid: "Looooooser" probably out of flustration. However, it's a matter of credibility.

Sure, your welcome and we like to hear your talk. You need to postaccurate IFT's that can be tracked by the site rules!

Please, this would help every one, and eliminate some of the confusion!

Rgds, and sleep tight Mr. Bear! Ah DMA! :D Spaf
 
imported post

Spaf he did the loser thing before I posted what I did.

He ask me like 6 times what I was doing.

The IFT thing I punched in the wrong number when I did the transaction and it was not quarterback because the transaction was completed that day for the next days NAV. When I got the confirmation I screwed up the percentages. If anything I was trying to be above board and had tried to fix what my allocation was on here. Once again....the nav was for the next day, ie I got the confirmation around 8pm the same day.

I told him there was a massive fed pump the day of the UK thing (first time) and the world said buy the dip. If you noticed the UK market was down 4% and all most closed positive for the day. The U.S. futures were down 170 were recovering like a rocket ship.

Tek I try to be civil with him. Does not work.

Once again he did the name calling prior to the allocation post.
 
imported post

teknobucks wrote:
....aol keyword for this guy is [edit].
Click to expand...
Hey tek. That one hit a little too close to home for me. I'm feeling a lot like a [edit] myself lately. ;)

Tom
 
imported post

Spaf wrote:
DMA

According to your DMA Account posts:

You said via your last post on June 24th that "Somehow I am 70% F and 30% G by the confirmation e-mail - not 50/50". And, I must of made a mistake?

pyriel answered that: "Sorry but we can't take this. For the purpose of tracking you, we can only take 50g50f as stated before the deadline. This is quarterbacking".

However, from your Talk:

Friday July 22 you say: "I know this is not posted (but I told Tech about this) I went 100% S fund right after the UK first attack (the whole world said at once BUY THE DIP). Fed and Treasury pumped 74.5B into the market in two days. I went back to G fund after the Yuan thing".

DMA this is quarterbacking from the rules of this web site. You are not keeping your Account up to date for verification. You are making claims that can not be backed up.

Teknosaid: "Looooooser" probably out of flustration. However, it's a matter of credibility.

Sure, your welcome and we like to hear your talk. You need to postaccurate IFT's that can be tracked by the site rules!

Please, this would help every one, and eliminate some of the confusion!

Rgds, and sleep tight Mr. Bear! Ah DMA! :D Spaf
Click to expand...
Lets see: 74% of the economy is based on shopping. Prices at Walmart could go up .30% per day, gas prices are climbing and interest rates are going up.

Yeap stocks do great in that environment.

Once again, stopped dumped over 50% last time fed was an tightening schedule. If anything Greenie has said he would let the yield curve invert. Which is bad for the financials which make up 31% of the SPX. Have ya looked at a chart of C lately?

You guys are amazing. You talk about how you losed 50% in the last bear market and you are stupid enough to do it again.

Good on ya. As long as there is loser like you around I can short stocks.

Keep buying on dips. :^. Bear markets 90% of stocks go down, bull markets 60% go up. Lovely!!!!!!!!!

I am not going to take this name calling anymore. If you call me a name and the moderators do nothing then they can ban us both. :shock:
 
imported post

DMA,

I gottcha! However, we still have to follow the rules of transfers! So we can keep up to date. We have to have our creditability of what we are doing. Other wise the tracking becomes harem-skarem!

Tekno is excellent in evaluating the fundamentals. Heck, I wish I could do it, like he can. I do have a bone to pick with him about the S-fund. Small caps ain't dead, they just needed to catch their breath. Last week they led TSP with a +0.22 return!

My worry is that the Bull market, Energy, and unknown events i.e., terrorism appear to be on a collision course. Somebody, is going to have to take a different direction before we all collide.

Rgds, and be careful! :) Spaf
 
imported post

Spaf I understand the rules of posting.

I have not been on this site for over a month.

Tek asked me over and over again WHAT DID YOU DO IN THE PAST, TELL ME YOUR LAST 10 TRADES.

That was all I was doing. What should I of said? That is not the rules of posting. I was trying to be nice. Stupid me.

Follow tek then if he is so brilliant.

All he does is copy ideas and steals charts from traders-talk. Everything he puts down here is rehashed and stolen from that board.

Hell half the stuff he posts:shock: here are my posts from there and he did not even know it was me. :^ I guess he does now. :D.

Both permabulls post over there and they are both fools over there. It is fun to watch the board destroy them - they come over here with the sheep. I am not a sheep. But you can be. Graze quietly.
 
imported post

Spaf......to......Birchtree (Where are you Dennis?)

Terrorism and lube ar making a metor shower! Crack...crack.... Yo! Flash Birch.. where ar you?....crack.... crack

Can your warp drive get you back home in 1-2 days?

S-gas seems to be doing better than C-gas!

U wouldn't be sitting on the moon, eating cheese and drinking suds, would U???
 
imported post

The implications of the devaluation of the U.S. dollar by the People's Bank of China are many, some of which will remain hidden for a considerable time. A short-list, which should certainly not be considered complete, of the ramifications are as follows:

  • U.S. trade deficit will rise
  • Purchasing power of dollar denominated assets reduced
  • Bank of China will buy less U.S. government debt
  • U.S. interest rates will rise
  • Argument over U.S. housing bubble will be resolved
  • Reduction in U.S. military power
  • China is rising global monetary hegemon
  • $Gold will rise in price, Gold price of U.S. dollar will fall
  • Obsolescence of national monies, like Canadian dollar, accelerated
  • Who would have guessed ten years ago that the People's Bank of China would determine $'s value?
China is dictating the value of the U.S. dollar.

:(
 
imported post

Spaf,

Just waiting to be pulled into the frey - never much cared for point.

This whole conversation between Teknobucks and DMA started with "Hey buddy" then it was a Vermont Teddy Bear hug, and then it was let's talk in the dark so I can micturate on your shoes without you seeing me do it.

I don't think I've ever been to traders-talk, but I'll definitely check it out. Sounds like a bear feast happening and I'll go just to crash the buffet. I'm more a Bullwinkle talk type. This is the only site I participate on, who has enough time for all that extra yak.

I would suspect the S fund may be setting up a bull head fake to draw in the various followers of momentum and then correct into a prolonged trading range until the other indexes catch up. Seven year highs - holy mackeral Andy - where is the limit to this thing - the higher she goes the more it will cost to make the same return. I'm not saying the game is up immediately - but if I were in with a good profit I'd be taking a small percentage off the table and purchasing something else.. Selling some gains on a potential top is even more difficult than holding your nose and buying a bottom.

I actually like having DMA around - sooner or later he may end up being correct on some of his vitriolic and vituperative diatribes - helps me avoid the possibility of the blind side if you know what I mean. Granted we don't want to get into name calling - but the DMA character is begining to remind me of the Shultz cartoon character Pig Pen always carrying around some negativity. Me, I'm more of the Linus type and if Teknobucks were to stop his postings I frankly would be lost.

Teknobucks - just remember this to shall pass. I know you don't need a pep talk - but think back when you were an instructor - all you need to do is shut off his regulator while he is in the dark. That would be a lesson to remember. Take care
 
imported post

Don't fight the fed!

Name one fed tighting schedule when stocks ended higher?

:^ Last one was 1999-2000 that turned out swell. :cool:
 
imported post

DMA wrote:
Name one fed tighting schedule when stocks ended higher?

:^ Last one was 1999-2000 that turned out swell. :cool:
Click to expand...
I'm gonna attach a chart of the DOW for the last decade. Mainly to show "what turned out".

Prior to the 2000 bubble the market was very favorable to buy and hold. However, since the bubble burst in 2000 the market has shown choppy ups and downs. Buy and hold is no longer a viable concept.

DMA..... I don't remember what the fed was doing! I do remember what my financial investment company was doing. Hint..Hint >>selling tech stox!

Spaf
 
imported post

April 2000 - Greenie said inverted yield curve was different this time. :P

Fed started tighting rates about March 1999.

And started cutting rates September 2000 because they broke the economy.

Market did not start recovering until October 2002 then it crashed again and then the dividend tax cut was retroactive until January 2003 and they market took off again 17 March 2003.

Their next bet to keep the economy humming was social security being dumped into index funds. :shock::shock::shock::shock::shock:

Raising rates, prices of Yuan can go up .3% a day versed the USD and prices at the pump are going up. :s:^
 
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